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Fairfield Stags vs. Stonehill Skyhawks Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Fairfield Stags vs Stonehill Skyhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Fairfield, CT

Game Overview

Fairfield hosts Stonehill in a low-scoring NCAA basketball matchup between two struggling teams. Both squads enter at 1-2 records with significant offensive limitations. This is a classic clash of two offensively challenged programs where defensive intensity and turnover management will determine the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fairfield averages 67.0 PPG with 36.6% field goal shooting (350th in D-1) and 75.0% free throw shooting[1]. Stonehill scores 73.7 PPG on 43.9% from the floor with 34.2% three-point shooting and 65.2% free throw shooting[1]. Both teams show concerning offensive efficiency metrics. Fairfield's recent loss to Seton Hall (59-82) demonstrates defensive vulnerability, while Stonehill's 57-80 loss to Rhode Island reveals inability to maintain offensive consistency. Both teams have lost their last 1-2 games respectively[3].
  • No established head-to-head history provided in available data. This appears to be a neutral matchup between non-conference opponents with no recent precedent.
  • No injury information available in the provided data. Assume full roster availability unless otherwise specified.
  • Stonehill travels away (0-2 record on the road) which has historically been a significant weakness[3]. Fairfield hosts at home but shows inconsistent performance with 1-0 home record this season. The late-night tip-off (12:00 AM UTC = 7:00 PM ET) is standard for college basketball scheduling and should not significantly impact either team.
  • Both teams are desperate to avoid falling to 1-3 records. Fairfield has slight home-court advantage psychology, but Stonehill's road struggles create a motivation imbalance. Fairfield's recent 23-point loss to Seton Hall may provide additional motivation to prove competence, while Stonehill faces consecutive road defeats creating cumulative pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fairfield -290 / Stonehill +235 Fairfield Stags ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Fairfield -7.5 (-105) / Stonehill +7.5 (-115) Fairfield -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 145.5 (-110) / Under 145.5 (-110) Under 145.5 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fairfield Stags -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 145.5 36%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fairfield Stags win by 6-7 points. Despite both teams' offensive limitations, Fairfield's home-court advantage, superior field goal percentage, and Stonehill's persistent road woes create a clear edge for the Stags. The game will be low-scoring and defensive-oriented, fitting the under projection.

Predicted Score: Fairfield 71, Stonehill 64


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Seton Hall Pirates vs. Fairfield Stags Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Seton Hall Pirates vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-11
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Walsh Gymnasium, South Orange, NJ

Game Overview

Seton Hall Pirates (2-0) host the Fairfield Stags (1-1) in a non-conference matchup. Seton Hall has opened the season with strong defensive performances, allowing just 54 points per game and limiting opponents to below 40% shooting. Fairfield split its first two games, losing to Penn State before defeating NJIT. Both teams are relatively healthy and motivated, with Seton Hall looking to build momentum at home and Fairfield aiming to prove itself against a higher-level opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Seton Hall has started 2-0, allowing only 54 points per game and holding both opponents under 40% shooting. Fairfield is 1-1, averaging 71 points per game and allowing 64.5 points per game. Fairfield’s offense has struggled from three (25% on the season), while Seton Hall’s defense has been stifling.
  • No recent H2H data is available, but both teams have shown similar scoring outputs in their previous games. Seton Hall’s defensive profile is superior to Fairfield’s offensive profile.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • Seton Hall is playing at home, which historically boosts performance. The game is on ESPN+, indicating higher visibility and potential for increased home crowd energy.
  • Seton Hall is motivated to maintain its undefeated start and build confidence early in the season. Fairfield is motivated to bounce back from a loss and prove it can compete with higher-level teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1100, away: 680 Seton Hall Pirates Not available
Spread home: -12.5, away: 12.5 Seton Hall Pirates -12.5 Not available
Over/under over: 140.5, under: 140.5 Under 140.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seton Hall Pirates -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 140.5 52%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 140.5 at 52% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 54.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seton Hall will win comfortably, covering the spread and keeping the game under the total.

Predicted Score: Seton Hall 72, Fairfield 62


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NJIT Highlanders vs. Fairfield Stags Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: NJIT Highlanders vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center, Newark, NJ

