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Fulham vs. Sunderland Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fulham vs Sunderland – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Craven Cottage, London, England

Game Overview

Fulham, positioned 15th in the Premier League, hosts Sunderland who currently rank 4th. Sunderland is in stronger form overall, but Fulham's home advantage at Craven Cottage and recent mixed performances make the match competitive. Recent meetings reflect some balanced outcomes with previous close scores.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fulham has struggled with consistency, ranking 15th with fewer points and some recent losses and draws. Sunderland sits higher at 4th place with better stability and recent points accumulation in league matches. Fulham's attacking power is diminished due to injuries, whereas Sunderland shows balanced offensive and defensive performance.
  • Recent head-to-head matches show a competitive balance; the last five encounters include wins for both sides and draws. Notably, Sunderland won an FA Cup match 2-3 away at Fulham in 2023 and a league championship match in 2017. The historic results do not heavily favor either team.
  • Fulham is missing key player Rodrigo Muniz due to a hamstring injury expected to last until the new year, weakening their offensive options. There is no specific injury information reported for Sunderland.
  • Fulham's home advantage at Craven Cottage could influence the match. Weather conditions and pitch quality are typical for London in November with no extraordinary factors reported. Sunderland's momentum and form in away games are decent. The match timing at 15:00 UTC is standard.
  • Sunderland, entrenched in a top 4 position, are motivated to maintain or improve their standing for European qualification hopes. Fulham, lower in the table, are motivated to secure points to avoid relegation pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fulham: 1.08, Sunderland: 2.6, Draw: 2.2 Sunderland to win or draw, with Fulham less likely to win outright. ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fulham -0.5: 1.05, Sunderland +50: 1.39 Sunderland +0.5 given their form and Fulham's inconsistency. ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: 1.14, Under 2.5: 1.52 Moderate tendency towards under 2.5 goals due to defensive setups and recent tight results. ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fulham 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fulham at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Sunderland's stronger league position, form, and Fulham's injury concerns, Sunderland is favored to win or at least secure a draw. However, the home advantage for Fulham and Sunderland's slightly lower odds for winning suggest a cautious prediction favoring Sunderland with a close scoreline.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Everton vs. Fulham Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Everton vs Fulham – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium

Game Overview

Everton hosts Fulham in a crucial Premier League clash at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Both teams are struggling for consistency, with Everton sitting in 14th place and Fulham just above the relegation zone. Everton's recent form has been poor, with only one win in their last eight games, while Fulham have struggled away from home, failing to win in their last five road fixtures. The match promises to be tight, with both sides needing points for different reasons.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Everton have drawn their last two home games and lost their most recent match 0-3 to Tottenham, ending a five-game unbeaten home run. They have scored and conceded five goals at home this season. Fulham have won just two of their last nine games and are winless in five away matches (0-1-4). Both teams have struggled for goals, with Everton's attack lacking composure and Fulham's away form being particularly poor.
  • Everton took four points from Fulham last season, but their home record against Fulham is poor—no wins in the last five home meetings, though they have drawn the last two. The most recent meeting was a 1-1 draw in October 2024, and Fulham won 1-0 at Goodison Park in August 2023.
  • Everton are missing Nathan Patterson and Jarrad Branthwaite due to long-term injuries. Iliman Ndiaye is a doubt after cramp issues. Fulham have no major reported injuries.
  • Everton's move from Goodison Park to Hill Dickinson Stadium has seen mixed results, but their recent home form has dipped. The weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard for a November Premier League fixture.
  • Everton are five points clear of the relegation zone and need points to avoid slipping further. Fulham are just above the drop zone and are desperate for a win to improve their position. Both teams have strong motivation to avoid defeat.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Everton: 115, Fulham: 250, Draw: 230 Everton Not available
Spread Everton: -0.25, Fulham: 25 Everton -0.25 Not available
Over/under Over: 2.25, Under: 2.25 Under Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Everton -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This match is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair. Everton's home form is inconsistent, but Fulham's away record is even worse. The lack of goals from both teams and the recent trend of draws in their head-to-head meetings suggest a closely contested game. Everton may edge it due to home advantage, but a draw is also highly likely.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Fulham vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fulham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Craven Cottage

