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Excelsior vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs Heracles Almelo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Game Overview

Excelsior host Heracles Almelo in a Dutch Eredivisie clash with both teams coming off contrasting recent form. Excelsior have shown strong home dominance, while Heracles Almelo have struggled on the road but possess a high-scoring away trend.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Excelsior have won 7 of their last 10 home matches (70%) and remain defensively solid. Heracles Almelo have lost 8 of their last 10 away games (80%) but have seen Over 2.5 goals in 90% of their away fixtures and both teams score in 60% of their road outings.
  • Excelsior won the last H2H 4-0, indicating a significant edge in recent meetings. Heracles have not won in their last several visits to Excelsior.
  • No major injuries reported for either side, with both teams expected to field their strongest available lineups.
  • Excelsior’s home advantage is pronounced, with strong crowd support and favorable pitch conditions. Heracles Almelo’s away struggles are exacerbated by travel fatigue and poor defensive discipline on the road.
  • Excelsior are fighting to maintain their position above the relegation zone, while Heracles Almelo are battling for mid-table safety and have shown inconsistent motivation in away fixtures.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -109, away: 255, draw: 285 Excelsior Not available
Spread home: -0.5, away: 50 Excelsior -0.5 Not available
Over/under over: 2.75, under: 2.75 Over 2.75 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Excelsior 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Excelsior are favored to win, but Heracles Almelo’s attacking output and tendency for high-scoring away games suggest a multi-goal contest with both teams likely to score.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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SC Telstar vs. Excelsior Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: SC Telstar vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Telstar Home

Game Overview

Two relegation contenders clash in what is expected to be a high-stakes, potentially high-scoring affair. Both sides are in poor form but have delivered goals and competitive matches in recent H2H meetings. Telstar, playing at home, have statistically edged Excelsior in H2H, but neither side enters with momentum or form confidence.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Telstar: 2 wins in last 10, Excelsior: 3 wins in last 10. Both teams struggle defensively, with Telstar conceding 1.7 and Excelsior 1.5 goals per game. Telstar slightly better at home (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), Excelsior poor on the road (2 wins, 0 draws, 7 losses)[1]. Recent matches show both vulnerable at the back but capable of scoring.
  • Last 8 meetings: 3 Telstar wins, 3 Excelsior wins, 2 draws. Average goals per match: 4.38. Over 2.5 goals in 7 of last 8 H2H matches. Last meeting (Feb 2025) ended 1-3 to Excelsior (Telstar home)[3]. Both teams consistently find the net in head-to-head contests.
  • No major injury news available from current sources. Both expected to field near-optimal lineups.
  • No significant weather or external issues reported.
  • Both teams in direct relegation battle. Match is crucial for survival, likely leading to aggressive, open play as neither side can afford a draw. Expect both managers to set up offensively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Telstar: 127, Excelsior: 190, Draw: 260 Telstar β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Spread Telstar -0.25: 100, Excelsior +25: -120 Excelsior +0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.75: -118, Under 2.75: -102 Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline SC Telstar 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 31%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aggressive, open game with plenty of goalmouth action. Telstar’s home edge and Excelsior’s recent H2H form cancel out, but the pressure-cooker environment and poor defenses point to a goal fest. Value likely on goals markets, with only slim edge to Telstar on the moneyline.

Predicted Score: 2-2


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Go Ahead Eagles vs. Excelsior Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Deventer, Netherlands

Game Overview

Go Ahead Eagles host Excelsior in a Netherlands Eredivisie clash where both sides are striving for important points. Go Ahead Eagles have moderate home form with a tendency to score but concede as well. Excelsior has struggled away but can score. The matchup historically favors Go Ahead Eagles with more wins and draws in their favor.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Go Ahead Eagles have mixed recent form at home (D W L D) and overall low points per game (1.11). They score an average of 1.5 goals at home but concede 1.5 as well. Excelsior's away form is weaker with low scoring trends and defensive challenges. Both teams have shown 50-80% BTTS (both teams to score) rate in respective contexts.
  • In 16 meetings, Go Ahead Eagles lead with 7 wins vs. Excelsior's 3, and 6 draws. Go Ahead Eagles have a 44% win rate in these meetings compared to 19% for Excelsior, indicating a historical advantage for the hosts.
  • No specific major injury data available at present; assume mostly full-strength squads with no critical absences reported.
  • Match played in neutral weather conditions with no major disruptions expected. Home crowd support could be a factor for Go Ahead Eagles.
  • Both sides need points; Go Ahead Eagles may be slightly more motivated to capitalize on home advantage and historical edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -128, away: 290, draw: 305 Go Ahead Eagles win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread go_ahead_eagles_-0.75: 102, excelsior_+75: -122 Go Ahead Eagles -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over_3: -122, under_3: 102 Over 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Go Ahead Eagles 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Go Ahead Eagles at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Go Ahead Eagles moneyline win

