Match Analysis: Adam Maca vs Francisco Rodriguez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Sunderland Live (venue not explicitly stated, inferred from event context)

Game Overview

The boxing match features Adam Maca, an 18-year-old Brighton-based super bantamweight with Albanian heritage and a professional record of one dominant win, facing Francisco Rodriguez, a Spanish boxer in his second pro bout. The bout is scheduled for 4 rounds of 3 minutes each and takes place on September 6, 2025, as part of a larger card including other promising young fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

• Adam Maca has shown impressive performance in his pro debut, stopping Rafael Castillo within two rounds, indicating strong offensive capability and ring control. Francisco Rodriguez's performance record is less distinguished, with no notable wins or highlights as per the available data, suggesting Maca has the upper hand in form and momentum.
• No previous head-to-head encounters between Adam Maca and Francisco Rodriguez are recorded, making this their first professional meeting.
• There is no available information on any current injuries affecting either fighter before the match.
• The fight is part of a stacked undercard at Sunderland Live, potentially affecting fighter motivation and crowd atmosphere. The weigh-in results show both fighters made weight comfortably, suggesting no last-minute physical issues.
• Adam Maca appears motivated to continue his early professional success and develop his career trajectory, encouraged by strong support and recent performance. Francisco Rodriguez, as the challenger, likely aims to establish his ground by taking a win against a rising prospect, though he may be the underdog mentally.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Adam Maca: -10000, Francisco Rodriguez: 2000	Adam Maca to win	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Adam Maca: -3.5, Francisco Rodriguez: +3.5	Adam Maca to cover -3.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds: -110, Under 3.5 rounds: -110	Under 3.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Adam Maca -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Adam Maca at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Maca is strongly favored to win decisively, given his dominant debut, favorable odds, and home advantage. A prediction is for Maca to win by stoppage within the scheduled 4 rounds, continuing his early career momentum.

Predicted Score: Adam Maca wins by TKO in round 3

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Mark Dickinson vs. Troy Williamson Prediction	Mark Dickinson Win	-400	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Adam Maca vs. Francisco Rodriguez Prediction	Under 3.5 rounds	-110	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Pedro Guevara vs. Adrian Curiel Dominguez Prediction	Pedro Guevara Win	-185	★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +268

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $73.53

Match Analysis: Galal Yafai vs Francisco Rodriguez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-21
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Resorts World Arena, Birmingham

Game Overview

Galal Yafai, undefeated with 9 wins (7 KOs), faces Mexican veteran Francisco Rodriguez Jr (39-6-1, 27 KOs) in a 12-round flyweight bout. Yafai is the young, rising star fighting at home and ranked #4 by The Ring. Rodriguez Jr is a seasoned fighter, ranked #1 by the WBC and #7 by the IBF, and has a significant experience edge. This is a crossroads fight, with Yafai aiming for a title shot and Rodriguez Jr seeking to halt his momentum on his home turf[4][5].

Key Factors to Consider

• Yafai is undefeated, with a high knockout percentage (78%), but has fought far fewer pro rounds (49 vs. Rodriguez Jr's 282). Rodriguez Jr has a deeper resume and proven durability, but Yafai is on a hot streak and fighting at home[4][5].
• No previous meetings between these fighters. This is a matchup of youth and power versus experience and grit[4][1].
• No reported injuries for either fighter as of fight week[4].
• Yafai may benefit from the home crowd at Resorts World Arena, Birmingham. Rodriguez Jr will have to adjust to fighting abroad[4][2].
• Yafai is highly motivated to advance toward a world title fight and showcase his skills in front of his hometown. Rodriguez Jr is aiming to disrupt Yafai's rise and secure his own path to bigger fights[1][4].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Francisco Rodriguez: 275; Galal Yafai: -375	Galal Yafai	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over: 10.5 -280; Under: 10.5 220	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Galal Yafai -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 92%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 92% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Galal Yafai to win by decision or late stoppage. His undefeated record, knockout power, and home advantage suggest he will control the fight, but Rodriguez Jr's experience, durability, and proven ability to go the distance could make this a tougher test than odds imply. However, Yafai's sharper form and home edge are decisive.

Predicted Score: Yafai by TKO in round 9

Match Analysis: Francisco Rodriguez vs Naheem Parker – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-12
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Francisco Rodriguez, with a record of 6-0, will face Naheem Parker (5-1) in a lightweight bout. Rodriguez has shown impressive form, winning all his bouts via knockout or participating in Team Combat League events. Parker is returning after a two-year hiatus and seeks his first win since 2022.

Key Factors to Consider

• Francisco Rodriguez is undefeated and has won all his fights via knockout, showcasing strong form. Naheem Parker hasn't competed in two years and last lost his fight.
• There is no head-to-head data available for these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Motivation could be a factor for Parker returning after a long break, while Rodriguez looks to maintain his undefeated record.
• Parker's break might affect his performance, but he could be highly motivated to restart his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-1400 for Rodriguez, +750 for Parker	Francisco Rodriguez	★★★★★ 90%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Francisco Rodriguez -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Francisco Rodriguez at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Francisco Rodriguez is likely to win due to his undefeated record and recent form.

Predicted Score: Rodriguez wins by knockout in the early rounds.