Game Overview

Fulham hosts Wolverhampton Wanderers in a Premier League fixture where Fulham, despite a recent poor run of four consecutive defeats, are statistically favored at home, while Wolves come off a spirited but ultimately unsuccessful Carabao Cup performance against Chelsea. This is a crucial match for both teams to reverse their fortunes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fulham's recent form has been poor, with four straight league losses, but statistical projections still favor them at home due to their superior expected goals (xG) and home metrics[3]. Wolves, on the other hand, showed resilience in a dramatic 3-4 cup loss to Chelsea, suggesting some attacking threat, but their league position remains precarious[1][2]. Both teams are under pressure to deliver a result.
  • Historically, these matches are tightly contested, with neither side consistently dominating. However, Fulham’s superior xG and home form suggest an edge for this fixture[3].
  • No significant injury updates are available from the provided data. Both teams have played recently and may have minor fatigue or rotation concerns, but nothing major is reported.
  • This is a home game for Fulham, which is a significant advantage given their recent statistical superiority in this type of fixture[3]. Wolves are traveling after a midweek cup match that went into the final minutes, which could affect their sharpness.
  • Fulham are desperate to stop their losing streak and regain confidence at Craven Cottage[5]. Wolves, sitting at the bottom, are fighting for survival, but their morale may be mixed after a spirited but losing cup effort[1][2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fulham: -123, Wolves: 340, Draw: 246 Fulham win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Fulham: -0.5 -126, Wolves: 50 -105 Fulham cover -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 115, Under: 2.5 -153 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fulham -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fulham are the statistical and home favorites, with a 50% chance of winning according to quantitative models, compared to 20% for Wolves and 30% for a draw[3]. Despite Fulham's recent poor run, their underlying metrics and home advantage should see them edge this game, though Wolves have shown they can be dangerous when chasing the game.

Predicted Score: Fulham 1 – 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers


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Newcastle United vs. Fulham Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Fulham – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Game Overview

Newcastle United hosts Fulham in a closely contested Premier League fixture. Both teams sit near the lower mid-table with Newcastle in 14th and Fulham in 15th place, separated by just one point, indicating a critical match for league positioning and momentum. Recent form and player output suggest a competitive match with potential for goals from key forwards.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle United has a moderate record this season, sitting 14th with a mix of draws, wins, and losses. Fulham stands just below them at 15th. Newcastle has shown some resilience at home, while Fulham has managed to score in recent encounters, including a 2-1 away win over Newcastle earlier in the year. Key Newcastle contributors include Woltemade (4 goals in 5 matches) and Guimarães (2 goals), while Fulham has had productive returns from Osula and Iwobi.
  • In their last five encounters, Newcastle has won 3 matches, Fulham 2 matches, including recent Premier League games where Fulham beat Newcastle 2-1 away in February 2025 and Newcastle defeated Fulham 3-0 in December 2023. This suggests a somewhat balanced rivalry with Newcastle slightly stronger historically but recent form favoring Fulham.
  • No specific up-to-date injury reports were found in the provided data. Both squads appear near full strength with no major absences reported in recent lineups.
  • Playing at home gives Newcastle a nominal advantage from crowd support and familiarity with St James' Park conditions. There are no reported weather or extraordinary conditions impacting this match. Both teams are motivated to avoid slipping further down the table, increasing match intensity.
  • With Newcastle and Fulham separated by just one league point, motivation is high for both sides to secure maximum points to climb the table and avoid relegation concerns. Newcastle's home advantage increases their urgency to get a positive result, while Fulham will be looking to continue their effective away performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle United: -165, Fulham: 420, Draw: 290 Newcastle United win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Newcastle United: -0.5, Fulham: 50 Newcastle United -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -106 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United is favored to win narrowly given home advantage and slightly better historical results, but Fulham's recent success against Newcastle and competitive form suggest a close match likely decided by a single goal.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Fulham vs. Arsenal Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fulham vs Arsenal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Craven Cottage, London, England

