Match Analysis: Fenerbahce vs Ferencváros TC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-27
• Time: 5:45 PM UTC
• Location: Chobani Stadium, Istanbul, Türkiye

Game Overview

This UEFA Europa League League phase match features Fenerbahçe hosting Ferencváros TC at Chobani Stadium. Fenerbahçe enters as strong favorites, with home advantage and a dominant recent record in European competition. Ferencváros TC, while competitive, faces a tough challenge away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fenerbahçe has consistently created high expected goals (xG) in recent Europa League matches, scoring in 13 of their last 16 games and generating 1.5+ xG in all of their last 16 Europa League outings. They are also prone to receiving cards, with 15 of their last 16 Europa League matches seeing 2+ cards. Ferencváros TC has shown resilience but struggles away, with 7 of their last 8 away Europa League games seeing 2+ cards against them.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Fenerbahçe has a strong home record in European competition, while Ferencváros TC has struggled to secure wins away from home in similar fixtures.
• No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• The match will be played at Chobani Stadium, a venue where Fenerbahçe has a strong home record. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for play.
• Both teams are motivated to secure a positive result in the Europa League, with Fenerbahçe aiming to maintain their strong home form and Ferencváros TC looking to improve their away record in European competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fenerbahce: -190, Ferencváros TC: 448, Draw: 350	Fenerbahce	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Fenerbahce: -1 -120, Ferencváros TC: 1 100	Fenerbahce -1	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 2.75 -123, Under: 2.75 103	Over	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fenerbahce -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fenerbahçe is expected to win this match, leveraging their home advantage and strong attacking performance. The match is likely to be competitive, with both teams receiving cards, but Fenerbahçe's ability to create and convert chances should give them the edge.

Predicted Score: Fenerbahçe 2-1 Ferencváros TC

Match Analysis: Ferencváros TC vs PFC Ludogorets Razgrad – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-06
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Groupama Aréna, Budapest, Hungary

Game Overview

Ferencváros TC enters this UEFA Europa League League Phase fixture in strong form, sitting 7th in the table with six points from three matches, including recent wins against Salzburg and Genk. Ludogorets ranks 26th with only three points, having lost two of their first three group matches. The meeting follows a tight Champions League qualifying pair earlier this season, ending 0-0 in Bulgaria and 3-0 to Ferencváros at home, suggesting a clear home advantage in this matchup. This game is crucial for both teams' ambition to progress in the competition, with Ferencváros aiming to solidify their strong group position and Ludogorets fighting to keep pace for a knockout spot[1][3].

Key Factors to Consider

• Ferencváros is undefeated in the Europa League this season (1D, 2W). They are strong at home, as shown by their 3-0 win over Ludogorets in the Champions League qualifiers. Ludogorets has struggled on the road, winning only two of their last 10 away games, and has shipped 10 goals in their last three matches before their most recent clean sheet against Cherno More[3]. Ferencváros's attacking threat is highlighted as a key advantage[3].
• In the last six meetings, Ferencváros has won three, lost one, and drawn two. Their most recent matchups include a 0-0 in Bulgaria and a 3-0 home win for Ferencváros this season, both in Champions League qualifying[2][3].
• No specific injury reports were found in the provided sources. Ferencváros's Aleksandar Pesic scored an injury-time goal in their European opener; his availability could be influential. Monitor pre-game lineups for updates.
• The match is at Ferencváros's home stadium, Groupama Aréna, where the team has performed well. There are no indications of significant weather disruptions or crowd issues expected for this fixture[1]. Ludogorets's domestic form is inconsistent, with frequent dropped points in Bulgaria this season, which may affect confidence[2].
• Ferencváros is riding high in the group and has strong momentum; a win here would solidify their place in the knockout stages. Ludogorets must avoid another loss to remain in contention for advancing. Both teams have clear motivation, but Ferencváros’s superior form and home advantage could be decisive[2][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ferencváros TC: -142 | Ludogorets: 350 | Draw: 290	Ferencváros TC wins	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Ferencváros TC (-0.75): -115 | Ludogorets (+75): -115	Ferencváros TC covers -0.75	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -118 | Under 2.5: -112	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ferencváros TC 11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ferencváros TC at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ferencváros TC is favored to win due to superior form, direct head-to-head dominance at home, and Ludogorets's defensive frailties and travel struggles. The match is likely to see goals, with both teams having something to play for, but Ferencváros's attacking options should prove the difference. A predicted comfortable home win with both teams scoring is the best bet, though a clean sheet is not out of the question[3].

Predicted Score: Ferencváros 3–1 Ludogorets[3]

Match Analysis: Salzburg vs Ferencváros TC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-23
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: Red Bull Arena, Salzburg

Game Overview

Red Bull Salzburg, a team with a strong home record, is set to face Ferencváros TC in the UEFA Europa League. The match promises to be competitive, with Salzburg favored due to their home advantage and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Salzburg has been performing well in recent matches, showcasing strong attacking prowess and a solid defense. Ferencváros has been inconsistent but poses a threat with their counter-attacking strategy.
• Limited recent head-to-head data is available, but historically, Salzburg tends to dominate matches at home.
• No significant injury updates are available for either team, but this information could impact the lineup and strategy.
• Weather and crowd support could influence the match, with Salzburg likely benefiting from home advantage.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points in the Europa League group stage to advance to the next round.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Salzburg: -109, Ferencváros TC: 260, Draw: 275	Salzburg win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Salzburg: -0.5 -112, Ferencváros TC: 50 -118	Salzburg to cover the spread	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 2.75 -108, Under: 2.75 -122	Over 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Salzburg 5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Salzburg is expected to win due to their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Salzburg

