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Heerenveen vs. Excelsior Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion

Game Overview

A pivotal relegation battle between struggling Heerenveen (16th) and Excelsior (17th), both desperate for points to move up the table. The match features two teams with porous defenses and inconsistent form, promising a high-stakes, tense encounter with significant impacts on the league standings[1].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen have only managed a 33% win rate in their last 6 home matches, showing vulnerability even on their own turf. Excelsior, however, have a more promising away record, with a 50% win rate in their last 4 away games and a 75% cover rate, indicating they often outperform expectations on the road[1]. Both teams have conceded regularly, with both teams scoring in a high percentage of their matches[1][2].
  • No detailed head-to-head data provided in the search results, but both teams are in the relegation zone, suggesting historical matchups may have been similarly tight.
  • No specific injury news available from the search results.
  • No significant external factors mentioned in the search results, but both teams are under pressure, which may impact performance.
  • Extremely high for both sides. A loss could further sink either club deeper into relegation trouble, while a win offers a crucial lifeline. This is a must-win match for both squads[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Excelsior 320, Heerenveen -152, Draw 320 Excelsior or Draw (Double Chance) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Excelsior 75 102, Heerenveen -0.75 -122 Excelsior +0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3.25 102, Under 3.25 -122 Over 3.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Heerenveen 85%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 25%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Heerenveen at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a tense, hard-fought encounter with both teams scoring. While Heerenveen are slight home favorites, Excelsior’s recent away resilience and Heerenveen’s defensive fragility suggest there is value backing the visitors to secure at least a draw. Over 3.25 goals looks well-supported by the data.

Predicted Score: 2-2


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Excelsior vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Woudestein Stadium

Game Overview

PSV Eindhoven, currently 2nd in the Eredivisie with strong attacking form and away wins, face Excelsior, struggling at 14th with poor home results. PSV are clear favorites with superior recent form and head-to-head dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV Eindhoven boasts 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss with 19 goals scored; Excelsior has 2 wins, 4 losses and a negative goal difference, scoring just 5 and conceding 13.
  • PSV have won all last five encounters, including a recent close 5-4 cup win in extra time, showing clear dominance historically.
  • No specific injury reports found affecting key players on either side; PSV likely fields a strong lineup.
  • Match played at Excelsior's Woudestein Stadium, but home advantage is minimal given Excelsior's poor home form and PSV's solidity on the road.
  • PSV motivated to maintain 2nd position with strong chances for European qualification, Excelsior aiming to improve standings but under pressure given poor league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Excelsior: +825, PSV Eindhoven: -425, Draw: +575 PSV Eindhoven β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Excelsior: +2 -120, PSV Eindhoven: -2 100 PSV Eindhoven -2 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over: 3.75 -105, Under: 3.75 -115 Over 3.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.75 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.75 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: PSV Eindhoven to win; Spread: PSV Eindhoven -2; Over/Under: Over 3.75 goals

Predicted Score: 1-4


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FC Volendam vs. Excelsior Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Volendam vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Kras Stadion, Volendam

Game Overview

FC Volendam hosts Excelsior in a low-table Eredivisie clash where both sides are struggling to find form early in the season. Volendam sits 12th with four points and Excelsior 16th with three points. The match is expected to be closely fought with both teams aiming for a pivotal result.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Volendam has been more resilient with four draws and no wins, indicating defensive solidity but lack of finishing. Excelsior has struggled more with losses and fewer points (3), showing poorer current form.
  • Recent meetings indicate competitive matches, with at least a draw being a common outcome. Past results suggest a slight edge to Volendam at home.
  • No significant injury news reported for either team, so lineups are expected to be near full strength.
  • Home advantage at Kras Stadion favors Volendam but the motivation for both teams to escape relegation battle is high.
  • Both teams are motivated to turn their season around; Volendam more so given their stronger start and home support.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +132, draw: +280, away: +172 Home Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread home: +105, away: -125 FC Volendam -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over: -125, under: +105 Under 3 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Volendam 101%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: FC Volendam at 101% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Volendam to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, with a tight over/under on goals expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Excelsior vs. Sparta Rotterdam Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Woudestein Stadium

Game Overview

This Eredivisie matchup features Excelsior hosting Sparta Rotterdam in Matchday 5, with Sparta positioned higher in the league table and in better recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Excelsior holds 3 points in 16th place with poor recent form, having only one win in five matches, while Sparta Rotterdam has 6 points and occupies 9th place with stronger recent performances.
  • Recent direct encounters tend to favor Sparta Rotterdam who have exploited Excelsior's defensive weaknesses in past matches.
  • No significant injury reports affecting either team's starting core were noted, implying both squads are likely near full strength.
  • Playing at Excelsior's home ground may provide the home side some advantage, but Sparta's current form neutralizes this.
  • Sparta Rotterdam are motivated to maintain their mid-table climb, while Excelsior is under pressure to improve from the relegation zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 205, away: 117, draw: 260 Sparta Rotterdam β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread home: -110, away: -110 Sparta Rotterdam -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Under 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sparta Rotterdam 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Sparta Rotterdam at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Away win for Sparta Rotterdam; Spread: Sparta Rotterdam -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Excelsior vs. FC Twente Enschede Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs FC Twente Enschede – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Woudestein Stadium, Rotterdam

