Match Analysis: Wasiu Adeshina vs Dwight Joseph – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: PFL Africa 3, Rwanda (exact venue unspecified)

Game Overview

This featherweight matchup features Wasiu Adeshina versus Dwight Joseph in the PFL Africa 3 tournament. Joseph enters as a slight favorite with American odds of -128, while Adeshina is the underdog at +108. The contest is expected to be competitive given both fighters' recent form and the tournament stakes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dwight Joseph has shown consistent recent form in the PFL circuit with a combination of grappling and striking that secures decision wins and occasional finishes. Wasiu Adeshina comes off strong performances but with less consistency in high-pressure bouts.
• No direct prior matchups between Adeshina and Joseph, so no direct H2H data to influence prediction.
• No publicly reported injuries or fight camp interruptions for either fighter, suggesting both are at full health.
• Being a PFL Africa event held in Rwanda, neither fighter holds a home-region advantage, with equal travel demands and acclimatization.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure PFL points towards the season, but Joseph's slight favorite status might reflect a stronger psychological edge and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dwight Joseph: -128, Wasiu Adeshina: +108	Dwight Joseph	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Dwight Joseph -1.5 rounds: -150, Wasiu Adeshina +1.5 rounds: +130	Dwight Joseph -1.5 rounds (win before end of round 2)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -195, Under 1.5 rounds: +170	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dwight Joseph -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dwight Joseph to win by decision

Predicted Score: Dwight Joseph wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Wilker Nsamo vs Dwight Joseph – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: PFL Africa 2, Johannesburg

Game Overview

Wilker Nsamo and Dwight Joseph face off in a PFL Africa 2 mixed martial arts bout where Nsamo's striking speed and power clashes with Joseph's grappling and ground control skills. Both athletes have shown good form recently, setting the stage for a closely contested match.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nsamo has risen in odds reflecting confidence in his recent performances and dynamic striking. Joseph, favored on moneyline, demonstrates consistent grappling dominance but has slightly declined odds implying market uncertainty.
• No direct prior meeting data available, making style contrast analysis critical in predicting the outcome.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, indicating both in peak condition.
• Fighting in Johannesburg may provide Nsamo some home advantage. Market betting movement shows some shift favoring Nsamo potentially reflecting insider confidence or late sharp bets.
• Both fighters are motivated to impress and secure standing in the PFL Africa season. Nsamo's underdog position serves as additional motivation, while Joseph aims to justify favorite status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dwight Joseph -265, Wilker Nsamo +205	Dwight Joseph	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Wilker Nsamo +1.5 rounds +185	Wilker Nsamo +1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dwight Joseph -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dwight Joseph at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dwight Joseph to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Dwight Joseph wins by submission or decision in round 2 or 3