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FC St. Pauli vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg – St. Pauli, Germany

Game Overview

The Bundesliga Round 1 match features FC St. Pauli hosting Borussia Dortmund at Millerntor-Stadion. Borussia Dortmund enters as the strong favorite given historical dominance and recent scoring form, while FC St. Pauli aims to start their season strongly at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Borussia Dortmund has scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches, showcasing strong offensive capacity. FC St. Pauli has scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches but suffered 2 losses in 3 recent home games, indicating inconsistency at home.
  • Historically, Borussia Dortmund dominates with 7 wins to FC St. Pauli's 1 across prior matchups, with no draws recorded between them. This suggests a psychological and tactical advantage for Dortmund.
  • No specific data on injuries is available from current sources; lineups will be confirmed closer to match time, which may impact both teams' strategies.
  • Playing at home provides FC St. Pauli with venue advantage, but Dortmund's experience and strong form mitigate this. Weather or other external conditions not noted to majorly impact.
  • Borussia Dortmund aims to assert dominance early in the season given their goal-scoring momentum. FC St. Pauli will be motivated to capitalize on home support and start the season positively but face a tough challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Borussia Dortmund: -132, FC St. Pauli: 360, Draw: 280 Borussia Dortmund β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Borussia Dortmund: -0.75 -104, FC St. Pauli: +75 -116 Borussia Dortmund to cover -0.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over 2.75: 100, Under 2.75: -120 Over 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Borussia Dortmund 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Borussia Dortmund is predicted to win the match, leveraging superior recent offensive performance, dominant head-to-head history, and betting odds favoring them.

Predicted Score: Borussia Dortmund 3 – 1 FC St. Pauli


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FC St. Pauli vs. VfL Bochum Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 17 May 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg – St. Pauli, Germany

Game Overview

FC St. Pauli, currently 14th in the standings with 32 points, will face off against 18th-placed VfL Bochum, who have 22 points. Both teams are looking to improve their league standing, with St. Pauli seeking a win to secure a better position and Bochum aiming to avoid relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Pauli has struggled recently, winning only 2 of their last 14 matches in the Bundesliga. However, they have been undefeated in 6 of their last 7 home encounters with Bochum. Bochum, on the other hand, has a high loss rate this season and is desperate for points.
  • The recent head-to-head matchups between St. Pauli and Bochum have shown a tendency towards draws, with a 50% draw rate in their last 6 meetings.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • The home advantage for St. Pauli could be a significant factor, as they often perform better at Millerntor-Stadion.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with St. Pauli looking to secure a safer position and Bochum fighting to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -155 (St. Pauli), 380 (Bochum), 330 (Draw) St. Pauli to win β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜†β˜† 41%
Spread -0.75 -122 (St. Pauli), 75 102 (Bochum) St. Pauli to cover the spread β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜†β˜† 35%
Over/under Over 3 -105, Under 3 -115 Under 3 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC St. Pauli 106%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: FC St. Pauli at 106% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent form and home advantage, St. Pauli is slightly favored to win this match.

Predicted Score: St. Pauli 1, VfL Bochum 0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 17, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 17, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Sao Paulo vs. GrΓͺmio Prediction Sao Paulo -120 153%
FC St. Pauli vs. VfL Bochum Prediction FC St. Pauli -155 106%
New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls Prediction New York City FC 115 95%

Combined Odds: +548 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $129.69

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – May 11, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Eintracht Frankfurt Win -195 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Boavista Porto vs. FC Porto Prediction FC Porto -1.25 -110 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Torino vs. Inter Milan Prediction Inter Milan -1 -102 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +472

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $114.39

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FC St. Pauli vs. VfB Stuttgart Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg – St. Pauli, Germany

Game Overview

Mid-table clash between 14th-placed FC St. Pauli and 11th-placed VfB Stuttgart. Limited head-to-head data available for the 2024/2025 season, with only one prior meeting mentioned in search results (specific outcome unreported). Both teams demonstrated attacking intent in previous fixtures, with Stuttgart showing offensive flair via players like FΓΌhrich and Stiller.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Stuttgart displays better recent form based on implied match commentary (creating chances, aggressive attacks), while St. Pauli relies on Guilavogui's return to boost their attack[1][4].
  • Insufficient head-to-head data for the current season. Historical Bundesliga encounters are not detailed in available sources[1][3][5].
  • No specific injury reports available in provided data.
  • Home advantage for St. Pauli at the Millerntor-Stadion, known for its passionate crowd[2][5].
  • Both teams likely pushing for mid-table security, with potential for high-intensity play given close league positions[1][2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC St. Pauli: +170 | Draw: +255 | VfB Stuttgart: +150 VfB Stuttgart (moneyline) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread FC St. Pauli: 0 (+100) | VfB Stuttgart: 0 (-120) VfB Stuttgart (spread) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over/under Over 2.75 (+102) | Under 2.75 (-122) Under 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline VfB Stuttgart 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

VfB Stuttgart to edge a close match given marginally better squad depth and recent attacking form, but St. Pauli's home advantage introduces volatility.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Werder Bremen vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Werder Bremen vs FC St. Pauli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Weserstadion, Bremen

