Match Analysis: Portsmouth vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-12
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Game Overview

Portsmouth hosts Derby County in the EFL Championship, with both teams looking for crucial points to improve their standings. Portsmouth sits 17th with 45 points, while Derby County is 21st with 41 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Portsmouth has won only 4 times in their last 10 home matches against Derby County, but they currently have a stronger home record. Derby County, however, has shown resilience with recent wins.
• Historically, Derby County has a slight edge in overall wins but Portsmouth leads in home victories.
• No specific injury reports are detailed, but teams' recent performances suggest Derby County might be gaining momentum.
• Recent form and league position could motivate both teams to secure a win, but Portsmouth's home advantage could be significant.
• Both teams are highly motivated due to their league positions, but Portsmouth might have a slight edge due to playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Portsmouth 12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Portsmouth at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Portsmouth to win, given their home advantage and slight historical edge at home.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Portsmouth

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 8, 2025
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Pride Park Stadium

Game Overview

Derby County, currently 21st in the Championship, face league leaders Burnley. Despite a recent four-match winning streak ending for Derby, they have been strong at home. Burnley, undefeated in their last 27 league games, aim to retain their top spot.

Key Factors to Consider

• Derby County are struggling but have had success at home, winning their last three games at Pride Park. Burnley have the best defensive record in the Championship and are on an impressive unbeaten run.
• Burnley have been undefeated in the last 13 meetings with Derby, and their most recent encounter ended in a 0-0 draw.
• Derby County are dealing with several injuries, including key players. Burnley are missing players like Aaron Ramsey and Bashir Humphreys.
• The match is crucial for both teams, with Derby fighting relegation and Burnley seeking to maintain their lead in the Championship.
• Burnley have high motivation to secure their position at the top, while Derby are motivated to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence	EV Pick
Moneyline	Derby County: 330, Burnley: -105, Draw: 205	Burnley to win	★★★☆☆ 60%	Burnley to win -100%
Spread	Burnley: -0.5 -112, Derby County: 50 -108	Burnley to cover (-0.5)	★★★☆☆ 55%	Burnley to cover (-0.5) -100%
Over_under	Over 2: -102, Under 2: -118	Under 2.5 goals	★★★★☆ 70%	Under 2.5 goals -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Burnley -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the form and head-to-head, Burnley are likely to win this match. The defense of Burnley and their overall performance this season make them favorites.

Predicted Score: 0-2 in favor of Burnley

Match Analysis: Swansea City vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-05
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Swansea.com Stadium

Game Overview

This Championship match between Swansea City and Derby County features two teams with differing recent forms. Swansea City, currently 16th in the standings, looks to improve their position, while Derby County, 22nd, seeks to continue their recent winning streak of three matches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Swansea City has shown inconsistency in their recent matches, with a mix of wins and losses. Derby County, however, has gained momentum with a series of victories. Both teams have similar goal-scoring records against each other historically.
• In the last 15 meetings, Swansea City has won 5 times, with 6 draws and 4 wins for Derby County. At home, Swansea City has a slight advantage with 3 wins and 3 draws out of the last 7 meetings.
• No specific injury reports are highlighted for this match, but any last-minute changes could impact team performance.
• The match is taking place at Swansea.com Stadium, which could provide a home advantage for Swansea City.
• Both teams are motivated, with Swansea City seeking to climb the table and Derby County fighting to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Swansea City: -105, Derby County: +280, Draw: +210	Swansea City	★★☆☆☆ 48%
Spread	Swansea City: -0.5 +105, Derby County: +50 -125	Swansea City	★★☆☆☆ 48%
Over_under	Over 2.25: +102, Under 2.25: -122	Under 2.25	★★★☆☆ 62%

Predicted Outcome

Swansea City is favored to win, given their home advantage and historical edge against Derby County.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Swansea City

Match Analysis: Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Home Park Stadium, Plymouth, England

Game Overview

Plymouth Argyle hosts Derby County in a crucial EFL Championship match. Both teams are seeking to improve their standings, with Plymouth looking to climb out of the relegation zone and Derby aiming to solidify their mid-table position.

