Match Analysis: Baysangur Susurkaev vs Eric McConico – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City

Game Overview

Baysangur Susurkaev, an undefeated 24-year-old Russian fighter with a 10-0 record featuring nine stoppage wins, faces Eric McConico, a 35-year-old American with a record of 10-3-1, at UFC 322. Susurkaev is coming off a quick submission victory in his UFC debut and has had a full training camp. McConico, fighting out of MMA Lab in Arizona, recently secured a split decision win and aims to challenge the rising prospect. The fight is in the middleweight division and is part of a major UFC pay-per-view event.

Key Factors to Consider

• Susurkaev is undefeated with a high finishing rate, showing effective striking and submissions. McConico has a solid experience base with 10 wins but has faced more losses and fewer stoppages than Susurkaev. Susurkaev has shown rapid progression entering UFC with back-to-back wins including a submission in his debut; McConico has momentum after a split decision win but less finishing power.
• No prior fights between Susurkaev and McConico exist, making this a first encounter. The matchup features a younger, undefeated striker grappling with a more experienced but less dominant opponent.
• No known injuries have been reported for either fighter before the match.
• The fight is at Madison Square Garden, a prestigious venue providing a big stage that may benefit the rising star Susurkaev with the crowd energy. No external conditions such as weather or travel issues reported that could influence performance.
• Susurkaev aims to solidify his UFC status with a strong second win, particularly targeting a first-round knockout. McConico seeks to build on his recent UFC victory and prove he can defeat the undefeated prospect to maintain his relevance in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Baysangur Susurkaev: -1050, Eric McConico: 675	Baysangur Susurkaev	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Baysangur Susurkaev -7.5: -575, Eric McConico +7.5: 350	Baysangur Susurkaev to cover the -7.5 spread	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 195, Under 1.5 rounds: -260	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Baysangur Susurkaev -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Susurkaev at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Susurkaev is predicted to win by first or second-round stoppage due to superior striking, grappling ability, and the momentum of entering the UFC undefeated with high finishing rates. Eric McConico is expected to struggle to match Susurkaev's power and pace.

Predicted Score: Susurkaev wins by submission or KO in Round 1 or Round 2

Match Analysis: Eric McConico vs Cody Brundage – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This light heavyweight bout at UFC Vegas 109 features Eric McConico facing Cody Brundage, who is moving up from middleweight to light heavyweight on short notice. Brundage has a UFC record of 5-5-1, McConico is 0-1 in UFC but has a 9-3-1 professional record overall.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cody Brundage holds a UFC record of 5-5-1 with notable experience at middleweight, now stepping up in weight class. Eric McConico, with less UFC experience (0-1) but a strong 9-3-1 overall record, is relatively less proven at the highest level. Recent form and activity favor Brundage, who has more fights and UFC tenure.
• No recorded previous matches or direct head-to-head encounters between Eric McConico and Cody Brundage.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout; however, Brundage’s short notice move to light heavyweight suggests limited camp time, which may impact preparation.
• Brundage is taking this fight on short notice and moving up from middleweight to light heavyweight which could affect his endurance and power dynamics. The fight being at UFC APEX in Las Vegas is a neutral ground with no home advantage.
• Brundage likely motivated to prove himself in a higher weight class and capitalize on short notice opportunity. McConico aims to secure his first UFC win and establish himself in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Brundage: -160, Eric McConico: 140	Cody Brundage	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Cody Brundage: -1.5 or similar (not explicitly provided), Eric McConico: +1.5 or similar	Cody Brundage to cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 115, Under 1.5 rounds: -135	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cody Brundage -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cody Brundage is favored to win due to greater UFC experience, better recent performance, and adaptability despite the short notice and weight class jump. Eric McConico may challenge but lacks UFC-level experience, suggesting Brundage’s advantage.

Predicted Score: Cody Brundage wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Nursultan Ruziboev vs Eric McConico – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-23
• Time: 11:45 PM UTC
• Location: Seattle, Washington

Game Overview

Nursultan Ruziboev and Eric McConico are set to face off in a middleweight bout at UFC Fight Night 252. Ruziboev is favored with odds of -275, indicating a strong favorite status. McConico, with odds of +235, is considered the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nursultan Ruziboev has shown strong skills in his previous fights, which may give him an edge over Eric McConico. McConico has a record of 6-2-1, with three wins by KO, two by submission, and one by decision.
• There is no prior head-to-head match between Ruziboev and McConico, making this a first encounter.
• No significant injury reports have been noted for either fighter.
• The fight being in Seattle might not significantly impact either fighter, as both are accustomed to competing in various environments.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Ruziboev looking to maintain his winning streak and McConico aiming to upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-275 for Ruziboev, +235 for McConico	Nursultan Ruziboev	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Not available	Nursultan Ruziboev	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -115, Under 1.5: -115	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Nursultan Ruziboev is likely to win due to his favored status and strong past performances.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish in favor of Ruziboev.