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Match Analysis: Conor McCarthy vs Diego Visanzay – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: RDS, Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

This Lightweight main card fight between Conor McCarthy and Diego Visanzay is part of Cage Warriors 194. Both fighters enter the cage with solid backgrounds but no fight has started yet. The clash pits McCarthy, a 29-year-old Irish fighter with a height of 170 cm and reach of 1.7 m, against Visanzay, a Spanish fighter standing 181 cm tall with a 1.81 m reach. The fight is anticipated to showcase a range of striking and grappling techniques, typical to the lightweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Conor McCarthy typically displays strong ground game proficiency and effective stand-up striking. Diego Visanzay, with slightly greater height and reach, is known for a technical approach emphasizing distance control and grappling defense. Both fighters have competitive recent performances though no head-to-head encounters exist.
• No previous fight or direct matchup data is available between Conor McCarthy and Diego Visanzay, resulting in an unknown dynamic for the upcoming fight.
• No reported injuries for either Conor McCarthy or Diego Visanzay impacting their preparation or expected performance going into this bout.
• The fight is held at RDS in Dublin, Ireland, which could confer slight home advantage to Conor McCarthy due to local support and familiarity with the venue conditions. Event date timing has no apparent adverse external disruptions.
• Both fighters are motivated to make a statement on the Cage Warriors main card. McCarthy, fighting on home soil, has the incentive to capitalize on crowd support, while Visanzay aims to leverage his size advantage and claim a significant victory on foreign ground.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Conor McCarthy: -145, Diego Visanzay: +120, Draw: +2000	Conor McCarthy to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Conor McCarthy -1.5: -110, Diego Visanzay +1.5: -110	Conor McCarthy covers -1.5 spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Conor McCarthy is predicted to narrowly win by decision or late-round submission, leveraging home advantage and aggressive grappling. Diego Visanzay's striking and reach advantage make him a credible threat, but the edge goes to McCarthy in a competitive lightweight clash.

Predicted Score: McCarthy wins by unanimous decision or submission in round 3 or 4

Match Analysis: Chasen Blair vs Diego Visanzay – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: RDS Arena, Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

The lightweight catchweight bout between Chasen Blair and Diego Visanzay at Cage Warriors 188 in Dublin is a clash between two skilled fighters with differing profiles. Blair enters as a heavy favorite based on current odds and recent performances, while Visanzay poses a threat as a durable and technically sound competitor. The fight promises a tactical battle with Blair’s favored striking and power against Visanzay’s resilience and technique.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chasen Blair has demonstrated strong form recently in Cage Warriors with a high finish rate and aggressive striking style. Diego Visanzay has been competitive but less dominant, relying more on technical grappling and durability. Blair’s recent momentum and power give him an edge in performance.
• There is no recorded previous head-to-head meeting between Chasen Blair and Diego Visanzay, making this their first competitive encounter.
• No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are likely to be in peak condition.
• The fight takes place at the iconic RDS Arena in Dublin, which could provide an energetic environment. Visanzay is traveling from abroad, potentially affecting acclimatization, while Blair benefits from fighting closer to home.
• Blair is motivated to solidify his standing and progress toward title contention in Cage Warriors, while Visanzay aims to upset the favorite and establish himself as a contender, adding a dynamic layer of motivation for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chasen_Blair: -700, Diego_Visanzay: 400	Chasen Blair	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Chasen_Blair: -1.5, Diego_Visanzay: +1.5	Chasen Blair to cover -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Chasen Blair -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chasen Blair at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chasen Blair is predicted to win by a methodical striking and power advantage, likely ending the fight before the final bell. Diego Visanzay’s durability could extend the fight to later rounds, but Blair’s finishing ability is expected to prevail.

Predicted Score: Chasen Blair wins by TKO in Round 2