Match Analysis: FC Utrecht vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-24
• Time: 12:30 PM UTC
• Location: Stadion Galgenwaard

Game Overview

FC Utrecht hosts Excelsior in Eredivisie matchday 3. Utrecht seeks to capitalize on home advantage and improve on mid-table form, while Excelsior struggles at the bottom, hunting for their first points after two losses.

Key Factors to Consider

• Utrecht has started with 3 points, scoring 5 goals in two matches but showed defensive vulnerabilities recently. Excelsior is bottom with no points and only 1 goal scored while conceding 7 across two matches.
• In the last 25 H2H matches, Utrecht dominates with 14 home wins versus 2 away from Excelsior; average goals per match is high (~3.04). Last official meeting was a 1-1 draw.
• No major injury reports available for either team that would significantly impact starting lineups.
• Home advantage at Stadion Galgenwaard benefits Utrecht, and no adverse weather or travel issues reported for Excelsior.
• Utrecht motivated to solidify mid-table and capitalize on home form. Excelsior highly motivated to escape bottom with a first win but faces uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	FC Utrecht: -255, Draw: +410, Excelsior: +550	FC Utrecht win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	FC Utrecht -1.25: -120, Excelsior +1.25: +100	FC Utrecht -1.25	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.25: -115, Under 3.25: -105	Over 3.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	FC Utrecht -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Utrecht to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.25 goal spread, and the match to go over 3.25 total goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs Feyenoord – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Game Overview

Excelsior hosts Feyenoord in an Eredivisie clash where Feyenoord enters as clear favorites after a strong season start while Excelsior seeks to rebound from early difficulties.

Key Factors to Consider

• Feyenoord has demonstrated solid recent form with a winning start in the season, while Excelsior struggles defensively and aims to recover at home.
• Historically, Feyenoord holds a dominant record against Excelsior and has performed well in recent matches between the two teams.
• No significant injuries reported for either side that would drastically impact the game dynamic.
• The match is played at Excelsior's home ground; however, this advantage is marginal given Feyenoord's superior quality and consistency.
• Feyenoord is motivated to continue their winning momentum early in the season; Excelsior is motivated to avoid further defeat but is less likely to control the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Excelsior: +445, Feyenoord: -210, Draw: +395	Feyenoord	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Excelsior +1.25 (-118), Feyenoord -1.25 (-102)	Feyenoord -1.25	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 3.25 (-102), Under 3.25 (-118)	Under 3.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Feyenoord 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.25 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Feyenoord to win

Predicted Score: 0-2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Excelsior vs. Feyenoord Prediction	Feyenoord Win	-210	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Manchester City Prediction	Manchester City Win	-185	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Tottenham Hotspur vs. Burnley Prediction	Tottenham Hotspur Win	-270	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +212

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $62.33

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 2:30 PM UTC
• Location: De Goffert, Nijmegen

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen hosts Excelsior in the Eredivisie season opener. NEC are favorites based on preseason form and home advantage, while Excelsior are seen as underdogs.

Key Factors to Consider

• NEC Nijmegen showed strong preseason form with multiple wins and consistent scoring, whereas Excelsior have demonstrated attacking potential but less consistent results.
• Recent matches slightly favor NEC Nijmegen, with them having a better record in prior Eredivisie encounters and stronger home performances against Excelsior.
• No major injury concerns publicly indicated for either side at this time, suggesting both teams can field near-optimal lineups.
• NEC Nijmegen enjoys home advantage at De Goffert, known for solid support and conditions favorable to the home team; no external disruptions noted.
• Both teams motivated to start the season positively, but NEC Nijmegen likely has additional motivation as home favorites to assert dominance early.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	NEC Nijmegen -136, Draw 285, Excelsior 340	NEC Nijmegen	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	NEC Nijmegen -0.75 (-105), Excelsior +75 (-115)	NEC Nijmegen -0.75	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.75 -105, Under 2.75 -115	Over 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	NEC Nijmegen 4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen to win the match outright (moneyline), cover the -0.75 goal spread, and the match to go over 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Flamengo vs. Mirassol Prediction	Flamengo Win	-305	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Sporting Kansas City vs. San Diego FC Prediction	San Diego FC Win	-102	★★★★☆ 76% (76%)
NEC Nijmegen vs. Excelsior Prediction	NEC Nijmegen Win	-136	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +356

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $91.27