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New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno St Bulldogs Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs Fresno St Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-16
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Santa Ana Star Field, Albuquerque, NM

Game Overview

The New Mexico Lobos host Fresno State Bulldogs for the final regular-season series at Santa Ana Star Field. This high-stakes series carries implications for the Mountain West Tournament and the regular season title, with three games across Thursday to Saturday. The Lobos enter with an overall solid season record, fighting for a top position, while Fresno State looks to leverage their competitive experience to challenge the home team.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico Lobos have an overall season record of 29-20 with a strong home performance. Fresno State Bulldogs hold a 24-24 overall record, stronger in conference play (15-9) but weaker on the road (8-16). Lobos show momentum in recent games with four wins in their last five, while Fresno State has shown inconsistency with a 1-game winning streak but uneven away form.
  • The teams have faced each other recently with Fresno State holding marginal advantages in previous matchups, but the home-field advantage for New Mexico in Albuquerque is significant. The Mountain West Conference context raises stakes as both teams compete for tournament positioning and potential regular season honors.
  • No significant reported injuries impacting starting players for either team ahead of this series, allowing both squads to field strong lineups.
  • The Lobos enjoy home crowd support with free admission and special promotional events that can boost morale. Weather conditions expected to be suitable for baseball at Santa Ana Star Field. Travel fatigue may slightly impact the Bulldogs who have had a travel-heavy schedule.
  • New Mexico is motivated to clinch a Mountain West regular season title and secure the best possible seed for the postseason. Fresno State aims to disrupt this plan and secure critical wins to improve their tournament positioning and end their season positively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fresno St Bulldogs: -135, New Mexico Lobos: 105 New Mexico Lobos win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread New Mexico Lobos: -1.5, Fresno St Bulldogs: +1.5 New Mexico Lobos -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under over: O 7.5, under: U 7.5 Under 7.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Mexico Lobos at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico Lobos have the edge due to strong home performance, better overall record, and motivation to secure the title. Fresno State is competitive but less consistent on the road. Expect a close game with New Mexico likely edging out a win.

Predicted Score: New Mexico Lobos 5 – 3 Fresno St Bulldogs


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Fresno St Bulldogs vs. Air Force Falcons Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Fresno St Bulldogs vs Air Force Falcons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-18
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Pete Beiden Field at Bob Bennett Stadium, Fresno, CA

Game Overview

The Fresno State Bulldogs (17-19, 10-5 MW) will host the Air Force Falcons (15-22, 7-8 MW) in a Mountain West baseball series starting April 17, 2025, at Pete Beiden Field. Fresno State leads the historical series 40-27 and has shown stronger performance in conference play. Recent encounters include Fresno State eliminating Air Force in the 2024 Mountain West tournament with a 10-3 win. The Bulldogs have a potent offense with several players boasting high OPS figures, while Air Force exhibits speed and strong on-base skills. Fresno State’s pitching features standout Jack Anker, the Mountain West strikeout leader. The Falcons' pitching has struggled with high ERAs, including the probable starter Dylan Rogers with a 9.32 ERA.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fresno State holds a better conference record (10-5 vs. Air Force's 7-8) and boasts a powerful lineup led by high OPS hitters like Walker Zapp (1.049 OPS) and Tripp Garrish (0.982 OPS). They also have the dominant pitcher Jack Anker, who recently threw a 16-strikeout game and leads the conference in strikeouts. Air Force’s offense excels in speed and small ball, leading the league in stolen bases and ranking well in on-base percentage, but their pitching staff struggles with high ERAs, notably Dylan Rogers with 9.32.
  • Fresno State leads the all-time series 40-27 and won the majority of recent meetings, including a key 10-3 victory in last year's Mountain West tournament that eliminated Air Force. Fresno State also won the first series of the 2025 season 2-1 but was swept in an away series. Overall, Fresno State has outscored Air Force historically (459-381).
  • No significant injury reports available for either team prior to the series.
  • The game is played at Fresno State’s home stadium, giving them home field advantage on a grass surface. The Falcons have traveled west for the series, which may affect their performance. Weather and other environmental factors are assumed neutral with no adverse conditions reported.
  • Fresno State is motivated to maintain home dominance and improve their conference standing following recent losses to Cal Poly. Air Force aims to improve their losing record and replicate their previous upset performances against Fresno State, including last season’s Mountain West tournament series.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Air Force Falcons: 255, Fresno St Bulldogs: -360 Fresno St Bulldogs to win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Air Force Falcons: 2.5 -125, Fresno St Bulldogs: -2.5 -104 Fresno St Bulldogs -2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over: 10.5 -121, Under: 10.5 -107 Under 10.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fresno St Bulldogs -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State is favored to win due to superior pitching, stronger offensive metrics, home field advantage, and historical dominance in the rivalry. Air Force’s speed and small ball tactics are notable but may not overcome Fresno State’s balanced strengths, particularly against weaker Falcons pitching.

