Match Analysis: Nathan Kelly vs Frederik Dupras – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-01
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, NJ

Game Overview

Nathan Kelly and Frederik Dupras face off in a featherweight bout as part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament Finals. Both fighters have strong records with Kelly at 11-4 and Dupras at 8-2, competing for a place in PFL standing legitimacy.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nathan Kelly holds a more experienced record with 15 fights compared to Dupras' 10, showing a solid winning percentage and experience in the PFL circuit. Recent form for both shows activity and competitive fights, but Kelly's experience edges Dupras.
• No previous documented head-to-head matches between Nathan Kelly and Frederik Dupras, rendering this a fresh competitive encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout, indicating both will enter the fight in optimal physical condition.
• The fight takes place at a neutral but high-profile venue in Atlantic City during a major PFL event, which does not financially or geographically favor either fighter.
• Both fighters are motivated by tournament progression and significant prize money; however, Kelly’s slight edge comes from having competed longer in PFL with more experience in high-stakes matches, potentially increasing his composure under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nathan Kelly: -150, Frederik Dupras: +125	Nathan Kelly	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Nathan Kelly -1.5 rounds -140, Frederik Dupras +1.5 rounds +120	Nathan Kelly -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nathan Kelly -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nathan Kelly at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nathan Kelly to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Nathan Kelly wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Gabriel Alves Braga vs Frederik Dupras – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-04
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Universal Studios Florida, Orlando, Florida

Game Overview

The fight between Gabriel Alves Braga and Frederik Dupras is a Featherweight bout in the PFL 2025 World Tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters' previous performances in their respective careers would influence this match, including any recent wins, losses, and the manner in which those outcomes occurred.
• There is no specific head-to-head data provided for this matchup.
• Any recent injuries or health issues affecting either fighter could significantly impact their performance.
• External factors such as crowd support and fighter strategies could also influence the outcome.
• Motivation to win in a tournament setting is high for both fighters.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Predicted Outcome

Based on general MMA strategies and given no specific data, a decisive victory for the fighter with stronger conditioning and a well-rounded skill set seems likely.

Predicted Score: Decision win or early-round finish depending on each fighter's skillset

Match Analysis: Frederik Dupras vs Nathan Ghareeb – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 3, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not Available

Game Overview

Frederik Dupras and Nathan Ghareeb face off in an anticipated featherweight bout. Dupras holds an 8-1 record, while Ghareeb boasts a 10-3 record, showcasing a slight advantage in experience.

Key Factors to Consider

• Frederik Dupras has a strong submission record with 8 wins by submission. Nathan Ghareeb has a more balanced approach with 7 KO/TKO wins and a slight edge in overall victories.
• There is no available head-to-head history between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Venue and crowd factors are not detailed in the available information.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated to secure a win given the competitive stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-105 for Frederik Dupras, -115 for Nathan Ghareeb	Nathan Ghareeb	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Nathan Ghareeb has a slight advantage due to his experience and versatility in wins.

Predicted Score: No score predictions available for MMA matches.