Match Analysis: Andres Cortes vs Derlyn Hernandez – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Thunder Studios, Long Beach, United States
Game Overview
Super Featherweight (130 lbs) 10-round bout between undefeated, highly-ranked prospect Andres Cortes and durable, technical underdog Derlyn Hernandez.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cortes is 23-0-0, a rising star known for power, speed, and technical acumen. Hernandez brings toughness and adaptability, but has not faced opponents at Cortes' level[9].
- No prior fights between these two; this is their first matchup.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- Fight is in California, a neutral site with no significant crowd or travel advantage. Weigh-in handling could be pivotal, given the strict 130 lbs limit.
- Cortes is protecting his unbeaten record and angling for a title shot; Hernandez has a clear opportunity for a life-changing upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -5000, away: +1500 | Cortes ML | ★★★★★ 90% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Andres Cortes 1388% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Andres Cortes at 1388% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 92.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cortes is a massive betting favorite for good reason—he is undefeated, fighting at home, and has a clear class edge. However, Hernandez is a live underdog due to his resilience and experience, and Cortes' odds are so short that a value bet on Hernandez for a massive payout is justified, though with low probability.
Predicted Score: Cortes wins by unanimous decision (118–110, 116–112, 117–111)