Game Overview

Excelsior, bottom of the Eredivisie table with zero points and a poor defensive record, hosts mid-table Twente Enschede, who have shown better form and a psychological edge from a recent 3-0 win over Excelsior.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Excelsior enters after three losses conceding 11 goals and scoring only 2, while Twente has 3 points with 1 win and 2 losses, showing better balance especially away from home.
  • Twente won the last encounter 3-0, asserting dominance and psychological advantage.
  • No critical injury information reported affecting either side significantly for this match.
  • Match played at Excelsior's home ground, which has so far not turned into an advantage due to their defensive struggles; no adverse weather or external disruptions noted.
  • Excelsior needs points desperately to escape from last place, while Twente looks to build momentum and consolidate mid-table standing, likely making Twente more composed.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +293, away: -123, draw: +293 Away Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread home: -115, away: -114 FC Twente Enschede -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: -115, under: -114 Over 3 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Twente Enschede 136%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: FC Twente Enschede at 136% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Away Win (FC Twente Enschede)

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 30, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 30, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Excelsior vs. FC Twente Enschede Prediction FC Twente Enschede -123 136%
Blackburn Rovers vs. Norwich City Prediction Blackburn Rovers 133 60%
Lorient vs. Lille Prediction Lorient 230 58%

Combined Odds: +1294 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $278.8

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FC Utrecht vs. Excelsior Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Utrecht vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion Galgenwaard

Game Overview

FC Utrecht hosts Excelsior in Eredivisie matchday 3. Utrecht seeks to capitalize on home advantage and improve on mid-table form, while Excelsior struggles at the bottom, hunting for their first points after two losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Utrecht has started with 3 points, scoring 5 goals in two matches but showed defensive vulnerabilities recently. Excelsior is bottom with no points and only 1 goal scored while conceding 7 across two matches.
  • In the last 25 H2H matches, Utrecht dominates with 14 home wins versus 2 away from Excelsior; average goals per match is high (~3.04). Last official meeting was a 1-1 draw.
  • No major injury reports available for either team that would significantly impact starting lineups.
  • Home advantage at Stadion Galgenwaard benefits Utrecht, and no adverse weather or travel issues reported for Excelsior.
  • Utrecht motivated to solidify mid-table and capitalize on home form. Excelsior highly motivated to escape bottom with a first win but faces uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Utrecht: -255, Draw: +410, Excelsior: +550 FC Utrecht win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread FC Utrecht -1.25: -120, Excelsior +1.25: +100 FC Utrecht -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: -115, Under 3.25: -105 Over 3.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Utrecht -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Utrecht to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.25 goal spread, and the match to go over 3.25 total goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Excelsior vs. Feyenoord Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs Feyenoord – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Game Overview

Excelsior hosts Feyenoord in an Eredivisie clash where Feyenoord enters as clear favorites after a strong season start while Excelsior seeks to rebound from early difficulties.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Feyenoord has demonstrated solid recent form with a winning start in the season, while Excelsior struggles defensively and aims to recover at home.
  • Historically, Feyenoord holds a dominant record against Excelsior and has performed well in recent matches between the two teams.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would drastically impact the game dynamic.
  • The match is played at Excelsior's home ground; however, this advantage is marginal given Feyenoord's superior quality and consistency.
  • Feyenoord is motivated to continue their winning momentum early in the season; Excelsior is motivated to avoid further defeat but is less likely to control the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Excelsior: +445, Feyenoord: -210, Draw: +395 Feyenoord β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Excelsior +1.25 (-118), Feyenoord -1.25 (-102) Feyenoord -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 3.25 (-102), Under 3.25 (-118) Under 3.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Feyenoord 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Feyenoord to win

Predicted Score: 0-2


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 16, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Excelsior vs. Feyenoord Prediction Feyenoord Win -210 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Manchester City Prediction Manchester City Win -185 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Tottenham Hotspur vs. Burnley Prediction Tottenham Hotspur Win -270 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +212

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $62.33

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NEC Nijmegen vs. Excelsior Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: De Goffert, Nijmegen

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen hosts Excelsior in the Eredivisie season opener. NEC are favorites based on preseason form and home advantage, while Excelsior are seen as underdogs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen showed strong preseason form with multiple wins and consistent scoring, whereas Excelsior have demonstrated attacking potential but less consistent results.
  • Recent matches slightly favor NEC Nijmegen, with them having a better record in prior Eredivisie encounters and stronger home performances against Excelsior.
  • No major injury concerns publicly indicated for either side at this time, suggesting both teams can field near-optimal lineups.
  • NEC Nijmegen enjoys home advantage at De Goffert, known for solid support and conditions favorable to the home team; no external disruptions noted.
  • Both teams motivated to start the season positively, but NEC Nijmegen likely has additional motivation as home favorites to assert dominance early.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen -136, Draw 285, Excelsior 340 NEC Nijmegen β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread NEC Nijmegen -0.75 (-105), Excelsior +75 (-115) NEC Nijmegen -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.75 -105, Under 2.75 -115 Over 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen to win the match outright (moneyline), cover the -0.75 goal spread, and the match to go over 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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