Match Analysis: Marek Bujło vs Denzel Freeman – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 3:05 PM UTC
• Location: Ali Bin Hamad al-Attiyah Arena, Al Rayyan, Qatar

Game Overview

Marek Bujło faces Denzel Freeman in a heavyweight bout at UFC Fight Night 265 in Doha, Qatar. Both fighters are making their UFC debuts, with Bujło entering with a perfect 6-0 record, all finishes, and Freeman at 6-1, coming off a loss in his last fight. The match is expected to be a clash of styles, with Bujło known for his striking and knockout power, while Freeman is a former LFA heavyweight champion with strong wrestling and grappling credentials.

Key Factors to Consider

• