Match Analysis: Baysangur Susurkaev vs Eric Nolan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 1:45 AM UTC
- Location: United Center, Chicago
Game Overview
Baysangur Susurkaev, a 24-year-old undefeated middleweight prospect with a 9-0 record, will make his UFC debut against Eric Nolan, a 27-year-old former CFFC welterweight champion stepping up to middleweight for his UFC debut. Susurkaev is known for his knockout power with 8 of 9 wins by KO, and Nolan has won his last three fights by knockout as well. This match features the fastest turnaround in UFC history, with Susurkaev fighting just four days after earning his contract via a first-round finish on Dana White's Contender Series.
Key Factors to Consider
- Susurkaev is a dominant rising prospect with finishing ability early in fights, holding an undefeated 9-0 record. Nolan comes off a four-fight win streak with three consecutive knockout wins, capturing the CFFC welterweight title, now moving up a weight class. Both fighters bring momentum but Susurkaev's overall dominance and UFC-level readiness are notable.
- This will be the first meeting between Susurkaev and Nolan. No direct past bouts between these fighters exist.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout. Susurkaev has a rapid turnaround but appears healthy.
- The bout takes place at UFC 319 in Chicago at the United Center on August 17, 2025. Susurkaev will set the fastest turnaround record in UFC history for a Contender Series graduate debuting within four days of contract win. Motivation is high for both fighters to establish themselves in the UFC.
- Susurkaev aims to capitalize on his recent contract win with a statement debut to build UFC momentum. Nolan seeks to prove himself stepping up to middleweight and making his UFC debut after dominating at welterweight, using his wrestling and knockout power to upset the favorite.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baysangur Susurkaev: -1000, Eric Nolan: 675 | Baysangur Susurkaev | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Baysangur Susurkaev: -1.5, Eric Nolan: +1.5 | Susurkaev to win by a margin greater than 1.5 rounds (likely early finish) | ★★★★☆ 80% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: 155, Under 1.5 rounds: -195 | Under 1.5 rounds (fight finishes early) | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baysangur Susurkaev -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Susurkaev at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baysangur Susurkaev by first-round knockout. His youth, power, undefeated record, and quick finish rate give him a major edge over Nolan stepping up in weight and facing a faster, more explosive opponent with UFC readiness advantages.
Predicted Score: Susurkaev wins via 1st round KO