Match Analysis: Robin Safar vs Derick Miller Jr – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dickies Arena, Fort Worth, Texas, USA
Game Overview
Undefeated cruiserweights Robin Safar (18-0, 13 KOs) and Derick Miller Jr (18-0, 10 KOs) face off in a 10-round bout on the Ortiz-Lubin undercard, broadcast on DAZN. Both fighters are highly ranked and possess knockout power, but Safar is the clear favorite.
Key Factors to Consider
- Safar is ranked #1 WBA, #3 IBF, #6 Ring at cruiserweight, with a 72% KO rate. Miller Jr is ranked #42, with a 56% KO rate. Safar has faced tougher opposition and has a higher knockout ratio.
- No previous meetings between Safar and Miller Jr.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- Fight takes place in Texas, neutral venue. Both fighters are undefeated and motivated to prove themselves on a major platform.
- Miller Jr is facing the biggest fight of his career, while Safar is defending his top ranking and seeking a dominant win to boost his title shot chances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -700, away: 425 | Robin Safar | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | home: -4.5, away: +4.5 | Robin Safar -4.5 | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
| Over/under | over: Over 7.5, under: Under 7.5 | Over 7.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Robin Safar -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Robin Safar at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Robin Safar wins by knockout.
Predicted Score: Robin Safar wins by KO in round 8