Match Analysis: Joshua Silveira vs Fabian Edwards – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago

Game Overview

The middleweight semifinal of the 2025 PFL World Tournament features Fabian Edwards vs Joshua Silveira. Both fighters hold identical professional records of 14-4. Edwards, brother of former UFC champion Leon Edwards, is aiming to rebound after a recent loss in a Bellator title rematch and looks to advance toward a PFL title. The fight is highly anticipated and will be held at the 10,387 capacity Wintrust Arena in Chicago, with live streaming available worldwide on DAZN.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fabian Edwards has shown strong resilience and technique in recent high-profile bouts, including Bellator fights, while Silveira has maintained a consistent record and performance level in middleweight competition. Both fighters have similar experience and win-loss track records, making this matchup evenly poised.
• No direct previous fights recorded between Edwards and Silveira, making this a fresh matchup with no prior head-to-head data to influence outcomes.
• No publicly disclosed injuries from either fighter ahead of the match, indicating both are expected to enter the fight at full fitness.
• The fight takes place in a major arena with significant audience capacity, which might influence fighter performance due to atmosphere. Edwards has additional motivation as the brother of a former UFC champion striving to carve out his own legacy. Live worldwide streaming elevates pressure and exposure.
• Edwards aims to rebound from a recent title fight loss and emulate his brother Leon's success, adding psychological edge and drive. Silveira, with a matching record, seeks to upset the favorite and progress in the PFL tournament, bringing high motivation to prove himself.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards: -500, Joshua Silveira: 375	Fabian Edwards	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Fabian Edwards -1.5: -110, Joshua Silveira +1.5: -110	Fabian Edwards to cover -1.5 spread	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fabian Edwards at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fabian Edwards is favored to win given his recent experience in top-level fights and family legacy momentum, but Joshua Silveira’s comparable record and lack of head-to-head history keeps this a competitive bout. Edwards’ superior odds reflect his higher probability of winning, but Silveira’s underdog status suggests potential for an upset.

Predicted Score: Fabian Edwards wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage, likely within 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Impa Kasanganay vs Fabian Edwards – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-19
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Universal Studios, Orlando, United States

Game Overview

Impa Kasanganay and Fabian Edwards will face off in the middleweight division at the PFL World Tournament 3. This main card fight marks a crucial first-round quarter-final bout in the 2025 PFL tournament. Both fighters are experienced veterans: Kasanganay is a former light heavyweight season winner with a professional record of 18-5, while Edwards boasts a 28-5 record and is known for his reach advantage and striking power. The fight is highly anticipated and will be streamed globally on DAZN as well as ESPN+ in the US.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kasanganay has shown resilience in bouncing back in recent seasons with solid performances highlighted by 5 knockout wins out of 23 fights. Edwards has a longer professional history with 33 fights and a strong striking record, including 14 knockouts, leveraging his height and reach advantage to control opponents effectively.
• There is no prior recorded matchup between Kasanganay and Edwards, making this a fresh contest without direct tactical data from previous encounters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout, suggesting both will enter the fight in full health and physical readiness.
• The fight takes place at a familiar venue for PFL events, Universal Studios, Orlando, a neutral ground with no home advantage. Streaming availability on major platforms ensures global exposure, which could increase fighter motivation.
• Kasanganay is motivated to prove his durability as a former tournament finalist and light heavyweight winner by advancing further in the middleweight division. Edwards, younger and with a reputation to uphold as the brother of UFC champion Leon Edwards, is driven to cement his status as a top contender via a decisive victory here.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards: +113, Impa Kasanganay: -133	Impa Kasanganay	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Impa Kasanganay: -1.5, Fabian Edwards: +1.5	Impa Kasanganay to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -260, Under 2.5 rounds: +200	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Impa Kasanganay -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 -98%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given Fabian Edwards’ reach, striking power, and extensive experience, alongside Kasanganay's need to adjust to middleweight competition, the prediction leans slightly toward Fabian Edwards to win by decision or late stoppage. Kasanganay’s resilience means a finish is possible, but Edwards' technical striking and tactical approach should prevail.

Predicted Score: Impa Kasanganay wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage in round 3