Match Analysis: Akron Zips vs Duquesne Dukes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 10:07 PM UTC
- Location: InfoCision Stadium-Summa Field
Game Overview
The Akron Zips host the Duquesne Dukes in an early season game with Akron searching for their first win of the season after a 0-3 start, facing a Duquesne team also struggling at 1-2. Weather conditions are mild with rain and moderate wind, potentially impacting offensive production.
Key Factors to Consider
- Akron has struggled offensively and defensively this season, going 0-3 with a recent trend of low scoring and a tendency to play unders. Duquesne has been inconsistent at 1-2 but shows resilience against comparable opponents.
- Limited recent head-to-head data; no strong dominance observed. Both teams have struggled recently making form more relevant than historical matchups.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that could drastically affect starting lineups or game flow.
- Rain and 4 mph wind at venue expected, favoring more conservative play and likely suppressing total points scored.
- Both teams are motivated to break losing streaks; Akron's motivation heightened due to home crowd and urgency for a first win, which may give them a slight psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Akron -230, Duquesne +188 | Akron | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Akron -6.5 -115, Duquesne +6.5 -105 | Akron -6.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | Over 51.5 -112, Under 51.5 -108 | Under 51.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Akron Zips 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Akron Zips to win straight up, cover the -6.5 spread, and the game to finish under 51.5 points.
Predicted Score: Akron 24 – Duquesne 14