Game Overview

Werder Bremen, ranked 8th, faces FC St. Pauli, ranked 14th, in a Bundesliga match on April 27, 2025. Both teams are seeking crucial points for different reasons: Werder Bremen to solidify their mid-table position and St. Pauli to avoid relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Werder Bremen has generally performed better throughout the season, with a stronger recent form compared to St. Pauli.
  • Recent head-to-head matches favor Werder Bremen, who have notched more wins against St. Pauli in their last few encounters.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but these can influence team dynamics and performance.
  • Home advantage may favor Werder Bremen, as playing at the Weserstadion often boosts their morale and performance.
  • St. Pauli, being lower in the standings, might have higher motivation to secure points and avoid relegation, while Werder Bremen aims to maintain their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -110, away: 280, draw: 275 Werder Bremen β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread home: -0.5 -108, away: 50 -112 Werder Bremen -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over: 2.5 -120, under: 2.5 100 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Werder Bremen 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Werder Bremen at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Werder Bremen is likely to emerge victorious due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Werder Bremen


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – April 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction Real Madrid Win -150 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
FC St. Pauli vs. Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 -112 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Fluminense vs. Vitoria Prediction Fluminense Win -170 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +401

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $100.21

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Holstein Kiel vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-12
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Holstein-Stadion, Kiel, Germany

Game Overview

Holstein Kiel faces FC St. Pauli in a crucial Bundesliga match, with both teams struggling for form. St. Pauli ranks 15th, while Holstein Kiel is 18th, indicating the importance of this match in their season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Holstein Kiel has struggled this season with only 18 points from 28 games, while St. Pauli has managed 25 points. Recent performances show mixed results for both teams.
  • Historically, matches between Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli often end in competitive results, with the most common outcome being a 1-1 draw. However, St. Pauli has had a slight edge in recent matches.
  • Both teams face injuries, with notable absences for Holstein Kiel including Patrick Erras and Benedikt Pichler, while St. Pauli misses players like Simon Zoller and Karol Mets.
  • The home advantage could be crucial for Holstein Kiel, but they have struggled to capitalize on it consistently.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points to avoid relegation, with every match being critical to their season's outcome.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC St. Pauli: 135, Holstein Kiel: 205, Draw: 245 Draw or St. Pauli Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread FC St. Pauli: -0.25 102, Holstein Kiel: 25 -122 Holstein Kiel +0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over_under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC St. Pauli 41%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: FC St. Pauli at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given their recent performances and historical data, St. Pauli might have a slight edge, but the match could be closely contested, and a draw is plausible.

Predicted Score: 1-1 or 1-2 in favor of St. Pauli


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Bayern Munich vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bayern Munich vs FC St. Pauli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-29
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Arena

Game Overview

Bayern Munich, the top team in the Bundesliga, hosts FC St. Pauli, who are currently 14th in the league. Bayern has a strong record against promoted teams at home and a favorable head-to-head history against St. Pauli.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bayern Munich has been dominant this season, scoring 75 goals and conceding only 24 in 26 games. St. Pauli, on the other hand, has scored just 20 goals while conceding 30.
  • Bayern Munich has a significant advantage historically, winning eight of their last nine matches against St. Pauli. The most recent meeting ended in a 0-1 win for Bayern.
  • Bayern Munich is missing players like JoΓ£o Palhinha and Kim Min-Jae, while St. Pauli has key players like M. Guilavogui and J. Sands sidelined.
  • The home advantage and Bayern's strong attacking lineup favor them, but St. Pauli's solid defensive record could pose some challenges.
  • Bayern Munich is highly motivated to maintain their top position in the league, while St. Pauli needs points to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -725 (Bayern), 1700 (St. Pauli), 750 (Draw) Bayern Munich β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread -2.25 -105 (Bayern), 2.25 -115 (St. Pauli) Bayern Munich -2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over_under Over 3.25 -108, Under 3.25 -112 Over 3.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Predicted Outcome

Bayern Munich is likely to win due to their stronger team performance and historical advantages.

Predicted Score: Bayern Munich 3, FC St. Pauli 0


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VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-08
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Volkswagen Arena

Game Overview

VfL Wolfsburg, currently 7th in the Bundesliga, hosts FC St. Pauli, who are 15th. Wolfsburg has shown stronger form recently, while St. Pauli struggles to secure wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wolfsburg has a better overall performance with 10 wins compared to St. Pauli's 6. Wolfsburg recently beat Bremen 2-1, while St. Pauli lost to Dortmund 0-2.
  • The last match between them ended in a 0-0 draw. Historically, Wolfsburg has a slight edge but not significantly dominant.
  • No specific injury reports are highlighted for this match.
  • Home advantage could favor Wolfsburg, but St. Pauli might be motivated to improve their relegation position.
  • Wolfsburg aims to maintain their top-half position, while St. Pauli needs points to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC St. Pauli: 370, VfL Wolfsburg: -135, Draw: 280 VfL Wolfsburg β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread FC St. Pauli: 75 -115, VfL Wolfsburg: -0.75 -105 VfL Wolfsburg -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over_under Over: 2.5 -112, Under: 2.5 -108 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Predicted Outcome

Wolfsburg is likely to win due to their stronger form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of VfL Wolfsburg


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