Game Overview

Fairfield Stags (0-1) visit NJIT Highlanders (1-0) in early-season non-conference action. Fairfield is a moderate road favorite, having lost narrowly at Penn State, while NJIT opened with a solid road win at Fordham. The market projects a moderate-paced, competitive game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NJIT started strong with a 72-61 road win at Fordham, shooting 54.5% from three, led by Bolden (18 pts, 7 reb), while Fairfield fell 76-68 at Penn State, struggling from the field (38.6% FG, 18.2% 3P) but excelling at the line (88.9% FT). NJIT’s recent home form is poor (lost 6 straight at home after road wins), but Fairfield’s recent day-game record vs. non-AP opponents is also concerning (lost 9 straight)[3][5].
  • Recent H2H data not available; focus is on recent team trends and venue-specific performance.
  • No significant injury reports found in available data.
  • Game is at NJIT’s home court, but their recent home struggles after road wins are notable. Both teams are well-rested, coming off season openers earlier in the week.
  • Both teams seeking early-season momentum. Fairfield aims to bounce back from a road loss, while NJIT looks to build on a promising road win and reverse poor home form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fairfield -235, NJIT +195 NJIT Highlanders ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Fairfield -5.5 (-115), NJIT +5.5 (-105) NJIT Highlanders +5.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 145.5 -110, Under 145.5 -110 Under 145.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fairfield Stags 62%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 145.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fairfield Stags at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is a classic ‘trap’ game: Fairfield is favored, but NJIT’s hot shooting and Fairfield’s offensive struggles suggest the Highlanders can keep it close at home, and their home venue may not be as much of an advantage as the market assumes. The under is a strong play given both teams’ offensive inconsistencies and recent total trends.

Predicted Score: NJIT Highlanders 70, Fairfield Stags 68


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Fairfield Stags vs. Florida Gators Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Fairfield Stags vs Florida Gators – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Don and Chris Cook Field (Fairfield's home stadium)

Game Overview

The Fairfield Stags are set to face off against the Florida Gators in an NCAA baseball matchup. The game features a strong Florida team favored heavily by bookmakers, with Fairfield as the underdog at home. The match is crucial for both teams as they look to validate their season performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fairfield Stags have had a solid season with a record including key wins and losses, playing a challenging schedule and winning four consecutive MAAC titles. Florida Gators have demonstrated dominant performance throughout their season, with a stronger roster and higher competitive level in NCAA baseball.
  • There is limited direct head-to-head data between Fairfield Stags and Florida Gators in recent seasons, as they come from different conferences and usually do not meet often, making this game somewhat unpredictable based on direct past encounters.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team at this time, suggesting both teams will likely be near full strength.
  • The game is played at Fairfield's home field, which can provide some home advantage. Weather conditions at game time are expected to be neutral with no reported adverse effects.
  • Fairfield is motivated to prove itself against a top-tier program, while Florida aims to confirm its status as a powerhouse and continue its winning trajectory in NCAA baseball.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fairfield Stags: 400, Florida Gators: -620 Florida Gators to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Fairfield Stags: 5.5 +100, Florida Gators: -5.5 -130 Florida Gators to cover -5.5 spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 15.5 -115, Under: 15.5 -115 Over 15.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Florida Gators -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 15.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 15.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Florida Gators are predicted to win the game comfortably given their superior form, talent depth, and odds favoring them significantly. Fairfield may struggle to cover the large spread but can be competitive in runs scored.

Predicted Score: Florida Gators 10 – 4 Fairfield Stags


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Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Fairfield Stags Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-30
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Coastal Carolina University Baseball Stadium

Game Overview

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, ranked #13, will host the Fairfield Stags on May 30, 2025. Coastal Carolina has a strong 2025 season with solid performances backed by a well-rounded pitching staff and lineup. Fairfield Stags, recent four-time MAAC regular season champions, have shown resilience and competitive play but are underdogs in this matchup given Coastal Carolina’s higher national ranking and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have had a robust season, consistently performing well in both offense and defense, maintaining a strong winning record. Fairfield Stags have a solid program with a good conference record but face challenges on the road and against top-tier teams like Coastal Carolina.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups favor Coastal Carolina, who has dominated Fairfield in previous meetings, including a convincing 10-1 win on April 4. Fairfield’s chances improve slightly with their strong conference play but historically struggle against Coastal Carolina’s pitching and batting depth.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team as of the current date, indicating both teams are expected to field their best lineups.
  • The game is hosted at Coastal Carolina’s home stadium, giving them the home field advantage. Weather and other external conditions are not reported to negatively affect the game.
  • Coastal Carolina is motivated to maintain their high ranking and secure postseason positioning, while Fairfield aims to upset a highly ranked opponent and showcase their strength outside the MAAC conference.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: -520, Fairfield Stags: 350 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: -1.5, Fairfield Stags: +1.5 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to cover the spread ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under over: 8.5 runs, under: 8.5 runs Over 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are predicted to win, leveraging their home advantage, deeper roster, and superior season statistics, with Fairfield likely to put up resistance but ultimately falling short.

Predicted Score: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 7 – 3 Fairfield Stags


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Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield Stags Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Sacred Heart Pioneers vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 11, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: William H. Pitt Center

Game Overview

The Sacred Heart Pioneers host the Fairfield Stags in a MAAC matchup. Sacred Heart is favored by 3.5 points, with a total set at 143.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sacred Heart averages 75.9 points per game, while Fairfield averages fewer points. The Pioneers have a stronger interior defense and are better at three-point shooting.
  • Fairfield has historically dominated Sacred Heart, but recent performances suggest a closer contest.
  • There is no recent information on significant injuries affecting this matchup.
  • Home advantage could benefit Sacred Heart, but Fairfield's recent buzzer-beating wins show resilience.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure better standings in the MAAC.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sacred Heart -170, Fairfield +145 Sacred Heart ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Sacred Heart -3.5 -110, Fairfield +3.5 -110 Sacred Heart -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 143.5 -110, Under 143.5 -110 Under 143.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Sacred Heart is likely to win due to their stronger offense and defense.

