Mateusz Strzelczyk vs. Emilio Quissua Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mateusz Strzelczyk vs Emilio Quissua – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Oktagon MMA Event Venue (exact location not specified)

Game Overview

This light heavyweight bout features Mateusz Strzelczyk, a powerful striker with reach advantage, against Emilio Quissua, a grappling specialist who aims to control the fight on the ground. Both fighters have experienced recent struggles with losses but exhibit contrasting styles that make this matchup intriguing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Strzelczyk shows strong recent striking form and power, aiming to keep the fight standing, while Quissua has solid grappling skills but both fighters face pressure from recent losses.
  • No previous head-to-head fights recorded between Strzelczyk and Quissua.
  • No publicly available injury reports for either fighter, indicating both are likely at full health.
  • Strzelczyk has home advantage with crowd support and venue familiarity, possibly providing psychological and morale boost.
  • Both fighters are motivated to halt recent losing streaks; Strzelczyk's home setting may boost motivation slightly higher.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Emilio Quissua: -280, Mateusz Strzelczyk: +185 Mateusz Strzelczyk ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Strzelczyk -1.5 rounds: +210, Quissua +1.5 rounds: -250 Quissua +1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Emilio Quissua 71%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Emilio Quissua at 71% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mateusz Strzelczyk to win by knockout or TKO

Predicted Score: Strzelczyk wins via TKO in round 2


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