Match Analysis: Evansville Purple Aces vs Charleston Cougars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 10:30 PM UTC
- Location: Virgin Islands Sport & Fitness Center, Charlotte Amalie, Virgin Islands
Game Overview
The Evansville Purple Aces (3-4) face the Charleston Cougars (3-4) in the Paradise Jam tournament. Both teams have identical overall records and similar recent performances, with Evansville slightly stronger in turnover management and three-point defense, while Charleston has a marginally better scoring average. The game features no prior head-to-head history, making it a competitive and unpredictable matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Evansville averages 71.3 points per game and allows more three-pointers (8.3 per game), whereas Charleston scores slightly more at 73.3 points per game and allows fewer three-pointers (5.1). Evansville is 2-1 when winning the turnover battle and averages 12.1 turnovers per game. Key players include Joshua Hughes (12.3 PPG, 6.0 RPG) for Evansville and Jlynn Counter (11.4 PPG, 4.7 RPG) for Charleston.
- There is no previous head-to-head history between Evansville Purple Aces and Charleston Cougars, making direct matchup data unavailable.
- No significant injury reports or absences have been noted for either team ahead of this game.
- The game is played at a neutral site in the Virgin Islands, meaning no home-court advantage applies. Both teams have similar travel schedules and rest.
- Both teams enter with identical records (3-4) and seek momentum early in the season during the Paradise Jam tournament, raising motivation for a strong performance. Previous recent losses for Evansville might increase their urgency to secure a win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Cougars: -205, Evansville Purple Aces: 168 | Charleston Cougars | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Charleston Cougars: -4.5 -102, Evansville Purple Aces: +4.5 -120 | Charleston Cougars to cover -4.5 spread | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 139.5 -110, Under: 139.5 -110 | Under 139.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Cougars -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 139.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 139.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charleston Cougars are favored to win due to slight advantages in scoring efficiency and three-point defense, supported by moneyline odds and point spread favoring Charleston. The game is expected to be competitive, but Charleston's consistency and defensive edge may secure a modest win margin.
Predicted Score: Charleston Cougars 72 – Evansville Purple Aces 66