Match Analysis: SC Telstar vs FC Volendam – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: BUKO Stadion, Velsen, Netherlands

Game Overview

SC Telstar will host FC Volendam in the Eredivisie Round 3 at BUKO Stadion. Both teams are seeking their first wins of the season. Telstar is currently ranked 16th, and FC Volendam 12th. Historically, FC Volendam has dominated the head-to-head with 13 wins to Telstar's 5 and 8 draws. Volendam however has not won their last 6 Eredivisie matches while Telstar's recent form shows mixed results.

Key Factors to Consider

• Telstar scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches but are goalless in their last 2. They have not kept a clean sheet in their last 5 games. FC Volendam scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches but have also failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 matches. Volendam is in a form slump with 6 consecutive Eredivisie matches without a win, whereas Telstar's form shows some recent resilience.
• Out of the last 26 meetings, FC Volendam leads with 13 wins, Telstar has 5, and there have been 8 draws. In their last 10 encounters, Volendam is unbeaten against Telstar (6 wins, 4 draws), suggesting an upper hand psychologically and historically in this fixture.
• No specific injury data is available from the search results for either team ahead of this match, suggesting no major reported absences at this time.
• The match is at home for Telstar which could give them a slight advantage. Weather or pitch conditions were not mentioned and are assumed standard. The referee will be Sander van der Eijk, experienced in Eredivisie matches.
• Both teams are looking for their first Eredivisie win this season which adds competitive intensity. Telstar, being lower in the table (16th), may be more motivated to capitalize on home advantage against a struggling Volendam (12th) currently on a winless streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	FC Volendam: 1.83, SC Telstar: 1.26, Draw: 2.75	Draw	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	FC Volendam: -0.25 at -120, SC Telstar: +25 at 100	SC Telstar +0.25	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 3: -105, Under 3: -115	Under 3 goals	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	SC Telstar 31%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: SC Telstar at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match is expected with a slight advantage to FC Volendam due to historical dominance and overall team strength, yet current form and home advantage for Telstar suggest a draw or narrow Volendam win is most likely.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: FC Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-17
• Time: 2:45 PM UTC
• Location: Kras Stadion, Volendam, Netherlands

Game Overview

FC Volendam hosts AZ Alkmaar in the Dutch Eredivisie at Kras Stadion. FC Volendam currently ranks 10th in the league while AZ Alkmaar holds 4th place. Historically, AZ Alkmaar has a dominant record in this fixture with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 meetings. FC Volendam has shown mixed form with some recent heavy defeats but also occasional wins, whereas AZ Alkmaar displays strong offensive form with multiple recent high-scoring victories domestically and in UEFA Conference League qualifiers.

Key Factors to Consider

• AZ Alkmaar is in superior form, scoring an average of over 3 goals in recent matches and maintaining defensive solidity. FC Volendam has struggled defensively, failing to keep clean sheets in 6 consecutive games and suffering some heavy losses, but have shown fighting spirit at home. Volendam's top chance creator is Robert Mühren, though overall attacking threat is lower than AZ's.
• AZ Alkmaar leads head-to-head with 4 wins and 1 draw over FC Volendam in their last 5 matches. FC Volendam has yet to win against AZ Alkmaar historically in this recent sample.
• No explicit injury data provided from the available sources; expected lineups to be confirmed closer to match time.
• The match is played at FC Volendam’s home stadium, which might provide some home advantage, but AZ Alkmaar’s superior form and ranking offset this. No adverse weather or other external factors reported.
• AZ Alkmaar, positioned 4th aiming for European qualification, is motivated to secure a win early in the season. FC Volendam, mid-table and with weak early form, will seek points to boost their standing and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	AZ Alkmaar: -178, FC Volendam: 405, Draw: 345	AZ Alkmaar win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	AZ Alkmaar -1: -110, FC Volendam +1: -110	AZ Alkmaar -1	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.25: -110, Under 3.25: -110	Over 3.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	AZ Alkmaar -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AZ Alkmaar is favored to win due to stronger recent form, superior head-to-head, and higher league standing. However, some goal scoring from Volendam is expected given their home setting and slight offensive capabilities.

Predicted Score: 2-4

Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs FC Volendam – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen, Netherlands

Game Overview

SC Heerenveen hosts FC Volendam in this Eredivisie clash with Heerenveen currently struggling near the lower ranks (16th) and FC Volendam in a much stronger position (7th). Heerenveen has a strong historical dominance over Volendam but recent home form shows mixed results. Volendam is coming off a poor run and has yet to win recently, while Heerenveen remain unbeaten at home in 5 matches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Heerenveen is ranked 16th but unbeaten in 5 home games and has a higher goal scoring average (1.5 goals per match) than Volendam (1.1 goals). Volendam has not won in their last 7 attempts and suffered 5 straight losses previously. Heerenveen has managed to keep no clean sheets in 9 matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
• Heerenveen has dominated the head to head record with 12 wins in the last 14 meetings across all competitions. Recently, Heerenveen has won 7 of the last 8 encounters against Volendam. The last match at Abe Lenstra resulted in a 2-1 Heerenveen victory.
• No specific injury information available in the data for either team at this time, likely to be updated closer to the match.
• The match takes place at Heerenveen's home stadium, which historically benefits them. Weather, pitch condition, and other typical external factors are not indicated as impacting the match presently.
• Heerenveen’s motivation to improve their league standing and maintain home unbeaten streak contrasts with Volendam struggling to gain momentum after their string of losses. Volendam’s mid-table position also adds pressure to avoid further decline.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Heerenveen: -174, FC Volendam: 435, Draw: 315	Heerenveen win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Heerenveen -1: -102, FC Volendam +1: -118	Heerenveen -1	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -112	Under 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Heerenveen -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on historical dominance, current form, and home advantage, Heerenveen is favored to win this match, though defensive vulnerabilities could allow Volendam to score. A closely contested game with a likely Heerenveen victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1