Match Analysis: Fortuna Sittard vs FC Volendam – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Game Overview
Fortuna Sittard hosts FC Volendam in an Eredivisie fixture where the home side, unbeaten at home this season, is favored. Fortuna Sittard holds a higher league position and better recent home form, while Volendam has struggled away but can pose some offensive threat.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fortuna Sittard is 9th with 10 points (3W,1D,3L), unbeaten at home with 2 wins and 1 draw. FC Volendam is 12th with 7 points (1W,4D,2L), showing weak away performance with only 16% win rate recently on the road.
- Fortuna Sittard has won the last three meetings against FC Volendam, indicating a favorable matchup at home.
- No significant injury news reported for either side affecting key players.
- Match played at Fortuna Sittard's home stadium, where they hold a strong unbeaten record this season. No other seasonal or weather impacts noted.
- Fortuna Sittard aims to consolidate their mid-table position and possibly climb, while FC Volendam looks to improve their away form and avoid dropping further in the standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Fortuna Sittard: -126, Draw: +295, FC Volendam: +295 | Fortuna Sittard | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Fortuna Sittard -0.5: -125, FC Volendam +50: +105 | Fortuna Sittard -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 3: +105, Under 3: -125 | Under 3 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fortuna Sittard 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fortuna Sittard to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with match total under 3 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1