Match Analysis: Pat Brown vs Felix Valera – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Caribe Royale Orlando, Orlando, United States
Game Overview
Pat Brown faces Felix Valera in a 10-round Cruiserweight bout. Brown is a heavy favorite, with odds reflecting a dominant probability of victory. Valera is a significant underdog, but his counter-punching style offers a slim upset chance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pat Brown has consistently opened as a massive favorite in recent fights, with odds as low as -10000 in some bouts, indicating a pattern of dominance. Felix Valera has not faced similar competition and lacks the same level of proven success.
- No previous encounters between Brown and Valera. Brown's aggressive style is expected to pressure Valera, who relies on defensive lapses and counter-punching.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- The fight is in Orlando, a neutral venue. Both fighters must make the 200-pound Cruiserweight limit. The bout is scheduled for 10 rounds, which may favor Brown's relentless pace.
- Brown is motivated to maintain his undefeated status and continue his rise in the division. Valera has the incentive to pull off a major upset and gain recognition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pat Brown: -1600, Felix Valera: 800 | Pat Brown | ★★★★☆ 88% |
| Spread | Pat Brown -6.5: -110, Felix Valera +6.5: -110 | Pat Brown -6.5 | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: -120, Under 8.5 rounds: -110 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pat Brown -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Pat Brown at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pat Brown wins by decision or stoppage, likely before the final rounds.
Predicted Score: Pat Brown wins by TKO in round 7