Game Overview

Fulham, sitting 14th with 8 points after 7 games (W2, D2, L3), will host EPL leaders Arsenal, who top the table with 16 points and are in strong form with just 3 losses in 27 league games this year. Arsenal's impressive away record and consistency make them favorites, while Fulham seek to use home advantage at Craven Cottage, where they have recently won four consecutive matches across all competitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fulham has struggled defensively, recently suffering back-to-back 3+ goal concessions and lacking key strikers Raul Jimenez (groin) and Rodrigo Muniz (thigh). Arsenal have been dominant, with one defeat in their last 18 London derbies and one loss in their last 17 away league matches, showcasing solid attacking and defensive balance.
  • Recent meetings show Arsenal with an edge: Arsenal won 2-1 on April 1, 2025, while earlier encounters included a 1-1 draw and a 2-1 Fulham win in past seasons, but Arsenal secured a 3-0 away win in March 2023. Six of the last seven league matches between them had both teams scoring.
  • Fulham face absences of key forwards Raul Jimenez (groin) and Rodrigo Muniz (thigh), limiting their attacking options. Arsenal currently do not have major injury concerns impacting their first-choice squad.
  • The match is at Fulham's Craven Cottage, a ground where they generally perform better and where Arsenal's strong away run could be tested. The October international break may have influenced team rhythms but recent form suggests momentum favors Arsenal.
  • Arsenal are highly motivated to maintain their top-of-the-table position and continue their title challenge. Fulham, struggling in mid-lower table, aim to arrest a poor defensive run and build points at home to move away from relegation threats.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arsenal: -187, Fulham: 470, Draw: 310 Arsenal win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Arsenal -0.5: -189, Fulham +50: 141 Arsenal -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -114, Under 2.5: -116 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arsenal -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arsenal to win with both teams scoring, reflecting Arsenal's superiority but Fulham's recent home resilience and goal-scoring capability.

Predicted Score: Fulham 1 – 3 Arsenal


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Bournemouth vs. Fulham Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bournemouth vs Fulham – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-03
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vitality Stadium

Game Overview

Bournemouth and Fulham face off in a competitive Premier League match at Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth currently sits 6th in the league and has shown robust home form, including 14 points from their last seven home games after an early-season slump. Fulham is 11th, coming off a heavy 3-1 defeat to Aston Villa and looking to recover. Bournemouth has the historical edge with more wins and strong recent results against Fulham. Both teams have key offensive players contributing goals and assists, making this an intriguing contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bournemouth have been strong especially at home, ranked 6th with 8 goals for and 7 against, with 3 clean sheets. Fulham, sitting 11th, have struggled recently away, losing their last three Premier League matches at Bournemouth and four consecutive away to the same. Bournemouth's recent home performance contrasts with Fulham's inconsistent away form.
  • Historically, Bournemouth have won 16 of 41 matches against Fulham, with Fulham winning 12 and 13 draws. In recent Premier League meetings, Bournemouth have lost only 2 of their last 16 matches against Fulham and only once in their last 8 games. Fulham have lost their last 3 away matches to Bournemouth, a streak not faced before.
  • No detailed current injury reports are provided in the sources, limiting injury impact assessment.
  • Playing at home gives Bournemouth an advantage, as does their recent point accumulation at Vitality Stadium. Fulham's recent psychological setback from their 3-1 loss could impact their morale negatively.
  • Bournemouth will be motivated to maintain or improve their top-six standing and capitalize on home advantage. Fulham aims to bounce back from recent heavy defeat and break their poor away streak against Bournemouth.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bournemouth: -117, Fulham: 295, Draw: 260 Bournemouth win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Bournemouth -0.5: -119, Fulham +50: -111 Bournemouth -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -117, Under 2.5: -113 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bournemouth 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bournemouth at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bournemouth are favored to win given their home strength, better recent form, and historical dominance over Fulham in this fixture. The match is likely to be competitive but Bournemouth’s chances of victory are higher.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Bournemouth


