The Detroit Tigers face the Arizona Diamondbacks at home with Detroit favored on the moneyline and runline. The Tigers have stronger recent form and home advantage, while Arizona has been struggling on the road despite solid pitching from Nelson.
Key Factors to Consider
Detroit Tigers hold a 63-46 record overall and 35-21 at home, currently on a three-game winning streak scoring 27 runs in the last three games. Arizona Diamondbacks sit at 51-57 overall and 25-29 on the road, struggling offensively in recent games.
Season-long H2H is limited but Detroit has held a slight edge given their superior record and home field advantage. Arizona has not performed strongly as an underdog at Detroit.
No significant injuries reported that would heavily impact starting pitchers or lineup for either team. Both starters are healthy: Chris Paddack (Tigers) and Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks).
Game played in Detroit, aiding the Tigers. Weather not listed as a major factor. Pitchers show mixed form: Nelson has been strong in recent starts with one earned run or fewer in three of last four, Paddack's form is less consistent.
Detroit is fighting for playoff positioning with first place in the AL Central, bringing strong motivation. Arizona is lower in standings, with less momentum and recent offensive struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks: +114, Detroit Tigers: -134
Detroit Tigers
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks: -1.5 @ -182, Detroit Tigers: +1.5 @ +150
Detroit Tigers -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 9: +100, Under 9: -122
Under 9
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 0%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Detroit Tigers at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers moneyline win
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 5 – 3 Arizona Diamondbacks
The Toronto Blue Jays enter this game hot, having won four straight games and eight of their last ten, and currently lead the four-game series 3-0 against the Detroit Tigers. Detroit is a solid AL Central contender but has struggled against Blue Jays' recent form and starting pitching in this series.
Key Factors to Consider
Toronto is 63-42 overall and in excellent recent form, while Detroit is 60-46 but has lost momentum after three straight defeats to Toronto in this series. Blue Jays hitters, including Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer, are showing strong offensive output.
Toronto has dominated this series with a 3-0 lead and a convincing 6-1 win in the last matchup. Detroit has struggled against Toronto's pitching and overall team play in these recent games.
No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups or pitching rotations for either team based on current data.
Game played at Detroit’s Comerica Park, providing home-field advantage to the Tigers but Toronto has overcome this in recent matchups. Weather and other external conditions are neutral and not impacting.
Toronto is motivated to complete the series sweep and extend their winning streak. Detroit aims to prevent the sweep and regain momentum in the tight AL Central race.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers -118, Toronto Blue Jays +100
Toronto Blue Jays
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Detroit Tigers -1.5 +164, Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 -200
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays 12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline, Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 on the spread, and Under 8.5 runs on total score.
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 5, Detroit Tigers 3
The Detroit Tigers (60-42) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-61) with Detroit favored as the stronger team both statistically and in recent performance. Pittsburgh has shown some resilience in this series but overall struggles against favorites and on the moneyline.
Key Factors to Consider
Detroit holds a superior 60-42 record, with a solid batting average (.249) and strong pitching staff ERA (~3.69). Pittsburgh is underperforming with a 41-61 record, a 3.87 ERA pitching staff, and lower offensive output. Detroit has won 65.6% of games when favored this season, while Pittsburgh wins under 40% as an underdog.
Pittsburgh won the first two games of this series, scoring early and capitalizing on hitting. However, Detroit has generally performed better at run line and moneyline in this matchup historically and is the stronger overall team.
No significant injury reports affecting starting pitchers or key hitters were noted for either side, indicating both teams are near full strength.
The game takes place at PNC Park, home of Pittsburgh, which slightly favors Pirates offensively but Detroit has managed well in away games. Weather and other external conditions appear neutral.
Detroit is motivated to maintain their strong record and playoff positioning, while Pittsburgh, as cellar dwellers, have less incentive outside pride, despite recent series wins.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers -146 / Pittsburgh Pirates +124
Detroit Tigers
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Detroit Tigers -1.5 (114) / Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-137)
Detroit Tigers -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8.5 (-122) / Under 8.5 (100)
Over 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline, covering the run line of -1.5, and the game total to go over 8.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 6 – Pittsburgh Pirates 4