Match Analysis: Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 12:40 AM UTC
• Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

Featherweight matchup featuring Diego Lopes, a 30-year-old with a 26-7 record and longer reach, against Jean Silva, a 28-year-old with a 16-2 record and a strong technical striking profile. Silva enters as a UFC favorite riding an undefeated UFC record with recent finishes, while Lopes recently lost a title fight but has shown toughness and durability.

Key Factors to Consider

• Silva is undefeated in the UFC and has finished his last five opponents, showing excellent striking and grappling defense. Lopes has a solid overall record, coming off a title fight loss and known for durability but is more vulnerable to counters.
• No direct H2H fights recorded between Lopes and Silva.
• No major injuries reported for either fighter leading up to the fight.
• Fight at home territory Frost Bank Center with no external disruptions reported.
• Lopes motivated to rebound after title fight loss; Silva motivated to maintain undefeated UFC streak and extend dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Diego Lopes: +195, Jean Silva: -238	Jean Silva	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Diego Lopes +5.5: +120, Jean Silva -5.5: -165	Jean Silva -5.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -166, Under 2.5: +130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jean Silva -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 43%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jean Silva to win by decision

Predicted Score: Jean Silva wins by unanimous decision (rounds 5)

Match Analysis: Diego Lopes vs Alex Volkanovski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 12, 2025
• Time: 3:45 AM UTC
• Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida

Game Overview

UFC 314 features a highly anticipated featherweight title fight between former champion Alexander Volkanovski and rising contender Diego Lopes. Volkanovski seeks to reclaim the title after consecutive losses, while Lopes aims for his first championship win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Volkanovski has struggled recently with back-to-back losses. Lopes has shown a strong rise with five consecutive wins, including victories over notable opponents like Dan Ige and Brian Ortega.
• This is the first meeting between Volkanovski and Lopes, making it challenging to analyze their past encounters.
• No significant injury reports have been noted for either fighter.
• Volkanovski's layoff and Lopes' rapid rise may influence performance. Lopes' style often leads to intense early rounds, which could tire him if he can't secure an early win.
• Both fighters are highly motivated: Volkanovski wants to regain his title, and Lopes aims to become the new champion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Volkanovski -130, Lopes +110	Volkanovski	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Volkanovski -5.5 +140, Lopes +5.5 -190	Lopes +5.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 3.5 -145, Under 3.5 +114	Over 3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alex Volkanovski -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Volkanovski is favored due to experience and strategic advantages, but Lopes' raw power and aggression pose a significant threat.

Predicted Score: 22-29 (Volkanovski win via decision)