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Werder Bremen vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Werder Bremen vs FC St. Pauli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Weserstadion

Game Overview

A crucial Bundesliga match between Werder Bremen and St. Pauli, with Werder attempting to escape the relegation zone and St. Pauli aiming to halt their recent form dip.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Werder Bremen is currently in 8th place with 46 points, while St. Pauli ranks 14th with 31 points. Werder has shown more consistency in recent games.
  • Recent matches have seen under 2.5 goals often, reflecting cautious play by both teams.
  • St. Pauli has players like Irvine and Jones R.J. struggling with injuries.
  • Home advantage could significantly boost Werder Bremen’s chances.
  • Werder Bremen is highly motivated to win given their current position and recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Werder Bremen: 132, St. Pauli: 190, Draw: 260 Werder Bremen β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Werder Bremen: -0.25 102, St. Pauli: 25 -122 Werder Bremen β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Under 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Werder Bremen 39%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 40%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Werder Bremen will win a low-scoring match with under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


0 0

FC St. Pauli vs. Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg, Germany

Game Overview

FC St. Pauli hosts Bayer Leverkusen in a Bundesliga fixture where Leverkusen enter as favorites, looking to capitalize on slightly better recent form and a more consistent away record despite St. Pauli's strong home presence.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Pauli has a solid home record (1-1-0) while Bayer Leverkusen shows inconsistent away results (0-1-0). Leverkusen overall trend is mixed but they have higher quality and recent experience in Bundesliga top-table matches.
  • Recent H2H resulted in a 1-1 draw in April 2025. Leverkusen has dominated implied probabilities previously with nearly 59% implied win chance, showing historical edge but no runaway dominance.
  • No precise injury information available from current data, likely mostly full squads though potential minor absences could slightly tilt balance toward home team resilience.
  • Weather and pitch conditions at Millerntor-Stadion usually favor home side’s physical, pressing style. No major travel fatigue or scheduling conflicts detected.
  • Leverkusen needs points to stabilize mid-table position, motivating an aggressive approach; St. Pauli aims to maintain strong home form to amass crucial points, likely leading to a competitive but close match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen: +125, FC St. Pauli: +210, Draw: +245 Bayer Leverkusen β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Bayer Leverkusen -0.25: -105, FC St. Pauli +25: -115 Bayer Leverkusen -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 64%
Over/under Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Bayer Leverkusen at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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VfB Stuttgart vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs FC St. Pauli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-19
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: MHP Arena, Stuttgart, Germany

Game Overview

This Bundesliga match features VfB Stuttgart hosting FC St. Pauli, with Stuttgart sitting 12th and St. Pauli 4th in the league. Stuttgart have a perfect home record this season, while St. Pauli boasts strong away form with high goal output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Stuttgart is 1-2 in last 5 matches but unbeaten at home early in the season; St. Pauli is 2-0-1 with 7 goals in 3 matches, showing strong offensive capability.
  • Historically, Stuttgart has dominated this matchup, especially at home, giving them a psychological edge.
  • St. Pauli is missing Abdoulie Ceesay (ankle) among forwards; no major injuries reported for Stuttgart.
  • Home crowd advantage at Mercedes-Benz Arena (MHP Arena) favors Stuttgart, with match kickoff Friday evening under favorable conditions.
  • Both teams motivated to improve league position; Stuttgart to capitalize on home form, St. Pauli aiming to consolidate top 4 standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline VfB Stuttgart -136, Draw +300, FC St. Pauli +340 VfB Stuttgart β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread VfB Stuttgart -0.75 (-108), FC St. Pauli +75 (-112) VfB Stuttgart -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.75 (-105), Under 2.75 (-115) Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline VfB Stuttgart -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

VfB Stuttgart to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread, and the game to go over 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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FC St. Pauli vs. Augsburg Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Augsburg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion

