Match Analysis: Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 6:11 PM UTC
- Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers are favored on the road against the Kansas City Royals, with a moneyline of -172 for Detroit and +144 for Kansas City. The Tigers are also favored by 1.5 runs on the spread, and the over/under is set at 7.5 runs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit has won 61.1% of games as a favorite this season and 22 of 34 games when favored at -172 or better. The Royals have a losing record as underdogs at these odds (3-5) and a 51.5% ATS covering rate.
- Recent meetings have shown the Tigers as the stronger side, with a key pitching advantage expected given the presence of Tarik Skubal for Detroit and a strong Royals starter on the mound.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitching or key offensive players at this time.
- Game is at Kauffman Stadium, which tends to be neutral for run scoring. Weather conditions not indicated as a factor.
- Detroit, currently performing better overall and favored, has motivation to maintain playoff positioning. Royals have less advantage as underdogs without strong recent form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers: -172, Kansas City Royals: +144 | Detroit Tigers | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Detroit Tigers -1.5: 105, Kansas City Royals +1.5: -126 | Detroit Tigers -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 7.5: 100, Under 7.5: -122 | Under 7.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 5 – Kansas City Royals 2