Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 12:09 AM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Park
Game Overview
This is the decisive Game 5 of the American League Division Series between Seattle Mariners and Detroit Tigers, following the Tigers' 9-3 win in Game 4. The Mariners return to their home field needing a win to advance. The matchup features Tarik Skubal for the Tigers against George Kirby for the Mariners.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Tigers have momentum after a strong performance in Game 4. The Mariners, however, have a strong home record and have beaten Skubal twice this season.
- Recent series have shown competitive games, but the Tigers' win in Game 4 has given them confidence.
- There are no reported significant injuries affecting this matchup.
- Home-field advantage could significantly impact the Mariners' performance.
- Both teams are highly motivated, but the Tigers' recent win might give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tigers: -138, Mariners: 118 | Mariners | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | Tigers: -1.5 132, Mariners: 1.5 -160 | Mariners +1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 5.5 -124, Under: 5.5 102 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seattle Mariners 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Mariners are expected to capitalize on their home-field advantage and past success against Skubal to win the game.
Predicted Score: Mariners 4-3 Tigers