Match Analysis: KRC Genk vs Ferencváros TC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-02
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Cegeka Arena, Genk, Belgium

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League match between KRC Genk and Ferencváros TC will take place at Cegeka Arena with both teams aiming to secure a vital win. KRC Genk currently ranks 16th, while Ferencváros TC holds 12th position in the competition. This match features a clash between Genk's home advantage and Ferencváros' slight edge in form and historical matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ferencváros holds a slight performance advantage with a 58% win probability according to betting predictions, while Genk is assessed with about a 20% chance to win. Genk ranks lower and has struggled to maintain consistent form, whereas Ferencváros appears more stable in recent Europa League matches. Both teams have competitive European experience but Genk will leverage playing at home.
• Historical head-to-head data is limited, but past encounters indicate tight matches with no clear dominance by either side. Both teams have scored and conceded in previous meetings, suggesting a competitive and potentially close game.
• No detailed injury reports are currently available for either team, which suggests that the squads could be near full strength for the match.
• Playing at Cegeka Arena provides Genk with home crowd support, travel fatigue for Ferencváros traveling from Hungary may slightly impact their performance. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for early October in Belgium, likely not a significant factor.
• Both teams are motivated to gain points early in the Europa League group stage. Ferencváros, given their slightly better form and ranks, might be motivated to assert their superiority, whereas Genk looks to capitalize on home advantage to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	KRC Genk: -181, Ferencváros TC: 420, Draw: 340	KRC Genk	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	KRC Genk -1: -112, Ferencváros TC +1: -118	KRC Genk -1	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 3: -120, Under 3: -110	Under 3 goals	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	KRC Genk -13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tightly contested match with a slight edge to Ferencváros to win or draw, considering their form and odds. Expect a competitive game with potential for goals but a narrow margin.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Ferencváros TC vs Viktoria Plzeň – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-25
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Groupama Aréna, Budapest, Hungary

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League match between Ferencváros TC and Viktoria Plzeň is a key group phase fixture hosted in Budapest, Hungary. Both clubs have had mixed results in their recent encounters, with Viktoria Plzeň registering a strong 3-0 away win in the previous knockout stage meeting, following a narrow 1-0 loss away. Ferencváros, Hungarian champions, are aiming to leverage their home advantage against the Czech runners-up Viktoria Plzeň, who have shown strong offensive capabilities recently.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ferencváros TC has shown resilience at home but suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat against Viktoria Plzeň earlier in the year. Viktoria Plzeň displayed attacking prowess in that match with three second-half goals, while Ferencváros rely heavily on tight defense and quick counterattacks. Recent form indicates Viktoria Plzeň has better clinical finishing and shot accuracy.
• The teams played twice in early 2025 in the UEFA Europa League knockout play-offs with Viktoria Plzeň winning 3-0 at home after losing 1-0 in Budapest. Both fixtures were tightly contested but Viktoria’s efficiency in attack made the difference.
• No prominent injury reports or suspensions are currently flagged for either side ahead of this match, suggesting both teams will likely field their strongest available lineups.
• Ferencváros benefits from home advantage at Groupama Aréna with strong fan support. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral with no significant external disruption. Travel fatigue is minimal as both teams are well prepared in the European competition context.
• Both teams aim to secure crucial group stage points as the UEFA Europa League progresses. Viktoria Plzeň will want to reinforce their prior dominance, whereas Ferencváros seeks redemption and to avoid a repeat heavy defeat at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ferencváros TC: 140, Viktoria Plzeň: 183, Draw: 240	Ferencváros to win	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Ferencváros TC: 0 -135, Viktoria Plzeň: 0 105	Ferencváros to cover the spread (0)	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -105	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ferencváros TC 46%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ferencváros TC at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A competitive match is expected with Viktoria Plzeň slightly favored due to their past performance and current odds. A draw or narrow Viktoria Plzeň win is the most probable outcome given the tight head-to-head history and importance of securing points.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 25, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Sao Paulo vs. LDU Quito Prediction	Sao Paulo	-245	399%
Ferencváros TC vs. Viktoria Plzeň Prediction	Ferencváros TC	140	46%
Young Boys vs. Panathinaikos FC Prediction	Young Boys	129	42%

Combined Odds: +674 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $154.79

Match Analysis: Viktoria Plzeň vs Ferencváros TC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-20
• Time: 20:00 UTC
• Location: Stadion Mesta Plzne, Plzen city

Game Overview

Viktoria Plzeň hosts Ferencváros TC in the UEFA Europa League, with Plzeň favored due to their strong home performance and Ferencváros's mixed recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Viktoria Plzeň has shown strong goal-scoring ability, especially in the second half, while Ferencváros has struggled with consistency in their recent matches.
• Ferencváros won the previous meeting between the two teams, but Viktoria Plzeň generally performs well at home.
• No significant injury reports have been noted for either team.
• Weather conditions are not expected to significantly impact the match.
• Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the competition, but Viktoria Plzeň may have an edge due to home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Viktoria Plzeň: -150, Ferencváros TC: 400, Draw: 290	Viktoria Plzeň	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Viktoria Plzeň: -0.75 -120, Ferencváros TC: 0.75 100	Viktoria Plzeň -0.75	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -109, Under 2.5: -113	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Viktoria Plzeň is likely to win due to their strong home form and Ferencváros's inconsistent performance.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Viktoria Plzeň