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Excelsior vs. Fortuna Sittard Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 19 October 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Game Overview

Excelsior host Fortuna Sittard in a crucial Eredivisie match. Excelsior are in the relegation zone and need points, while Fortuna Sittard have shown more confidence lately. The head-to-head record favors Fortuna, but Excelsior's home advantage is significant.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Excelsior have struggled with two consecutive losses, while Fortuna Sittard have won four out of their last eight games.
  • Fortuna Sittard have historically performed well against Excelsior, winning 5-2 in their last official match.
  • No significant injury updates available.
  • Weather conditions and fan support could influence the game but are not detailed in available data.
  • Excelsior are highly motivated to escape the relegation zone, while Fortuna look to maintain their form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Excelsior +122, Fortuna Sittard +195, Draw +260 Excelsior β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%
Spread Excelsior -0.25 -105, Fortuna Sittard +25 -115 Excelsior -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 59%
Over/under Over 2.75 -108, Under 2.75 -112 Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 56%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Excelsior 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Excelsior at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Excelsior to win

Predicted Score: 2-1 to Excelsior


0 1

Heerenveen vs. Excelsior Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion

Game Overview

A pivotal relegation battle between struggling Heerenveen (16th) and Excelsior (17th), both desperate for points to move up the table. The match features two teams with porous defenses and inconsistent form, promising a high-stakes, tense encounter with significant impacts on the league standings[1].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen have only managed a 33% win rate in their last 6 home matches, showing vulnerability even on their own turf. Excelsior, however, have a more promising away record, with a 50% win rate in their last 4 away games and a 75% cover rate, indicating they often outperform expectations on the road[1]. Both teams have conceded regularly, with both teams scoring in a high percentage of their matches[1][2].
  • No detailed head-to-head data provided in the search results, but both teams are in the relegation zone, suggesting historical matchups may have been similarly tight.
  • No specific injury news available from the search results.
  • No significant external factors mentioned in the search results, but both teams are under pressure, which may impact performance.
  • Extremely high for both sides. A loss could further sink either club deeper into relegation trouble, while a win offers a crucial lifeline. This is a must-win match for both squads[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Excelsior 320, Heerenveen -152, Draw 320 Excelsior or Draw (Double Chance) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Excelsior 75 102, Heerenveen -0.75 -122 Excelsior +0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3.25 102, Under 3.25 -122 Over 3.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Heerenveen 85%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 25%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Heerenveen at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a tense, hard-fought encounter with both teams scoring. While Heerenveen are slight home favorites, Excelsior’s recent away resilience and Heerenveen’s defensive fragility suggest there is value backing the visitors to secure at least a draw. Over 3.25 goals looks well-supported by the data.

Predicted Score: 2-2


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Excelsior vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Woudestein Stadium

Game Overview

PSV Eindhoven, currently 2nd in the Eredivisie with strong attacking form and away wins, face Excelsior, struggling at 14th with poor home results. PSV are clear favorites with superior recent form and head-to-head dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV Eindhoven boasts 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss with 19 goals scored; Excelsior has 2 wins, 4 losses and a negative goal difference, scoring just 5 and conceding 13.
  • PSV have won all last five encounters, including a recent close 5-4 cup win in extra time, showing clear dominance historically.
  • No specific injury reports found affecting key players on either side; PSV likely fields a strong lineup.
  • Match played at Excelsior's Woudestein Stadium, but home advantage is minimal given Excelsior's poor home form and PSV's solidity on the road.
  • PSV motivated to maintain 2nd position with strong chances for European qualification, Excelsior aiming to improve standings but under pressure given poor league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Excelsior: +825, PSV Eindhoven: -425, Draw: +575 PSV Eindhoven β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Excelsior: +2 -120, PSV Eindhoven: -2 100 PSV Eindhoven -2 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over: 3.75 -105, Under: 3.75 -115 Over 3.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.75 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.75 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: PSV Eindhoven to win; Spread: PSV Eindhoven -2; Over/Under: Over 3.75 goals

