Match Analysis: Eduard Kexel vs Josef Stummer – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 4:00 AM UTC
- Location: Warsaw, Poland (KSW 109)
Game Overview
Eduard Kexel and Josef Stummer face off in a competitive KSW lightweight bout with Kexel as the favorite based on odds and recent activity. Both fighters come motivated to solidify their standing in the division.
Key Factors to Consider
- Eduard Kexel shows stronger recent form with multiple wins in the KSW promotion, demonstrating sharp striking and solid grappling. Josef Stummer has been active but with mixed results, struggling against top-tier opponents.
- No documented prior head-to-head bouts between Kexel and Stummer, limiting direct matchup insights.
- No significant recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear healthy and prepared.
- Fight scheduled in Warsaw, Kexel benefits from stronger local support and familiarity. No travel or external disruptions reported.
- Kexel aims to continue upward momentum in KSW. Stummer is motivated to upset the favorite and climb the ranks, but less consistent momentum may affect confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Eduard Kexel -280, Josef Stummer +185 | Eduard Kexel | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Eduard Kexel -1.5 rounds +150, Josef Stummer +1.5 rounds -180 | Eduard Kexel -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Eduard Kexel 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Eduard Kexel at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Eduard Kexel to win via decision
Predicted Score: Eduard Kexel wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds