Match Analysis: Western Michigan Broncos vs Fort Wayne Mastodons – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 13, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: University Arena, Kalamazoo

Game Overview

Fort Wayne travels to Kalamazoo to face Western Michigan in a matchup of two struggling 1-2 teams. Fort Wayne enters off a dominant 137-56 home victory against Dominican but is 0-2 on the road. Western Michigan is 1-1 at home after consecutive losses to Campbell and Niagara. This is a low-scoring affair expected to stay under 160.5 total points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fort Wayne averages 92.0 PPG on 52.5% FG with elite perimeter scoring and ball movement, but struggles on the glass (27.3 RPG) and is 0-2 in road games. Western Michigan averages 80.0 PPG on 45% FG, allows 82.3 PPG, and is vulnerable defensively (43.7% opponent FG). Fort Wayne's guard play and perimeter pressure pose significant challenges for WMU's developing defense. However, Fort Wayne's road woes are concerning against a home opponent.
• Western Michigan won the most recent matchup 93-85 in overtime at Fort Wayne, demonstrating competitiveness and clutch execution. This result suggests Western Michigan can compete despite being ranked lower in most metrics.
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• Fort Wayne has lost six consecutive road games against non-AP-ranked opponents and is 0-2 away from home this season. The home team has won each of Fort Wayne's last five games, creating a strong home court disadvantage for the visitors. Western Michigan has lost seven of its last eight non-conference games, indicating defensive struggles. The under has been heavily favored by multiple expert pickers and shows value at -108.
• Both teams enter with disappointing 1-2 records and seek confidence-building victories. Western Michigan plays at home with recent H2H success. Fort Wayne has motivation from its dominant win over Dominican but faces significant road challenges.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fort Wayne -130 / Western Michigan +110	Western Michigan Broncos	★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread	Fort Wayne -2.5 (-102) / Western Michigan +2.5 (-118)	Western Michigan +2.5	★★★☆☆ 56%
Over/under	Over 160.5 (-112) / Under 160.5 (-108)	Under 160.5	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Western Michigan Broncos 13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 160.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fort Wayne Mastodons are favored but will struggle on the road despite superior offensive firepower. Western Michigan's home court advantage, recent H2H success, and Fort Wayne's 0-2 road record create value in a Western Michigan upset or close cover. The game will be a defensive struggle with the under being the strongest play.

Predicted Score: Western Michigan 78, Fort Wayne 75

Match Analysis: Ohio State Buckeyes vs Fort Wayne Mastodons – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-07
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Value City Arena, Columbus, Ohio

Game Overview

Ohio State Buckeyes host the Fort Wayne Mastodons in a non-conference matchup. Ohio State enters as heavy favorites, with a significant spread and a high total line. Fort Wayne is coming off a heavy loss, while Ohio State posted a high-scoring win in their opener.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ohio State dominated IU Indianapolis 118-102, showing offensive firepower and depth. Fort Wayne was routed 90-71 by Grand Canyon, struggling defensively and offensively. Ohio State’s scoring margin is +16, while Fort Wayne’s is -19.
• Ohio State won the last meeting 85-46, a 39-point margin. No recent competitive matchups exist.
• No reported injuries for either team.
• Game is at Value City Arena, a tough environment for visiting teams. No weather or travel issues reported.
• Ohio State is highly motivated to start strong in a rebuilding year. Fort Wayne is likely to be outmatched in talent and experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -7000, away: 2000	Ohio State Buckeyes	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	home: -22.5, away: 22.5	Fort Wayne Mastodons +22.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: 163.5, under: 163.5	Over 163.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ohio State Buckeyes -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 163.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 163.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ohio State wins comfortably, but Fort Wayne covers the spread due to Ohio State’s likely bench usage in the second half. The game goes over the total as both teams showed high scoring in their openers.

