Match Analysis: Fedor Duric vs Petru Buzdugan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Festhalle, Frankfurt, Germany
Game Overview
Lightweight bout between Fedor Duric and Petru Buzdugan at OKTAGON 76, featuring two skilled fighters with somewhat comparable experience and records but different physical attributes.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fedor Duric holds a 7-1 record and recently inflicted a submission loss on Petru Buzdugan, who stands at 6-2. Duric shows solid grappling and finishing ability, having won by rear-naked choke against Buzdugan in their last meeting.
- Fedor Duric defeated Petru Buzdugan by submission (rear naked choke) in their most recent encounter, demonstrating technical dominance on the ground.
- No known current injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
- The fight takes place in Frankfurt, Germany, Duric's home country, potentially giving him a psychological edge with crowd support and familiar surroundings.
- Duric aims to rebound strongly after a prior loss and validate his status as a top lightweight in OKTAGON MMA, while Buzdugan looks to avenge his defeat and upset a home favorite.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -649 | Fedor Duric | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Spread | -1.5 at -150 | Fedor Duric by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds at +110 / Under 2.5 rounds at -130 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fedor Duric to win via submission
Predicted Score: Fedor Duric wins by submission in round 2