Predicted Score: 1-4


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FC Volendam vs. Excelsior Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Volendam vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Kras Stadion, Volendam

Game Overview

FC Volendam hosts Excelsior in a low-table Eredivisie clash where both sides are struggling to find form early in the season. Volendam sits 12th with four points and Excelsior 16th with three points. The match is expected to be closely fought with both teams aiming for a pivotal result.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Volendam has been more resilient with four draws and no wins, indicating defensive solidity but lack of finishing. Excelsior has struggled more with losses and fewer points (3), showing poorer current form.
  • Recent meetings indicate competitive matches, with at least a draw being a common outcome. Past results suggest a slight edge to Volendam at home.
  • No significant injury news reported for either team, so lineups are expected to be near full strength.
  • Home advantage at Kras Stadion favors Volendam but the motivation for both teams to escape relegation battle is high.
  • Both teams are motivated to turn their season around; Volendam more so given their stronger start and home support.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +132, draw: +280, away: +172 Home Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread home: +105, away: -125 FC Volendam -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over: -125, under: +105 Under 3 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Volendam 101%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: FC Volendam at 101% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Volendam to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, with a tight over/under on goals expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Excelsior vs. Sparta Rotterdam Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Woudestein Stadium

Game Overview

This Eredivisie matchup features Excelsior hosting Sparta Rotterdam in Matchday 5, with Sparta positioned higher in the league table and in better recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Excelsior holds 3 points in 16th place with poor recent form, having only one win in five matches, while Sparta Rotterdam has 6 points and occupies 9th place with stronger recent performances.
  • Recent direct encounters tend to favor Sparta Rotterdam who have exploited Excelsior's defensive weaknesses in past matches.
  • No significant injury reports affecting either team's starting core were noted, implying both squads are likely near full strength.
  • Playing at Excelsior's home ground may provide the home side some advantage, but Sparta's current form neutralizes this.
  • Sparta Rotterdam are motivated to maintain their mid-table climb, while Excelsior is under pressure to improve from the relegation zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 205, away: 117, draw: 260 Sparta Rotterdam β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread home: -110, away: -110 Sparta Rotterdam -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Under 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sparta Rotterdam 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Sparta Rotterdam at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Away win for Sparta Rotterdam; Spread: Sparta Rotterdam -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 1-2


0 10

Excelsior vs. FC Twente Enschede Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs FC Twente Enschede – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Woudestein Stadium, Rotterdam

Game Overview

Excelsior, bottom of the Eredivisie table with zero points and a poor defensive record, hosts mid-table Twente Enschede, who have shown better form and a psychological edge from a recent 3-0 win over Excelsior.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Excelsior enters after three losses conceding 11 goals and scoring only 2, while Twente has 3 points with 1 win and 2 losses, showing better balance especially away from home.
  • Twente won the last encounter 3-0, asserting dominance and psychological advantage.
  • No critical injury information reported affecting either side significantly for this match.
  • Match played at Excelsior's home ground, which has so far not turned into an advantage due to their defensive struggles; no adverse weather or external disruptions noted.
  • Excelsior needs points desperately to escape from last place, while Twente looks to build momentum and consolidate mid-table standing, likely making Twente more composed.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +293, away: -123, draw: +293 Away Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread home: -115, away: -114 FC Twente Enschede -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: -115, under: -114 Over 3 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Twente Enschede 136%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: FC Twente Enschede at 136% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Away Win (FC Twente Enschede)

Predicted Score: 1-3


0 3

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 30, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 30, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Excelsior vs. FC Twente Enschede Prediction FC Twente Enschede -123 136%
Blackburn Rovers vs. Norwich City Prediction Blackburn Rovers 133 60%
Lorient vs. Lille Prediction Lorient 230 58%

Combined Odds: +1294 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $278.8

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