Match Analysis: Jack Catterall vs Ekow Essuman – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Game Overview

Jack Catterall (31-2, 13 KOs) faces Ekow Essuman (22-1, 8 KOs) in a 10-round welterweight contest. Catterall enters as the heavy favorite with superior record, experience, and knockout power. Essuman presents as an underdog with a solid record but facing a significantly stronger opponent in a hostile environment.

Key Factors to Consider

• Catterall demonstrates elite credentials with a 31-2 record and 42% knockout rate, showing both boxing skill and power. Essuman's 22-1 record with 36% KO rate is respectable but indicates a step down in competition level. Catterall's superior win-loss record and knockout percentage suggest clear technical and physical advantages.
• No prior matchup history. This is a fresh encounter with no direct comparative data, but Catterall's overall profile (31 wins vs 22 wins, higher KO %) suggests dominance potential.
• No reported injuries for either fighter. Both appear healthy and ready for competition.
• Fight takes place at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, potentially favoring Essuman with home-crowd support. However, Catterall's superior skill should overcome any crowd disadvantage. The 10-round format favors technical boxers, which suits Catterall's fighting style.
• Catterall seeks to maintain elite status and assert dominance. Essuman has significant motivation as an underdog fighting at home with a chance for a career-defining upset. Catterall's motivation appears more focused on performance validation than desperation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Catterall -225, Essuman +175	Jack Catterall Moneyline	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	KO/TKO: Catterall +650, Essuman +750	Decision (Under on Combined KO odds)	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jack Catterall -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jack Catterall at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jack Catterall wins by decision. While Essuman's home advantage and height/reach superiority (3 inches each) provide some leverage, Catterall's superior experience, knockout power, and overall record make him the clear favorite. A competitive fight is expected, but Catterall's skill edge should prevail over 10 rounds.

Predicted Score: Jack Catterall wins by Unanimous Decision (98-92 or 97-93 scorecard) via technical boxing and consistent point accumulation rather than knockout.

Match Analysis: Josh Taylor vs Ekow Essuman – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-24
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hydro Arena, Glasgow, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The boxing match features former undisputed super-lightweight champion Josh Taylor making his welterweight debut against WBO European champion Ekow Essuman. Taylor, with a professional record of 19-2 (13 KOs), is stepping up in weight after a close loss in a previous title rematch. Essuman, with a record of 21-1 (8 KOs), brings strong momentum from recent title wins and holds the Commonwealth and British Welterweight Titles. The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds at 147 lbs in the welterweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Josh Taylor has proven elite skills at super-lightweight with a strong knockout rate and high-level experience including Olympic and Commonwealth Games medals. Moving up to welterweight, Taylor faces a physically bigger and strong Essuman, who possesses a solid record and is the reigning Commonwealth and British champion. Both fighters have momentum, but Taylor's world-class pedigree contrasts with Essuman's hunger and form.
• This is the first meeting between Josh Taylor and Ekow Essuman, so no direct head-to-head history exists. Taylor’s experience at world-class level arguably gives him an edge in ring IQ and tactical versatility.
• No documented injuries have been reported for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both are expected in peak condition.
• Fighting at home in Glasgow, Taylor benefits from strong local support and familiarity with the venue, potentially influencing his performance positively. The bout is held at the Hydro Arena to a likely enthusiastic crowd, adding atmosphere and pressure.
• Taylor is highly motivated to secure a successful welterweight debut and begin a two-weight world title pursuit after moving up from super-lightweight. Essuman is equally motivated to establish himself at world level by defeating a former undisputed champion and solidify his status in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Josh Taylor: -345, Ekow Essuman: 255	Josh Taylor to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Josh Taylor -3.5 rounds: -150, Ekow Essuman +3.5 rounds: +130	Josh Taylor to win by more than 3.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 10.5 rounds: -300, Under 10.5 rounds: +225	Under 10.5 rounds (fight ends before full distance)	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Josh Taylor -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 111%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 111% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Josh Taylor is the favorite to win by KO or decision, leveraging his elite experience and skill advantage. The likelihood of a Taylor knockout is significant, although Essuman’s power and resilience mean it could also go the distance.

Predicted Score: Josh Taylor wins by KO in 9th round