Match Analysis: Corey Anderson vs Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-03
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: PFL Champions Series 3 (venue unspecified)
Game Overview
Corey Anderson and Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov face off in a PFL Light Heavyweight World Title rematch, with Anderson as the reigning champion defending his belt on October 3, 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- Corey Anderson boasts a strong recent form with a 3-1 run over the last three years, including a TKO win in his most recent fight on July 19, 2025. He is currently the PFL Light Heavyweight World Champion with solid experience across top promotions. Yagshimuradov, while a skilled opponent, has lacked recent high-profile wins comparable to Anderson’s, making his momentum less pronounced.
- This is a rematch scenario, where Anderson’s past dominance and championship status suggest superiority. Anderson previously defeated Karl Moore decisively, while details on direct prior encounters with Yagshimuradov are limited, indicating Anderson as the likely favorite.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both will likely enter at full health and preparedness.
- The bout is a high-stakes title fight within the PFL Champions Series, streamed exclusively on ESPN Unlimited. There is no evident disruption or external disadvantage affecting either fighter.
- Anderson is motivated to defend his inaugural PFL Light Heavyweight title and continue his championship reign. Yagshimuradov has high motivation to reclaim the title and avenge previous results, but Anderson’s established champion status enhances his psychological advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -210, away: 180 | Corey Anderson | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | home: -110, away: -110, line: -1.5 | Corey Anderson -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 120, under: -140, line: 3.5 | Under 3.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Corey Anderson -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Corey Anderson wins by moneyline
Predicted Score: Corey Anderson wins by decision or TKO before round 4