Match Analysis: Dustin Jacoby vs Bruno Lopes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 31, 2025
- Time: 1:45 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Game Overview
Dustin Jacoby and Bruno Lopes are scheduled to fight in the light heavyweight division at UFC Vegas 107. Jacoby, a more experienced fighter, is favored to win against Lopes, who is looking to pull off an upset.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dustin Jacoby has a more active fight history with his last fight being 5 months ago. Bruno Lopes fought 4 months ago, but has been less active over the past few years.
- There is no prior head-to-head fight history between Dustin Jacoby and Bruno Lopes.
- No reported injuries for either fighter have been mentioned.
- The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which may favor Jacoby due to his experience in similar settings.
- Both fighters are motivated to win, but Jacoby might have an edge due to his experience and recent activity.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dustin Jacoby: -198, Bruno Lopes: 164 | Dustin Jacoby to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Bruno Lopes: 3.5 -120, Dustin Jacoby: -3.5 -110 | Dustin Jacoby to win by decision or early stoppage | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -110, Under: 2.5 -120 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dustin Jacoby -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Dustin Jacoby is likely to win the fight based on his recent activity and experience in the UFC.
Predicted Score: Dustin Jacoby wins by decision or TKO/KO in the 3rd round