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Aston Villa vs. Fulham Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Fulham – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park, Birmingham, England

Game Overview

Aston Villa (18th in EPL) hosts Fulham (8th in EPL) in a Premier League match at Villa Park. Both teams have contrasting league standings with Fulham performing significantly better so far. Villa have struggled offensively with only 1 goal scored and 6 conceded in 5 matches, while Fulham have a stronger attacking and defensive record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa has 3 points from 5 games (0-3-2), scoring only 1 goal and conceding 6. Fulham has 8 points (2-2-1), scoring more frequently and showing better defensive stability. Key players include Villa’s defender M. Cash and midfielder B. Kamara and Fulham’s forward A. Iwobi, who contributed goals and assists.
  • Recent H2H fixtures last season featured two matches where Fulham showed competitive performance against Villa. Historically, Fulham has edged the fixture with more favorable outcomes, benefiting from better form and quality.
  • No specific injury data found for either side in the current sources, but lineups and fitness need to be confirmed closer to the match date.
  • Home advantage for Aston Villa at Villa Park provides some boost, but Villa's poor form and defensive frailty reduce this benefit. Fulham’s better position in the table indicates higher team morale and quality.
  • Aston Villa is under pressure to climb out of the relegation zone, increasing motivation but also pressure. Fulham aims to solidify a top-half standing, likely playing with confidence and looking to exploit Villa's weaknesses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: 127, Fulham: 230, Draw: 206 Aston Villa win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Aston Villa -0.5: 122, Fulham +50: -164 Fulham +0.5 (Draw or win) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 108, Under 2.5: -143 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fulham is favored to win or at least secure a draw due to superior form, league position, and consistent attacking play. Aston Villa’s defensive issues and lack of goals weaken their chances despite home advantage.

Predicted Score: Aston Villa 1 – 1 Fulham


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Fulham vs. Brentford Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fulham vs Brentford – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Craven Cottage

Game Overview

The Premier League match between Fulham and Brentford at Craven Cottage is set for September 20, 2025, with both teams sitting mid-table and eager to improve their standing. Fulham (11th place) have shown slightly better recent form with a narrow 1-0 win against Leeds, while Brentford (12th) look to rebound after a recent penalty shootout win in the FA Cup. Both sides have a fairly even historical record, but Fulham have had recent success against Brentford in the Premier League.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fulham have won three consecutive league games against Brentford previously and are currently unbeaten in their last 10 London derbies before two recent losses. Brentford are winless in their last three away Premier League matches, with recent draws and losses marking inconsistent form.
  • Historically, Fulham and Brentford are evenly matched with 25 wins each in 68 games. Fulham completed a Premier League double over Brentford last season and will aim to win three consecutive league games against them for the first time since 1929. Brentford have lost two of their last three away matches against Fulham.
  • No specific injury reports are mentioned in the sources for either team ahead of the match.
  • The match is at Fulham’s home ground, Craven Cottage, which historically benefits them. Brentford recently advanced in the FA Cup via penalties, possibly affecting fitness but boosting morale.
  • Fulham seek to capitalize on home advantage and recent successes against Brentford. Brentford aim to break their away drought and improve league position following mixed performances and the psychological lift from their recent cup success.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fulham: 100, Brentford: 260, Draw: 242 Fulham win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fulham: -0.5 -103, Brentford: 50 -129 Fulham -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -118 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fulham 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fulham at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fulham are favoured to win given their home advantage, historical dominance in recent meetings, and slightly better form. The match is expected to be competitive with a likely narrow margin of victory.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Fulham


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Fulham vs. Leeds United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fulham vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Craven Cottage

Game Overview

Fulham will host Leeds United at Craven Cottage in the Premier League round 4 match. Fulham comes in with a mixed recent form (0-2 loss to Chelsea, draws with Man Utd and Brighton, but a strong Carabao Cup win). Leeds United has shown inconsistent results including a 5-0 heavy defeat by Arsenal but also draws against Newcastle and competitive performances in cup and friendlies. Both teams have low recent goal tallies and defensive vulnerabilities have been evident, especially for Leeds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fulham currently has 2 points from three Premier League matches (0-2-1), struggling defensively but capable of scoring as shown in their Carabao Cup win. Leeds United has 4 points (1-1-1), with a major defensive lapse in their 0-5 defeat to Arsenal but reasonable competitive form overall.
  • In their last five meetings, Fulham and Leeds United matches have been closely contested with Fulham winning 3-2 in Apr 2023 and Feb 2023, Leeds winning 2-1 in Mar 2021, and draws in other meetings. Overall, there is parity but a slight edge to Fulham at home historically.
  • No explicit or updated injury reports are available from the sources for this match day, suggesting both teams may have near full squads for selection.
  • The match is at Craven Cottage, a familiar home venue for Fulham. The game is early in the season with both sides trying to establish form. There are no weather or pitch condition issues noted. Motivation may be influenced by need for points early in the season.
  • Leeds United currently leads the two in points, likely motivated to maintain or extend their advantage. Fulham will be eager to improve on their slow start and capitalize on home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fulham: -107, Leeds United: 280, Draw: 244 Fulham to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fulham -0.5: -109, Leeds United +50: -121 Fulham -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -130 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fulham 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given recent form, home advantage, slightly better historical head-to-head outcomes, and odds favoring Fulham, the predicted outcome is a narrow Fulham victory with a strong potential for a closely fought match.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Chelsea vs. Fulham Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Chelsea vs Fulham – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Stamford Bridge, London, England

Game Overview

Chelsea hosts Fulham in the English Premier League Round 3 at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea currently ranks 4th while Fulham sits 13th in the league standings. Chelsea has shown strong form recently with notable victories including large-margin wins in European matches and domestic contests. Fulham is unbeaten in their last five games but have fewer wins overall and are positioned mid-table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chelsea has scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches, including dominant wins in Europe and Premier League fixtures. Fulham has scored 10 goals in their last 5 games and also remains unbeaten recently. Chelsea’s attacking momentum and solid defensive performances contrast with Fulham's less consistent but resilient form.
  • Chelsea and Fulham have played several times recently with Chelsea typically coming out on top. There have been no draws in their last five encounters. Last season they played two Premier League games with Chelsea winning one and losing one. Overall, Chelsea holds a psychological advantage, especially at home.
  • Chelsea has several injury concerns: Benoit Badiashile (leg, out till mid-September), Cole Palmer (groin, doubtful), Levi Colwill (cruciate ligament, out until late April 2026), Omari Kellyman (hamstring, out mid-September), and Romeo Lavia (strain, doubtful). These absences may affect squad depth and rotations.
  • The match is at Stamford Bridge favoring Chelsea with home advantage. Chelsea also benefits from recent successful European ties boosting morale. No significant external disruptions reported. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be standard for London in late August.
  • Chelsea is motivated to maintain their top-four standing early in the season and capitalize on their strong start, both domestically and in Europe. Fulham aims to improve their league position and gain points against a strong opponent, fighting to avoid falling further down the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chelsea: -195, Fulham: 460, Draw: 330 Chelsea Win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Chelsea -1.5: 132, Fulham +1.5: -178 Chelsea -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -160, Under 2.5: 120 Over 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chelsea -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chelsea is favored to win given their superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance over Fulham. The expected match flow suggests Chelsea scoring early and controlling possession, while Fulham will seek counter-attacking opportunities. A Chelsea win by a 2-goal margin is likely.

Predicted Score: Chelsea 3 – 1 Fulham


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