Game Overview

FC St. Pauli hosts FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga matchday 3 fixture at Millerntor-Stadion. St. Pauli sits 5th with 4 points, while Augsburg is 7th with 3 points. Both teams have shown promising starts with St. Pauli unbeaten and Augsburg having mixed results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Pauli has displayed a strong start including a 2-0 away win vs Hamburg and a 3-3 draw with Borussia Dortmund, showing good defense and attack. Augsburg has been inconsistent, narrowly losing to Bayern Munich at home but convincingly beating Freiburg away.
  • Recent head-to-heads favor balanced competition but St. Pauli's home advantage and tactical discipline have often given them an edge.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team that would significantly impact starters or key players.
  • Match played at Millerntor-Stadion offers home crowd support for St. Pauli. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
  • St. Pauli motivated to leverage home advantage and remain unbeaten, while Augsburg looks to stabilize their season with an away result.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC St. Pauli: 119, Draw: 230, Augsburg: 235 FC St. Pauli β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread FC St. Pauli -0.25: -115, Augsburg +25: -105 FC St. Pauli -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC St. Pauli 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: FC St. Pauli at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC St. Pauli to win outright on the moneyline; FC St. Pauli -0.25 on the spread; Under 2.25 goals total.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Hamburger SV vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Hamburger SV vs FC St. Pauli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-29
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Hamburger SV Home Stadium

Game Overview

This Bundesliga match pits Hamburg SV against FC St. Pauli in a regional derby with high local rivalry. Both teams have shown offensive struggles early in the season, but Hamburg SV holds the slight edge playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hamburger SV has scored only 1 goal in their first two league matches and generally struggles offensively, averaging around 0.33 goals in their last six games. St. Pauli shows similar attacking weakness, having scored 28 goals in 34 matches last season with a high frequency of under 2.5 goal games (71%).
  • In their last meeting, Hamburger SV narrowly won 1-0, highlighting a typically low-scoring and tight contest between the two sides.
  • No prominent injuries reported that significantly affect starting lineups for either team.
  • The match is a derby with intense local rivalry which can increase competitive motivation but may also cause cautious play.
  • Hamburger SV, playing at home, will be motivated to secure a win early in the season to build momentum. St. Pauli will aim to upset the home side but has shown less consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamburger SV: 138, FC St. Pauli: 200, Draw: 230 Hamburger SV β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Hamburger SV -0.25: 105, FC St. Pauli +25: -125 Hamburger SV -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -112 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hamburger SV 31%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Hamburger SV at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamburger SV to win on the moneyline, Hamburger SV -0.25 on the spread, Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 29, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Leicester City vs. Birmingham City Prediction Leicester City 139 31%
Gil Vicente vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Gil Vicente 138 31%
Hamburger SV vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Hamburger SV 138 31%

Combined Odds: +1254 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $270.76

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FC St. Pauli vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg, Germany

Game Overview

The match between FC St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund marks the start of the Bundesliga season. St. Pauli, newly promoted, hosts title contenders Dortmund, setting up a potentially exciting encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Borussia Dortmund enjoyed a strong finish to the previous season, while St. Pauli seeks to establish itself in the top league.
  • Historically, Dortmund has held the upper hand, but recent form isn't directly comparable given St. Pauli's promotion.
  • Notable injuries include Dortmund's Niklas SΓΌle, who will miss the game due to a calf injury.
  • The match is at St. Pauli's home, which could provide an energetic atmosphere but might not offset Dortmund's quality.
  • Both teams are motivated to start the season positively, but Dortmund's experience and quality give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Borussia Dortmund: -132, FC St. Pauli: 360, Draw: 280 Borussia Dortmund β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Borussia Dortmund: -0.75 -104, FC St. Pauli: 75 -116 Borussia Dortmund -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 67%
Over/under Over: 2.75 100, Under: 2.75 -120 Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Borussia Dortmund 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Borussia Dortmund is likely to win, with a high probability of both teams scoring.

Predicted Score: 2-1 for Borussia Dortmund


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FC St. Pauli vs. VfL Bochum Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg – St. Pauli, Germany

