Match Analysis: Fairfield Stags vs Florida Gators – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-31
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Don and Chris Cook Field (Fairfield's home stadium)

Game Overview

The Fairfield Stags are set to face off against the Florida Gators in an NCAA baseball matchup. The game features a strong Florida team favored heavily by bookmakers, with Fairfield as the underdog at home. The match is crucial for both teams as they look to validate their season performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fairfield Stags have had a solid season with a record including key wins and losses, playing a challenging schedule and winning four consecutive MAAC titles. Florida Gators have demonstrated dominant performance throughout their season, with a stronger roster and higher competitive level in NCAA baseball.
• There is limited direct head-to-head data between Fairfield Stags and Florida Gators in recent seasons, as they come from different conferences and usually do not meet often, making this game somewhat unpredictable based on direct past encounters.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team at this time, suggesting both teams will likely be near full strength.
• The game is played at Fairfield's home field, which can provide some home advantage. Weather conditions at game time are expected to be neutral with no reported adverse effects.
• Fairfield is motivated to prove itself against a top-tier program, while Florida aims to confirm its status as a powerhouse and continue its winning trajectory in NCAA baseball.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fairfield Stags: 400, Florida Gators: -620	Florida Gators to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Fairfield Stags: 5.5 +100, Florida Gators: -5.5 -130	Florida Gators to cover -5.5 spread	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: 15.5 -115, Under: 15.5 -115	Over 15.5 runs	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Florida Gators -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 15.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 15.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Florida Gators are predicted to win the game comfortably given their superior form, talent depth, and odds favoring them significantly. Fairfield may struggle to cover the large spread but can be competitive in runs scored.

Predicted Score: Florida Gators 10 – 4 Fairfield Stags

Match Analysis: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-30
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Coastal Carolina University Baseball Stadium

Game Overview

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, ranked #13, will host the Fairfield Stags on May 30, 2025. Coastal Carolina has a strong 2025 season with solid performances backed by a well-rounded pitching staff and lineup. Fairfield Stags, recent four-time MAAC regular season champions, have shown resilience and competitive play but are underdogs in this matchup given Coastal Carolina’s higher national ranking and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have had a robust season, consistently performing well in both offense and defense, maintaining a strong winning record. Fairfield Stags have a solid program with a good conference record but face challenges on the road and against top-tier teams like Coastal Carolina.
• Recent head-to-head matchups favor Coastal Carolina, who has dominated Fairfield in previous meetings, including a convincing 10-1 win on April 4. Fairfield’s chances improve slightly with their strong conference play but historically struggle against Coastal Carolina’s pitching and batting depth.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the current date, indicating both teams are expected to field their best lineups.
• The game is hosted at Coastal Carolina’s home stadium, giving them the home field advantage. Weather and other external conditions are not reported to negatively affect the game.
• Coastal Carolina is motivated to maintain their high ranking and secure postseason positioning, while Fairfield aims to upset a highly ranked opponent and showcase their strength outside the MAAC conference.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: -520, Fairfield Stags: 350	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: -1.5, Fairfield Stags: +1.5	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to cover the spread	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	over: 8.5 runs, under: 8.5 runs	Over 8.5 runs	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are predicted to win, leveraging their home advantage, deeper roster, and superior season statistics, with Fairfield likely to put up resistance but ultimately falling short.

Predicted Score: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 7 – 3 Fairfield Stags

Match Analysis: Sacred Heart Pioneers vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 11, 2025
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: William H. Pitt Center

Game Overview

The Sacred Heart Pioneers host the Fairfield Stags in a MAAC matchup. Sacred Heart is favored by 3.5 points, with a total set at 143.5.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sacred Heart averages 75.9 points per game, while Fairfield averages fewer points. The Pioneers have a stronger interior defense and are better at three-point shooting.
• Fairfield has historically dominated Sacred Heart, but recent performances suggest a closer contest.
• There is no recent information on significant injuries affecting this matchup.
• Home advantage could benefit Sacred Heart, but Fairfield's recent buzzer-beating wins show resilience.
• Both teams are motivated to secure better standings in the MAAC.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Sacred Heart -170, Fairfield +145	Sacred Heart	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Sacred Heart -3.5 -110, Fairfield +3.5 -110	Sacred Heart -3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 143.5 -110, Under 143.5 -110	Under 143.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Sacred Heart is likely to win due to their stronger offense and defense.

