Match Analysis: Fabian Edwards vs Dalton Rosta – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-21
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament Finals, Hollywood, Florida, USA

Game Overview

The PFL Middleweight Tournament final pits Fabian Edwards against Dalton Rosta in a highly anticipated clash to decide the 2025 PFL Middleweight champion. Both fighters have displayed skill and resilience throughout the tournament, setting up a competitive and strategic matchup expected to run the full five rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fabian Edwards comes with a strong background including previous Bellator title challenges, showcasing durability and effective striking, while Dalton Rosta has demonstrated aggressive grappling and stamina, making this a battle of styles between precise striking and relentless pressure.
• This will be their first direct competitive match, with no prior head-to-head results available, adding an element of unpredictability to the fight.
• No reported significant injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, both entering in peak physical condition as confirmed by recent training updates.
• The fight is the main event at the PFL World Tournament Finals, attracting global attention streamed live on DAZN. Pressure and motivation to claim the title on a big stage could influence performance.
• Fabian Edwards is motivated to claim a tournament title after near misses in Bellator, while Dalton Rosta aims to leverage momentum and youthful energy to secure his first major championship, intensifying the competitive atmosphere.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards: -205, Dalton Rosta: 165	Fabian Edwards	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Fabian Edwards -1.5 rounds: -120, Dalton Rosta +1.5 rounds: 100	Fabian Edwards -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds: -110, Under 3.5 rounds: -110	Over 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fabian Edwards at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fabian Edwards is favored to win by decision after a tactical fight, leveraging his experience and precise striking to control the rounds against Dalton Rosta's pressure style.

Predicted Score: Fabian Edwards wins by unanimous decision after five rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Fabian Edwards vs. Dalton Rosta Prediction	Fabian Edwards Win	-205	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Ming Shi vs. Bruna Brasil Prediction	Bruna Brasil Win	-280	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Bryce Meredith vs. Lazaro Dayron Prediction	Bryce Meredith Win	-140	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +246

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $69.23

Match Analysis: Joshua Silveira vs Fabian Edwards – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago

Game Overview

The middleweight semifinal match between Joshua Silveira and Fabian Edwards is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament semifinals at Wintrust Arena in Chicago. Fabian Edwards, with a record of 14-4 and brother of former UFC champion Leon Edwards, aims to capitalize on another title shot opportunity after a previous Bellator title fight loss. Joshua Silveira, also 14-4, looks to continue his strong performance in this high-stakes matchup. The fight is scheduled for Friday night, June 27, 2025, with the main card starting at 8:30 PM ET, broadcast live on DAZN and ESPN platforms worldwide.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters hold identical records of 14-4, indicating competitive parity. Edwards has recent high-level experience in Bellator title fights but fell short, whereas Silveira has demonstrated consistency within the PFL circuit, entering this semifinal with momentum. Their previous fight history does not show a head-to-head matchup, making this a fresh contest of styles and strategy.
• No documented previous fight between Edwards and Silveira exists, making this their first meeting in professional competition.
• No publicly reported injuries or medical concerns affecting either fighter ahead of the semifinal bout.
• The bout takes place at the Wintrust Arena, which holds 10,387 spectators, and is taking place as part of a major PFL event with significant media coverage, potentially increasing pressure. Fabian Edwards' familial connection to UFC champion Leon Edwards might add psychological motivation.
• Fabian Edwards seeks to rebound from last year's Bellator title loss and take a step closer to the PFL championship, motivated to emulate his brother's success. Joshua Silveira is motivated to maintain his winning trajectory in the tournament with a semifinal victory to reach the final and contend for the title.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards: -500, Joshua Silveira: 375	Fabian Edwards	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Edwards -1.5: -200, Silveira +1.5: 160	Edwards to win by more than 1.5 rounds (decision or stoppage)	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -130, Under 2.5 rounds: 110	Under 2.5 rounds (fight likely to end before going full distance)	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fabian Edwards at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fabian Edwards is favored to win due to superior betting odds and his recent experience against top-tier competition, despite Silveira’s competitiveness. The prediction leans towards a methodical victory for Edwards, possibly by decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Edwards wins by unanimous decision or late round stoppage

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Oleg Popov vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Prediction	Oleg Popov Win	-226	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Joshua Silveira vs. Fabian Edwards Prediction	Fabian Edwards Win	-500	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Jordan Molinari vs. Yannis Osmani Prediction	Jordan Molinari Win	-355	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +122

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $44.37

Match Analysis: Impa Kasanganay vs Fabian Edwards – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-19
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Universal Studios, Orlando, United States

Game Overview

Impa Kasanganay and Fabian Edwards will face off in the middleweight division at the PFL World Tournament 3. This main card fight marks a crucial first-round quarter-final bout in the 2025 PFL tournament. Both fighters are experienced veterans: Kasanganay is a former light heavyweight season winner with a professional record of 18-5, while Edwards boasts a 28-5 record and is known for his reach advantage and striking power. The fight is highly anticipated and will be streamed globally on DAZN as well as ESPN+ in the US.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kasanganay has shown resilience in bouncing back in recent seasons with solid performances highlighted by 5 knockout wins out of 23 fights. Edwards has a longer professional history with 33 fights and a strong striking record, including 14 knockouts, leveraging his height and reach advantage to control opponents effectively.
• There is no prior recorded matchup between Kasanganay and Edwards, making this a fresh contest without direct tactical data from previous encounters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout, suggesting both will enter the fight in full health and physical readiness.
• The fight takes place at a familiar venue for PFL events, Universal Studios, Orlando, a neutral ground with no home advantage. Streaming availability on major platforms ensures global exposure, which could increase fighter motivation.
• Kasanganay is motivated to prove his durability as a former tournament finalist and light heavyweight winner by advancing further in the middleweight division. Edwards, younger and with a reputation to uphold as the brother of UFC champion Leon Edwards, is driven to cement his status as a top contender via a decisive victory here.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards: +113, Impa Kasanganay: -133	Impa Kasanganay	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Impa Kasanganay: -1.5, Fabian Edwards: +1.5	Impa Kasanganay to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -260, Under 2.5 rounds: +200	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Impa Kasanganay -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 -98%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given Fabian Edwards’ reach, striking power, and extensive experience, alongside Kasanganay's need to adjust to middleweight competition, the prediction leans slightly toward Fabian Edwards to win by decision or late stoppage. Kasanganay’s resilience means a finish is possible, but Edwards' technical striking and tactical approach should prevail.

Predicted Score: Impa Kasanganay wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage in round 3