Predicted Score: Fresno St Bulldogs 6 – Air Force Falcons 3


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Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno St Bulldogs Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Fresno St Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 12, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

The Nevada Wolf Pack, with a record of 16-15, face off against the Fresno State Bulldogs, who are 6-25. Nevada has dominated recent matchups, including a 94-69 win on February 10, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nevada has shown strong team performance with a balanced attack, while Fresno State struggles defensively and in rebounding. Nevada's recent form includes a three-game losing streak, but they have a strong home record.
  • Nevada has a significant advantage in head-to-head matchups, winning nine of the last ten games against Fresno State. Their most recent win was by a margin of 25 points.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team.
  • The game is part of the Mountain West Conference tournament, which could affect team motivation and strategy.
  • Nevada is motivated to improve their conference standing, while Fresno State looks to upset and gain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fresno St Bulldogs: +410, Nevada Wolf Pack: -550 Nevada Wolf Pack ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Fresno St Bulldogs: +11.5 -110, Nevada Wolf Pack: -11.5 -110 Nevada Wolf Pack ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over: 137.5 -112, Under: 137.5 -108 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Nevada Wolf Pack is likely to win due to their strong recent performance against Fresno State and overall team strength.

Predicted Score: Nevada Wolf Pack 80, Fresno State Bulldogs 65


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Fresno St Bulldogs vs. Sacramento St Hornets Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Fresno St Bulldogs vs Sacramento St Hornets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Fresno, California

Game Overview

The Fresno State Bulldogs host the Sacramento State Hornets in a highly anticipated NCAA baseball matchup. Fresno State has shown strong performances in recent games, while Sacramento State seeks to improve their standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fresno State has demonstrated solid pitching and timely hitting, while Sacramento State has struggled with consistency on offense and defense. The Hornets have shown flashes of brilliance but need to maintain momentum throughout games.
  • In their last meeting, Fresno State edged Sacramento State 5-4, showcasing their ability to close out tight games. This head-to-head advantage could influence the Bulldogs' confidence.
  • There is no reported significant injury affecting either team's lineup for this matchup.
  • Weather conditions and home-field advantage could play a role, as Fresno State often performs well at home.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Fresno State's recent success might give them an edge in terms of morale and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fresno St Bulldogs: -195, Sacramento St Hornets: 150 Fresno St Bulldogs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State Bulldogs are likely to win due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Fresno State 6, Sacramento State 4


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San José St Spartans vs. Fresno St Bulldogs Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: San Jos̩ St Spartans vs Fresno St Bulldogs РPrediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-08
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Provident Credit Union Event Center

Game Overview

San Jose State Spartans host Fresno State Bulldogs in a Mountain West Conference matchup. San Jose State is favored by 6.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Jose State has a 13-18 record, while Fresno State is 6-24. San Jose State averages 72.4 points per game, while Fresno State averages 70.8. San Jose State has struggled at home lately, losing six of their last seven games.
  • Fresno State has historically dominated San Jose State, winning 14 of their last 16 meetings. However, San Jose State won their last matchup 94-91 in overtime.
  • No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • Both teams are looking to improve their seeding for the conference tournament.
  • Both teams have motivation to win, but San Jose State is more likely to be motivated to break their home losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fresno St: +230, San José St: -275 San José St ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fresno St: +6.5 -110, San José St: -6.5 -110 Fresno St +6.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 141 +100, Under: 141 -120 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

San Jose State is likely to win but may struggle to cover the spread.

Predicted Score: San José St 75, Fresno St 70


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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Fresno St Bulldogs Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: TCU Horned Frogs vs Fresno St Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-08
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The TCU Horned Frogs are favored to win against the Fresno St Bulldogs in this NCAA baseball match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • TCU Horned Frogs have a strong record with 10 wins and 4 losses, while Fresno State has a less impressive record of 5 wins and 8 losses.
  • No recent head-to-head data is available for these teams.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team.
  • Weather conditions and home field advantage could influence the game, but specific details are not provided.
  • Both teams will be motivated to win, but TCU's stronger performance might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fresno St Bulldogs: 250, TCU Horned Frogs: -345 TCU Horned Frogs ★★★★☆ 85%

Predicted Outcome

TCU Horned Frogs are likely to win.