Predicted Score: Ohio State 88, Fort Wayne 78

Match Analysis: Youngstown St Penguins vs Fort Wayne Mastodons – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 6, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Beeghly Center, Youngstown, OH

Game Overview

Youngstown State Penguins host Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons in a crucial Horizon League matchup. Both teams are tied in conference standings with an 11-5 record, making this game pivotal for seeding and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Youngstown State recently defeated Purdue Fort Wayne 93-71, showcasing strong second-half performance and defensive resilience. Purdue Fort Wayne leads the Horizon League in scoring but was held to their third-lowest point total in that game.
• Youngstown State dominated the last matchup, outscoring Purdue Fort Wayne by 20 points in the second half. This recent victory could provide psychological momentum for the Penguins.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home advantage could significantly benefit Youngstown State, as they have shown strong performance at Beeghly Center.
• Both teams are highly motivated, given their tied standings in the Horizon League. However, Youngstown State's recent win might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-137 (YSU), 114 (PFW)	Youngstown State Penguins	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	-2.5 (YSU) -110, 2.5 (PFW) -110	Youngstown State Penguins	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 155.5 -110, Under 155.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Youngstown State Penguins are likely to win, given their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Youngstown State Penguins 80, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 75

Match Analysis: Cleveland St Vikings vs Fort Wayne Mastodons – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 1, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Wolstein Center, Cleveland, OH

Game Overview

Cleveland State Vikings host Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons in a Horizon League matchup. Cleveland State is currently 16-6 overall and 10-1 in conference play, while Purdue Fort Wayne is 15-7 overall and 8-3 in conference.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cleveland State has been strong in conference play, with a 10-1 record. They average 74.5 points per game and allow 64.8 points. Purdue Fort Wayne averages 84.1 points and allows 75.0 points per game. Cleveland State's defense could be a deciding factor.
• In their recent matchup on January 30, 2025, Cleveland State defeated Purdue Fort Wayne 68-58. This head-to-head result suggests Cleveland State might have an edge.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home-court advantage could favor Cleveland State, as they have been strong at home.
• Both teams are motivated to secure better seeding in the conference tournament, but Cleveland State's recent win over Purdue Fort Wayne might give them additional confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not available	Cleveland State Vikings	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	-3 -105 (Cleveland St), 3 -115 (Fort Wayne)	Cleveland State Vikings -3	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 148 -110, Under 148 -110	Under 148	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Cleveland State Vikings to win

Predicted Score: Cleveland State 72, Purdue Fort Wayne 69

Match Analysis: Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Northern Kentucky Norse – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 27, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Purdue Fort Wayne

Game Overview

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons host Northern Kentucky Norse in a crucial NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. The Mastodons have shown strong form, while the Norse face a tough challenge on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• Purdue Fort Wayne has a solid record of 19-15, while Northern Kentucky is 14-15. The Mastodons have been consistent at home, which could give them an edge.
• Historically, Northern Kentucky has had some success against Purdue Fort Wayne, but recent performances suggest the Mastodons are improving.
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• Home advantage could play a significant role for Purdue Fort Wayne, as they tend to perform better in front of their crowd.
• Both teams are motivated to secure wins, but Purdue Fort Wayne might have a slight edge due to their recent form and home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fort Wayne Mastodons: -310, Northern Kentucky Norse: 245	Fort Wayne Mastodons	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Fort Wayne Mastodons: -7 -110, Northern Kentucky Norse: 7 -110	Northern Kentucky Norse +7	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over: 150 -110, Under: 150 -110	Over 150	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons are likely to win this matchup.

Predicted Score: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 82, Northern Kentucky Norse 73

Match Analysis: Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Fort Wayne Mastodons host the Oakland Golden Grizzlies in a Horizon League matchup. Recent performances show Oakland's strong offense, while Fort Wayne has shown resilience in their home games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fort Wayne Mastodons have a strong home record, but Oakland has been performing well with key players like Rocket Watts and Jack Gohlke contributing significantly to their wins.
• In recent matchups, Oakland has had the upper hand, winning both games against Fort Wayne, including a 75-65 victory in the Horizon League Tournament and a 71-63 win earlier in the season.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home advantage could play a crucial role for Fort Wayne, but Oakland's recent form suggests they can overcome this.
• Both teams are motivated to secure wins in the conference, but Oakland's recent successes might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fort Wayne Mastodons: -178, Oakland Golden Grizzlies: 146	Fort Wayne Mastodons	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Fort Wayne Mastodons: -4 -110, Oakland Golden Grizzlies: 4 -110	Fort Wayne Mastodons	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over: 150 -115, Under: 150 -105	Over	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Fort Wayne Mastodons are favored to win due to their home advantage and recent performances, but Oakland's strong offense poses a significant challenge.

Predicted Score: Fort Wayne Mastodons 78, Oakland Golden Grizzlies 72