Key Factors to Consider

• Derby County has shown strong form recently, including a draw against Plymouth in their last encounter. Plymouth Argyle, however, has struggled on the road but managed a crucial point in their previous match against Derby.
• The last match between the two teams ended in a 1-1 draw, with Derby dominating possession but unable to secure a win. Plymouth's ability to hold Derby will boost their confidence for this encounter.
• No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team, which should allow both squads to field their strongest lineups.
• Home advantage could play a significant role for Plymouth Argyle, as they seek to capitalize on their home support to secure a much-needed win.
• Both teams are highly motivated, with Plymouth needing points to avoid relegation and Derby looking to maintain their position in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Derby County: 140, Plymouth Argyle: 200, Draw: 205	Derby County	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Derby County: -0.25 105, Plymouth Argyle: 25 -125	Derby County	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115	Under	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Derby County is favored slightly due to their recent form, but Plymouth's home advantage and motivation could lead to a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Derby County

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Pride Park Stadium, Derby, England

Game Overview

Derby County hosts Blackburn Rovers in a crucial EFL Championship match. Both teams have shown mixed performances recently, with Blackburn slightly favored by bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Derby County has been inconsistent, while Blackburn Rovers have shown better form in recent matches. However, Derby's home advantage could play a significant role.
• Historically, Blackburn Rovers have a slight edge over Derby County, winning 14 out of 30 matches. Recent head-to-heads show a more balanced record.
• No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team, which could impact the match dynamics.
• Weather conditions and crowd support might influence the game, but specific details are not available.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points for different reasons—Derby to improve their league standing and Blackburn to maintain their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Derby County: 2.80, Draw: 3.15, Blackburn Rovers: 2.75	Blackburn Rovers	★★☆☆☆ 36%
Spread	Blackburn Rovers: 0 -115, Derby County: 0 -105	Blackburn Rovers	★★☆☆☆ 36%
Over_under	Over 2: 2.40, Under 2: 1.57	Under 2	★★★☆☆ 59%

Predicted Outcome

Blackburn Rovers are slightly favored due to their recent form, but Derby County's home advantage makes it a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: Middlesbrough vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Riverside Stadium

Game Overview

Middlesbrough, currently in a tight race for the EFL Championship play-offs, faces Derby County, who are fighting to avoid relegation. The match promises to be intense, with both teams needing points for different reasons.

Key Factors to Consider

• Middlesbrough has a stronger record this season, sitting mid-table with 44 points, while Derby County is near the bottom with 29 points. Middlesbrough's home advantage and recent form favor them.
• Historically, Middlesbrough has had mixed results against Derby County, but recent matches have seen Middlesbrough dominate, including a 4-1 win in February 2022.
• No significant injury updates are available for either team, but both will likely field their strongest lineups given the stakes.
• The pressure to secure points for different reasons—play-off contention for Middlesbrough and survival for Derby County—could impact team strategies and performances.
• Middlesbrough is highly motivated to secure a play-off spot, while Derby County needs points to avoid relegation, making both teams equally driven.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Middlesbrough: -155, Derby County: 400, Draw: 290	Middlesbrough	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Middlesbrough: -0.75 -118, Derby County: 0.75 -102	Middlesbrough	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Middlesbrough is likely to win due to their stronger form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Middlesbrough

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Millwall – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 12:30 PM UTC
• Location: Pride Park

Game Overview

Derby County hosts Millwall in a crucial EFL Championship match. Derby County is currently struggling with a record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 18 losses, while Millwall has 10 wins, 12 draws, and 11 losses.

Key Factors to Consider

• Derby County has been inconsistent, while Millwall has shown more stability in their performances. However, Derby's home advantage could play a significant role.
• Recent head-to-head matches have been closely contested, with Derby and Millwall each having wins and draws. The last match ended in a draw.
• No specific injury reports are available for this match, but both teams will likely field their strongest lineups.
• Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but specific details are not available.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points, with Derby seeking to improve their league position and Millwall aiming to maintain consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Derby County: 140, Millwall: 230, Draw: 190	Millwall	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Derby County: -0.25 110, Millwall: 0.25 -130	Millwall +0.25	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 1.75: -118, Under 1.75: -102	Under 1.75	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Millwall is slightly favored due to their recent form, but Derby's home advantage makes it a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 1-1