Match Analysis: Baysangur Susurkaev vs Eric McConico – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, NY

Game Overview

Undefeated rising prospect Baisangur Susurkaev (10-0) faces veteran Eric McConico (10-3-1) in a middleweight bout. Susurkaev is heavily favored, known for his high striking volume and strong wrestling-based grappling, coming off a submission win in UFC 319. McConico is a southpaw with solid cardio and seven stoppage wins but slower striking pace and less accuracy.

Key Factors to Consider

• Susurkaev maintains an unblemished 10-0 record with 9 finishes and significantly higher striking volume (4.56/min) and accuracy (58%) compared to McConico’s 1.51/min and 36%. Susurkaev averages nearly 3 takedowns per 3 rounds with 85% takedown defense, dominating the wrestling facet.
• No previous matchup exists between Susurkaev and McConico.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
• Fight held at Madison Square Garden, a neutral venue with no known environmental advantage. Susurkaev benefits from a full training camp; McConico is experienced but older at 35.
• Susurkaev, at 24 and undefeated, is highly motivated to make a statement in his second UFC fight. McConico, after a recent split decision win, looks to establish himself further but faces a younger, hungrier opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -1050, away: 675	Baisangur Susurkaev	★★★★☆ 88%
Spread	home: -575 (Baysangur -7.5), away: 350 (McConico +7.5)	Baisangur Susurkaev -7.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	over: 195 (1.5 rounds), under: -260 (1.5 rounds)	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Baysangur Susurkaev 590%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Susurkaev at 590% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 87.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baisangur Susurkaev to win decisively, likely by submission or stoppage within early rounds reflecting superior striking and wrestling.

Predicted Score: Susurkaev wins by submission or TKO in Round 1

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – November 15, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Baysangur Susurkaev vs. Eric McConico Prediction	Baysangur Susurkaev	-1050	590%
Gerald Meerschaert vs. Kyle Daukaus Prediction	Under 1.5	135	69%
Roman Kopylov vs. Gregory Rodrigues Prediction	Under 1.5	130	66%

Combined Odds: +492 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $118.4

Match Analysis: Eric McConico vs Cody Brundage – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

A middleweight contest featuring Eric McConico (9-3-1) and Cody Brundage (11-6-1), both standing 6'0" and weighing 185 lbs. Brundage fights orthodox with a 72" reach, McConico is a southpaw with a 77" reach advantage. Brundage has a higher significant strike accuracy and lower absorption per minute, while McConico has better significant strike defense percentage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brundage has a more active and accurate striking approach, landing 2.23 significant strikes per minute at 52% accuracy compared to McConico's 0.90 strikes per minute at 38%. McConico shows a slight edge in defensive strike absorption (52%) over Brundage (46%).
• No recorded previous matchups between the two fighters.
• No public information or recent injury reports affecting either fighter prior to the bout.
• Fight taking place at UFC Apex, a neutral site favoring neither fighter; McConico is older (35) versus younger Brundage (31), potentially impacting stamina.
• Brundage appears motivated to improve his winning consistency after an 11-6-1 record; McConico’s fewer fights may add unpredictability but less recent activity might impact sharpness.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brundage -160 / McConico +140	Cody Brundage	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 1.5 (+115) / Under 1.5 (-135)	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cody Brundage -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cody Brundage to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Cody Brundage wins by decision or late stoppage before Round 2

Match Analysis: Nursultan Ruziboev vs Eric McConico – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-23
• Time: 11:45 PM UTC
• Location: Seattle, Washington

Game Overview

Nursultan Ruziboev and Eric McConico are set to face off in a middleweight bout at UFC Fight Night 252. Ruziboev is favored with odds of -275, indicating a strong favorite status. McConico, with odds of +235, is considered the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nursultan Ruziboev has shown strong skills in his previous fights, which may give him an edge over Eric McConico. McConico has a record of 6-2-1, with three wins by KO, two by submission, and one by decision.
• There is no prior head-to-head match between Ruziboev and McConico, making this a first encounter.
• No significant injury reports have been noted for either fighter.
• The fight being in Seattle might not significantly impact either fighter, as both are accustomed to competing in various environments.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Ruziboev looking to maintain his winning streak and McConico aiming to upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-275 for Ruziboev, +235 for McConico	Nursultan Ruziboev	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Not available	Nursultan Ruziboev	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -115, Under 1.5: -115	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Nursultan Ruziboev is likely to win due to his favored status and strong past performances.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish in favor of Ruziboev.