Match Analysis: Donte Johnson vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 9:50 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This middleweight UFC prelim fight features Donte Johnson, an aggressive fast starter with a high early KO potential, facing Sedriques Dumas, a measured fighter skilled in range control and clinch tactics focused on winning by decision.

Key Factors to Consider

• Donte Johnson excels in early rounds with a 34% KO rate mostly in the first 3-4 minutes, showing aggressive pressure. Sedriques Dumas has strength in controlling pace with jab, clinch, and wrestling to steal rounds and secure decisions.
• No direct head-to-head fights available; strategies contrast aggressively: Johnson seeks early finishes, while Dumas aims to slow pace into later rounds.
• No reported recent injuries for either fighter, both appear fully healthy and prepared.
• Fight taking place at UFC Apex, a familiar venue; no travel or environmental disadvantages noted for either athlete.
• Johnson appears motivated to prove knockout power on prelims stage, while Dumas aims to demonstrate tactical superiority and grinding control to build decision wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Donte Johnson: -355, Sedriques Dumas: 280	Donte Johnson	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	Donte Johnson -3.5: -320, Sedriques Dumas +3.5: 225	Donte Johnson -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 170, Under 1.5 rounds: -220	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Donte Johnson -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Donte Johnson to win by KO/TKO in early rounds

Predicted Score: Donte Johnson wins by KO/TKO in Round 1

Match Analysis: Darion Abbey vs Donte Johnson – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This matchup features Darion Abbey, a 7-4 heavyweight with significant size and reach advantages, against undefeated 5-0 light heavyweight Donte Johnson. Abbey is the older, heavier fighter, while Johnson is younger and undefeated, indicating rising talent and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Darion Abbey has a solid but mixed record of 7-4, showing vulnerability but experience in heavyweight fights. Donte Johnson is undefeated at 5-0, with strong recent form and momentum.
• No direct previous matchups between Abbey and Johnson exist, meaning preparation and adaptation on fight night will be crucial.
• No reported injuries for either fighter, indicating both are in normal training condition.
• The fight takes place at a high-stakes Dana White Contender Series event, increasing motivation for Johnson, the undefeated prospect, eager to prove himself with a UFC contract.
• Donte Johnson's undefeated status and younger age create a strong motivation to maintain the streak and advance his career. Abbey, with a more seasoned but less stellar record, is motivated to upset and return to prominence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Darion Abbey: +275, Donte Johnson: -350	Donte Johnson	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Donte Johnson -1.5: -150, Darion Abbey +1.5: +130	Donte Johnson -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: +190, Under 1.5 rounds: -230	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Donte Johnson -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Donte Johnson at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Donte Johnson via decision

Predicted Score: Donte Johnson wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Trent Miller vs. Ryan Gandra Prediction	Ryan Gandra Win	-370	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Darion Abbey vs. Donte Johnson Prediction	Donte Johnson Win	-350	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Cristian Pérez vs. Manoel Sousa Prediction	Manoel Sousa Win	-300	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +118

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $43.55