Match Analysis: Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Petroski – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-14
- Time: 3:45 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Atlanta
Game Overview
Middleweight bout featuring Edmen Shahbazyan, a striker with explosive power and knockout ability, against Andre Petroski, a skilled wrestler and grappler. Shahbazyan is favored due to his striking and recent knockout wins, while Petroski relies on wrestling, top control, and grappling endurance. The match could be decided by whether Shahbazyan keeps the fight standing or Petroski successfully imposes his grappling game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Edmen Shahbazyan is coming off a sharp first-round KO in his last fight and has more finishing upside (12 KOs/TKOs in career). Petroski is strong on the ground with effective wrestling and jiu-jitsu, but less dangerous with his striking and lacks recent stoppage wins.
- First meeting between the two; no prior head-to-head records.
- No reported injuries or late changes ahead of the bout.
- Both fighters are motivated to regain momentum. Shahbazyan is looking to continue his recent success and re-establish himself as a contender, while Petroski aims to show his grappling can overcome striking threats.
- High for both: Shahbazyan looking to build on recent KO and secure higher-ranked opponents; Petroski motivated to prove his grappling can dominate at this level.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | {'Edmen Shahbazyan': -170, 'Andre Petroski': 142 (approx. +142)} | Edmen Shahbazyan | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | {'Edmen Shahbazyan -3.5': -150, 'Andre Petroski +3.5': 110} | Edmen Shahbazyan -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | {'Over 1.5': -145, 'Under 1.5': 114} | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Edmen Shahbazyan 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 1.5 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO in the first two rounds is the most likely outcome based on his recent form and striking power, but Petroski’s wrestling could make the fight competitive if he secures takedowns early. Odds favor Shahbazyan for a quick finish.
Predicted Score: Shahbazyan via TKO/KO in Round 1 or 2