Predicted Score: TCU Horned Frogs 8, Fresno St Bulldogs 4


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Fresno St Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Fresno St Bulldogs vs Wyoming Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 5, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Save Mart Center, Fresno, CA

Game Overview

Fresno State Bulldogs host Wyoming Cowboys in a Mountain West Conference matchup. Both teams have shown inconsistent performances, with Fresno State struggling in conference play and Wyoming having mixed results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fresno State has struggled with consistency, while Wyoming has shown flashes of strong offense but lacks defensive stability. Fresno State's home advantage could be crucial.
  • Recent games between the two teams have been closely contested, with Fresno State winning a tight game in the Mountain West Championship and Wyoming dominating in a regular-season matchup.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team.
  • The home crowd at Save Mart Center could provide an advantage for Fresno State.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their conference standings, but Wyoming might have more pressure due to their slightly better record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fresno State +268, Wyoming -337 Wyoming ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Fresno State +2 -105, Wyoming -2 -115 Wyoming ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 139.5 -110, Under 139.5 -110 Over ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Wyoming Cowboys to win outright.

Predicted Score: Wyoming 71, Fresno State 68


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Fresno St Bulldogs vs. Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Fresno St Bulldogs vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 4, 2025
  • Time: 1:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Fresno State

Game Overview

Fresno State Bulldogs host Cal Poly Mustangs in a competitive NCAA baseball match. Fresno State has shown strong home performance, while Cal Poly has struggled on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fresno State has a strong home record, while Cal Poly has a mixed away performance. Fresno State's recent wins against Cal State Fullerton and BYU highlight their potential.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not available, but Fresno State's home advantage could be significant.
  • No notable injury reports have been mentioned for either team.
  • Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for baseball, with no significant external factors affecting the game.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Fresno State looking to continue their home success and Cal Poly seeking to improve their away record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cal Poly -135, Fresno State 105 Fresno State ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Cal Poly -1.5 105, Fresno State 1.5 -135 Fresno State +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 12 -110, Under 12 -120 Under 12 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State Bulldogs are likely to win due to their strong home performance.

Predicted Score: Fresno State 6, Cal Poly 5


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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Fresno St Bulldogs Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs Fresno St Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-02
  • Time: 9:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Caesar Uyesaka Stadium

Game Overview

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos host Fresno State Bulldogs in a highly anticipated NCAA baseball match. The Gauchos are on a strong run, having recently defeated Fresno State 3-1 and are currently on a five-game winning streak. Fresno State, however, is looking to bounce back from recent losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC Santa Barbara is performing exceptionally well, with a strong record and recent victories. Fresno State has struggled, but they have shown resilience in close games.
  • Recent head-to-head matches favor UC Santa Barbara, with notable wins against Fresno State, including a 9-6 victory in May 2024 and a 3-1 win in February 2025.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could play a role, but no specific external factors are noted as significantly impacting the game.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, but UC Santa Barbara's current winning streak and home advantage might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fresno St Bulldogs: 185, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: -245 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Fresno St Bulldogs: 2.5 -130, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: -2.5 100 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over: 12 -115, Under: 12 -115 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos are likely to win due to their strong recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 5, Fresno State Bulldogs 3


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Fresno St Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Fresno St Bulldogs vs Boise State Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Fresno State Bulldogs host Boise State Broncos in a Mountain West conference matchup. Boise State is favored, reflecting their stronger performance this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boise State has shown superior performance with a higher win rate and better shooting percentages compared to Fresno State. Boise State's recent wins and strong home record indicate a strong team dynamic.
  • Boise State has dominated Fresno State in recent matchups, winning six consecutive games. This trend suggests a psychological advantage for the Broncos.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • Home-court advantage typically benefits the host team, but Boise State's strong away performances could mitigate this factor.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure conference standings, but Boise State's recent success might provide an additional boost.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -2800 (Boise State), 1160 (Fresno State) Boise State Broncos ☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread -17.5 -102 (Boise State), 17.5 -120 (Fresno State) Fresno State +17.5 ☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under Over 146.5 -110, Under 146.5 -110 Under 146.5 ☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Boise State Broncos are likely to win this matchup.

Predicted Score: Boise State 75, Fresno State 60


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