Match Analysis: Tracy Cortez vs Erin Blanchfield – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

Erin Blanchfield, the -258 favorite, is a dynamic striker with higher significant strikes landed per minute and strong defensive takedown skills, while Tracy Cortez, the +210 underdog, boasts better takedown accuracy and higher striking accuracy. Both fighters have solid records (13-2 for Blanchfield, 12-2 for Cortez) and comparable physical stats, making this a competitive flyweight bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Blanchfield has a slightly faster average fight pace and more significant strikes landed per minute (5.24 vs 3.79), but Cortez has better takedown success (47% vs 31%) and striking accuracy (49% vs 44%), suggesting a balanced contest with contrasting styles.
• No prior head-to-head fights between Blanchfield and Cortez, so outcome depends on current form and style matchup advantages.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating they should perform at peak levels.
• Fight takes place at Madison Square Garden with both fighters experienced in high-profile events, minimal travel concerns, and no external disruptions indicated.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to enhance their standing in the flyweight division, with Blanchfield aiming to reinforce her favorite status and Cortez seeking an upset victory to climb rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Erin Blanchfield: -258, Tracy Cortez: +210	Erin Blanchfield	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Erin Blanchfield -3.5: +120, Tracy Cortez +3.5: -165	Tracy Cortez +3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -445, Under 2.5: +310	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tracy Cortez -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 199%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 199% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 64.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erin Blanchfield to win by decision

Predicted Score: Erin Blanchfield wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Match Analysis: Erin Blanchfield vs Maycee Barber – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 31, 2025
• Time: 3:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Erin Blanchfield and Maycee Barber are set to face off in a highly anticipated women's flyweight bout at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are ranked in the UFC's top five at 125 pounds, positioning them for a potential title shot. Blanchfield, currently ranked No. 4, recently defeated Rose Namajunas, while Barber, ranked No. 5, is on a six-fight winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Erin Blanchfield has shown strong performance in recent fights, including a victory over Rose Namajunas. Maycee Barber is on a six-fight winning streak, indicating her resurgence.
• There is no prior head-to-head fight between Erin Blanchfield and Maycee Barber.
• No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
• The fight is held at the UFC Apex, which can favor fighters with strong grappling skills. Both fighters are well-rounded and have shown no specific disadvantage at this venue.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with a potential title shot in the future.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-238 (Erin Blanchfield), 195 (Maycee Barber)	Erin Blanchfield	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	-5.5 (Erin Blanchfield) 125, 5.5 (Maycee Barber) -170	Erin Blanchfield	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 4.5 -230, Under: 4.5 175	Under	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Erin Blanchfield -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 4.5 51%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 51% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erin Blanchfield is favored to win based on her recent performances and ranking.

Predicted Score: Decision or submission victory for Erin Blanchfield