Match Analysis: Mackson Lee vs Enrique Hecher Sosa – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-17
- Time: 1:55 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series
Game Overview
This Bantamweight main card bout features undefeated Mackson Lee (9-0) facing off against seasoned Enrique Hecher Sosa (13-1) at Dana White's Contender Series, with both fighters on recent winning streaks.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mackson Lee is undefeated with 9 wins, showing strong finishing ability (1 KO, 3 submissions), while Enrique Hecher Sosa holds an impressive 13-1 record with 6 knockouts and 3 submissions. Both fighters are 5-0 in their last five bouts, indicating excellent recent form.
- No previous fights between Mackson Lee and Enrique Hecher Sosa have occurred, making this a first-time matchup.
- No notable injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this bout.
- The fight takes place on a high-profile Dana White's Contender Series event, providing significant motivation for both fighters to perform impressively for potential UFC contracts. Mackson Lee fights out of Brazil, but the contest is on neutral ground.
- Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract, but Lee's undefeated streak combined with a younger age (26 vs. 30) gives him a slight edge psychologically.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mackson Lee: -140, Enrique Hecher Sosa: 120 | Mackson Lee | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Mackson Lee -1.5 rounds: +130, Enrique Hecher Sosa +1.5 rounds: -150 | Mackson Lee -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: -155, Under 1.5 rounds: +135 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mackson Lee 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 29% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Mackson Lee to win; Spread: Mackson Lee -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Mackson Lee wins by submission in Round 2