Match Analysis: Francesco Nuzzi vs Lucas Rodrigues – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 4, 2025
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Rome
Game Overview
This Cage Warriors fight features Francesco Nuzzi, a strong favorite, against Lucas Rodrigues. Nuzzi's recent performances and statistical advantages position him as the likely winner.
Key Factors to Consider
- Francesco Nuzzi has shown consistent form, leading to him being favored by bookmakers.
- There is no established head-to-head history between these fighters, which makes it difficult to use past matchups as a reference.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
- Rome's home crowd might favor Nuzzi, potentially boosting his motivation.
- Both fighters are motivated to win, but Nuzzi's confidence from recent successes might give him an edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -400 (Nuzzi), 300 (Rodrigues) | Francesco Nuzzi | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5: -150, Under 1.5: 130 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Francesco Nuzzi 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Francesco Nuzzi is predicted to win based on his form and odds.
Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Francesco Nuzzi