Game Overview

The match between FC St. Pauli and VfL Bochum is a crucial Bundesliga fixture as both teams fight to improve their league standings. St. Pauli currently holds 14th place with 32 points, while Bochum languishes in 18th with 22 points, making this encounter significant for relegation battles. St. Pauli requires a win to solidify their safety, while Bochum desperately needs points to avoid relegation. Previous meetings show a balanced rivalry with a high frequency of draws.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Pauli has shown moderate home form with 3 losses in their last 6 home matches, while Bochum has struggled away and suffered a 65% loss rate this season. St. Pauli’s recent form is slightly better, including a few key wins that have helped them stay above the drop zone, whereas Bochum has been on a poor run of form with multiple losses in recent fixtures.
  • In the last 6 head-to-head matches between St. Pauli and Bochum, 50% ended in draws, indicating a competitive and closely contested history. Neither team has dominated, which suggests this match could follow the pattern of tight contests.
  • No specific injury data is provided in the current research; however, any key absences especially in defense or midfield could influence the outcome given the tight nature of both teams’ recent performances.
  • Playing at Millerntor-Stadion gives St. Pauli a home advantage. Additionally, the motivation to avoid relegation and end the season strongly may impact both teams’ intensity and tactical approach.
  • St. Pauli is motivated to secure their Bundesliga status with a win given their precarious position, while Bochum faces immense pressure to escape the relegation zone, making this a high-stakes match for both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC St. Pauli: -155, VfL Bochum: 380, Draw: 330 FC St. Pauli win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread FC St. Pauli -0.75: -122, VfL Bochum +75: 102 FC St. Pauli -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 3: -105, Under 3: -115 Under 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC St. Pauli -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC St. Pauli is favored to win due to better recent form, home advantage, and higher motivation to secure points, though Bochum will be a tough opponent given their desperation and history of draws between the teams.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC St. Pauli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Deutsche Bank Park

Game Overview

The Bundesliga match between Eintracht Frankfurt and FC St. Pauli at Deutsche Bank Park features a home side with stronger recent form and historical dominance. Eintracht Frankfurt has won the majority of their past meetings against St. Pauli, particularly at home, and they are generally more consistent in the Bundesliga. Both teams have shown mixed form recently, but Frankfurt's home advantage and superior head-to-head record position them as favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eintracht Frankfurt's home form is strong with 10 wins in 16 home Bundesliga games and only 3 losses, while FC St. Pauli has struggled away with just 5 wins in 16 matches and 9 losses. Frankfurt has been relatively stable, with multiple draws in recent matches but still maintaining a solid record at home. St. Pauli has a mixed record with fewer wins and a challenging away form.
  • In the last 6 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt has won 4 and St. Pauli only 1, with 1 draw. Overall, Frankfurt has won 5 out of 8 direct matches historically, showing a strong dominance over St. Pauli, especially in Bundesliga fixtures. The average goals per match in these encounters is around 2.6, indicating a moderately scoring game.
  • No specific injury information is currently available for either team, suggesting both squads may be near full strength for this fixture.
  • The match is played at Deutsche Bank Park, giving Frankfurt home advantage. There are no apparent disruptive external factors such as weather or travel concerns reported.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt is motivated to maintain their unbeaten home streak in recent Bundesliga matches and continue their dominance over St. Pauli. St. Pauli will be eager to upset the form book and improve their poor away record but face a tough challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -195, away: 475, draw: 350 Eintracht Frankfurt to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread home: -1 -118, away: 1 -102 Eintracht Frankfurt -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over: 2.75 -112, under: 2.75 -108 Over 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eintracht Frankfurt 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eintracht Frankfurt is predicted to win narrowly with a final score of 2-1, leveraging their home form and historical dominance while St. Pauli is expected to provide resistance and score at least once.

Predicted Score: 2-1


0 0

FC St. Pauli vs. VfB Stuttgart Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg – St. Pauli, Germany

Game Overview

Mid-table clash between 14th-placed FC St. Pauli and 11th-placed VfB Stuttgart. Limited head-to-head data available for the 2024/2025 season, with only one prior meeting mentioned in search results (specific outcome unreported). Both teams demonstrated attacking intent in previous fixtures, with Stuttgart showing offensive flair via players like FΓΌhrich and Stiller.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Stuttgart displays better recent form based on implied match commentary (creating chances, aggressive attacks), while St. Pauli relies on Guilavogui's return to boost their attack[1][4].
  • Insufficient head-to-head data for the current season. Historical Bundesliga encounters are not detailed in available sources[1][3][5].
  • No specific injury reports available in provided data.
  • Home advantage for St. Pauli at the Millerntor-Stadion, known for its passionate crowd[2][5].
  • Both teams likely pushing for mid-table security, with potential for high-intensity play given close league positions[1][2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC St. Pauli: +170 | Draw: +255 | VfB Stuttgart: +150 VfB Stuttgart (moneyline) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread FC St. Pauli: 0 (+100) | VfB Stuttgart: 0 (-120) VfB Stuttgart (spread) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over/under Over 2.75 (+102) | Under 2.75 (-122) Under 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline VfB Stuttgart 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

VfB Stuttgart to edge a close match given marginally better squad depth and recent attacking form, but St. Pauli's home advantage introduces volatility.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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