Match Analysis: Omar El Dafrawy vs Florim Zendeli – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-03
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Coca-Cola Arena, United Arab Emirates
Game Overview
The PFL Champions Series prelims fight in the catchweight division between Omar El Dafrawy and Florim Zendeli promises a dynamic matchup with contrasting styles and experience levels.
Key Factors to Consider
- Omar El Dafrawy holds a strong 14-5 professional record, fighting out of Soma Fight Club, and has a high finishing rate with 57.1% KOs. Florim Zendeli, slightly taller and with a longer reach, has shown resilience and solid performances but less finishing upside.
- No previous head-to-head records are available between the two fighters, making this an initial test of styles.
- No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading up to this bout, indicating both competitors entering at full strength.
- The fight takes place at the Coca-Cola Arena in UAE, a neutral venue for both; Omar trains out of Indonesia while Florim is from Albania, potentially impacting acclimatization factors.
- Both fighters are motivated to advance in the PFL Champions Series; Omar benefits from momentum through recent wins and a finishing approach, while Florim looks to leverage experience and tactical fight IQ.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Omar El Dafrawy: -177, Florim Zendeli: +152 | Omar El Dafrawy | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Omar El Dafrawy -1.5: +140, Florim Zendeli +1.5: -160 | Omar El Dafrawy -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: +105, Under 1.5 rounds: -125 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Omar El Dafrawy -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Omar El Dafrawy to win; Spread: Omar El Dafrawy to win by 1 round margin; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Omar El Dafrawy wins by TKO in Round 2