Predicted Score: Sacred Heart 71, Fairfield 67

Match Analysis: Fairfield Stags vs Quinnipiac Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 8, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Leo D. Mahoney Arena

Game Overview

Quinnipiac Bobcats face Fairfield Stags in a MAAC matchup. Quinnipiac is favored, with a strong recent performance, while Fairfield looks to capitalize on home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Quinnipiac has won 12 of its last 15 games, averaging 73.8 points per game. Fairfield averages 67.3 points per game and has seen seven of its 11 wins at home.
• The underdog has cashed in seven of the last 10 games between Quinnipiac and Fairfield. Quinnipiac made light work of Fairfield in their first meeting.
• Neither team has reported any injuries.
• It's senior night for Fairfield, which could boost their motivation and performance.
• Quinnipiac is competing for an MAAC title, while Fairfield seeks to capitalize on home advantage and senior night motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fairfield Stags: +275, Quinnipiac Bobcats: -330	Quinnipiac Bobcats	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Fairfield Stags: +7.5, Quinnipiac Bobcats: -7.5	Fairfield Stags +7.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over: 145.5, Under: 145.5	Under 145.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Quinnipiac is expected to win but might struggle to cover the spread.

Predicted Score: Quinnipiac 74, Fairfield 69

Match Analysis: Siena Saints vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Leo D. Mahoney Arena, Fairfield, Connecticut

Game Overview

The Fairfield Stags, with a strong 24-3 record and an 18-game winning streak, host the Siena Saints, who have won seven consecutive games. Fairfield is favored due to their impressive performance this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fairfield has been dominant with a high scoring average of 72.5 points per game and a strong defense allowing only 55.2 points. Siena averages 68.4 points while allowing 63.9 points per game.
• There is no recent head-to-head data available, but Fairfield's current form suggests an advantage.
• No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either team.
• Home advantage could play a role for Fairfield, but Siena's recent winning streak indicates resilience.
• Both teams are motivated to extend their winning streaks, but Fairfield's longer streak might add pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Spread	Fairfield Stags: 8.5 -110, Siena Saints: -8.5 -110	Fairfield Stags +8.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over: 141 -110, Under: 141 -110	Under 141	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Fairfield is likely to win due to their strong form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Fairfield 75, Siena 54

Match Analysis: Fairfield Stags vs Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 1, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Fairfield, Connecticut

Game Overview

The Fairfield Stags host the Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers in a crucial NCAA basketball matchup. Fairfield is currently on a strong run, while Mt. St. Mary's looks to upset their opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fairfield has been performing well with a strong winning streak, while Mt. St. Mary's has shown inconsistency. Fairfield's recent form and home advantage could be significant factors.
• Recent head-to-head matches have seen Fairfield winning closely contested games, including a 96-92 victory in March 2024. This suggests Fairfield might have an edge in close contests.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team, which could mean both teams are at full strength.
• Home court advantage often plays a role in NCAA basketball, potentially favoring Fairfield. However, Mt. St. Mary's has shown they can compete well on the road.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Fairfield's current winning streak might add extra pressure to maintain their form.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not available	Fairfield	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Fairfield -3 (-105), Mt. St. Mary's +3 (-115)	Fairfield -3	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 141 (-110), Under 141 (-110)	Over 141	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Fairfield is likely to win due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Fairfield 75, Mt. St. Mary's 68

Match Analysis: Rider Broncs vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 21, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Rider Broncs host the Fairfield Stags in a matchup between two teams with similar conference standings. Rider has a slight edge in conference wins but both teams are looking to improve their positions.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rider Broncs have a slightly better record with 10-15 overall and 6-8 in conference, while Fairfield Stags are 9-16 overall and 5-9 in conference. Rider's T.J. Weeks Jr. averages 13.8 PPG, which could be a key factor.
• No recent head-to-head data is available, but Rider's home advantage might play a role.
• No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
• Home court advantage could favor Rider, but both teams are motivated to win.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their conference standings and secure better positions.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not specified	Rider Broncs	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	-4 for Rider, +4 for Fairfield	Rider Broncs	☆☆☆☆☆ 0%
Over_under	139.5	Over	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Rider Broncs are likely to win due to their home advantage and slightly better performance.

Predicted Score: Rider Broncs 72 – Fairfield Stags 68