Match Analysis: Fenerbahce vs Nice – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-02
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, Istanbul
Game Overview
This UEFA Europa League Round 2 match features Turkish side Fenerbahçe hosting French side Nice. Both teams have mixed recent results in domestic and European competitions, with Fenerbahçe showing stronger home form and Nice facing some injury setbacks.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fenerbahçe has won 3 of their last 5 games in all competitions, including a strong 2-0 home win recently. Nice has struggled away from home with 2 losses and 1 draw in last 4 matches and key absences due to injury reduce squad depth.
- Recent direct encounters are limited and inconclusive. However, Fenerbahçe's home advantage and more consistent recent form give them a slight edge in the matchup.
- Fenerbahçe missing Jhon Duran due to injury—limited offensive impact expected but still a solid squad. Nice absent key players Tanguy Ndombélé, Mohamed Abdelmonem, Youssouf Ndayishimiye due to injury and Gabin Bernardeau due to international duty, weakening their midfield and defense.
- Fenerbahçe playing at home in a familiar, supportive environment with no travel fatigue. Nice traveling internationally with a diminished squad, possible fatigue and lower morale.
- Both teams motivated by Europa League progress; Fenerbahçe more motivated to recover from recent away loss and capitalize on home advantage; Nice seek to stabilize after recent poor run and injuries.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Fenerbahçe: -153, Nice: 390, Draw: 290 | Fenerbahçe | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Fenerbahçe -0.75: -125, Nice +75: -105 | Fenerbahçe -0.75 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -105 | Under 2.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fenerbahce 194% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 27% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Fenerbahce at 194% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fenerbahçe to win with under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0