Match Analysis: Emanuele Zaccaria vs Daniel Bainbridge – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-27
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: BEC Arena, Manchester
Game Overview
The bantamweight catchweight bout between Emanuele Zaccaria and Daniel Bainbridge is one of the preliminary fights at Cage Warriors 190: Unplugged. The fighters are fairly evenly matched in height (both 170 cm) and reach (1.7 meters). Bainbridge, from England, and Zaccaria, from Italy, bring contrasting styles with Bainbridge favoring striking and Zaccaria excelling in grappling and ground control. Both have solid endurance, which suggests the fight could last the distance unless a decisive finish occurs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bainbridge has a striking advantage with a reach that aids his distance fighting, while Zaccaria relies on grappling to bring opponents to the ground and look for submissions. Both fighters show good cardio and stamina in prior matches, indicating sustained performance over rounds.
- There are no recorded previous match-ups between Emanuele Zaccaria and Daniel Bainbridge, making this their first encounter.
- No publicly disclosed injuries have been reported for either fighter leading into this fight.
- The fight is held in Manchester at the BEC Arena, which could provide a slight home crowd advantage to Bainbridge, an English fighter. The event is invite-only, possibly increasing fighter motivation due to exclusivity.
- Both fighters are motivated to advance their careers in Cage Warriors with this being a high-profile preliminary bout. Zaccaria will look to showcase his grappling dominance, whereas Bainbridge aims to leverage his striking to control the fight.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Daniel_Bainbridge: -220, Emanuele_Zaccaria: 155 | Daniel Bainbridge to win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Daniel_Bainbridge: -1.5, Emanuele_Zaccaria: +1.5 | Daniel Bainbridge -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over_1.5_rounds: 1.85, under_1.5_rounds: 1.95 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Emanuele Zaccaria 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Emanuele Zaccaria at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the contrasting styles, the fight could unfold with Bainbridge using striking to keep distance while Zaccaria attempts takedowns for a submission. Odds and expert insight lean slightly in favor of Bainbridge due to his striking reach advantage and home venue setting. However, Zaccaria's grappling poses a significant threat, making a submission win plausible. A points decision win for Bainbridge is the most likely outcome, with a submission upset not ruled out.
Predicted Score: Daniel Bainbridge wins by decision after 3 rounds