Match Analysis: Tiara Brown vs Emma Gongora – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Bayou Music Center, Houston

Game Overview

Tiara Brown defends her WBC featherweight title for the first time against Emma Gongora over 10 rounds. Brown is undefeated with a strong knockout record, while Gongora is a former national and current WBA gold featherweight champion with fewer knockouts and more professional rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brown holds a perfect 19-0 record with 11 KOs, showcasing significant power and consistency. Gongora is 10-3-1 with only 1 KO, indicating less punching power but more ring experience in rounds (103 vs. Brown's 96).
• No direct past clashes recorded; however, their styles and records suggest Brown as a dominant power puncher while Gongora relies more on endurance and technical skills.
• No reported injuries to either fighter, so both are expected to compete at full health.
• Fight is a major WBC featherweight title event in Houston, Brown’s adopted home. The local crowd support and championship mindset favor Brown.
• Brown is defending her first world title, highly motivated to maintain undefeated status and championship reign. Gongora aims to upset as the challenger and break into the elite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Tiara Brown: -2500, Emma Gongora: 900	Tiara Brown	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Tiara Brown -3.5 rounds: -120, Emma Gongora +3.5 rounds: 100	Tiara Brown -3.5 rounds (win by knockout or stoppage within 7 rounds)	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -200, Under 8.5 rounds: 165	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tiara Brown -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 86%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 86% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tiara Brown to win decisively by knockout or stoppage within 8 rounds.

Predicted Score: Tiara Brown wins by TKO in round 7