Predicted Score: Sacred Heart 71, Fairfield 67


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Fairfield Stags vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Fairfield Stags vs Quinnipiac Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 8, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Leo D. Mahoney Arena

Game Overview

Quinnipiac Bobcats face Fairfield Stags in a MAAC matchup. Quinnipiac is favored, with a strong recent performance, while Fairfield looks to capitalize on home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Quinnipiac has won 12 of its last 15 games, averaging 73.8 points per game. Fairfield averages 67.3 points per game and has seen seven of its 11 wins at home.
  • The underdog has cashed in seven of the last 10 games between Quinnipiac and Fairfield. Quinnipiac made light work of Fairfield in their first meeting.
  • Neither team has reported any injuries.
  • It's senior night for Fairfield, which could boost their motivation and performance.
  • Quinnipiac is competing for an MAAC title, while Fairfield seeks to capitalize on home advantage and senior night motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fairfield Stags: +275, Quinnipiac Bobcats: -330 Quinnipiac Bobcats ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Fairfield Stags: +7.5, Quinnipiac Bobcats: -7.5 Fairfield Stags +7.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 145.5, Under: 145.5 Under 145.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Quinnipiac is expected to win but might struggle to cover the spread.

Predicted Score: Quinnipiac 74, Fairfield 69


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Siena Saints vs. Fairfield Stags Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Siena Saints vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Thursday, March 6, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Leo D. Mahoney Arena, Fairfield, Connecticut

Game Overview

The Fairfield Stags, with a strong 24-3 record and an 18-game winning streak, host the Siena Saints, who have won seven consecutive games. Fairfield is favored due to their impressive performance this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fairfield has been dominant with a high scoring average of 72.5 points per game and a strong defense allowing only 55.2 points. Siena averages 68.4 points while allowing 63.9 points per game.
  • There is no recent head-to-head data available, but Fairfield's current form suggests an advantage.
  • No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either team.
  • Home advantage could play a role for Fairfield, but Siena's recent winning streak indicates resilience.
  • Both teams are motivated to extend their winning streaks, but Fairfield's longer streak might add pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Spread Fairfield Stags: 8.5 -110, Siena Saints: -8.5 -110 Fairfield Stags +8.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 141 -110, Under: 141 -110 Under 141 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Fairfield is likely to win due to their strong form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Fairfield 75, Siena 54


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Fairfield Stags vs. Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Fairfield Stags vs Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 1, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Fairfield, Connecticut

Game Overview

The Fairfield Stags host the Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers in a crucial NCAA basketball matchup. Fairfield is currently on a strong run, while Mt. St. Mary's looks to upset their opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fairfield has been performing well with a strong winning streak, while Mt. St. Mary's has shown inconsistency. Fairfield's recent form and home advantage could be significant factors.
  • Recent head-to-head matches have seen Fairfield winning closely contested games, including a 96-92 victory in March 2024. This suggests Fairfield might have an edge in close contests.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team, which could mean both teams are at full strength.
  • Home court advantage often plays a role in NCAA basketball, potentially favoring Fairfield. However, Mt. St. Mary's has shown they can compete well on the road.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Fairfield's current winning streak might add extra pressure to maintain their form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Not available Fairfield ☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread Fairfield -3 (-105), Mt. St. Mary's +3 (-115) Fairfield -3 ☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under Over 141 (-110), Under 141 (-110) Over 141 ☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Fairfield is likely to win due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Fairfield 75, Mt. St. Mary's 68


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Rider Broncs vs. Fairfield Stags Prediction – February 21, 2025 NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Rider Broncs vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: February 21, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Rider Broncs host the Fairfield Stags in a matchup between two teams with similar conference standings. Rider has a slight edge in conference wins but both teams are looking to improve their positions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rider Broncs have a slightly better record with 10-15 overall and 6-8 in conference, while Fairfield Stags are 9-16 overall and 5-9 in conference. Rider's T.J. Weeks Jr. averages 13.8 PPG, which could be a key factor.
  • No recent head-to-head data is available, but Rider's home advantage might play a role.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • Home court advantage could favor Rider, but both teams are motivated to win.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their conference standings and secure better positions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Not specified Rider Broncs ☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread -4 for Rider, +4 for Fairfield Rider Broncs ☆☆☆☆☆ 0%
Over_under 139.5 Over ☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Rider Broncs are likely to win due to their home advantage and slightly better performance.

Predicted Score: Rider Broncs 72 – Fairfield Stags 68


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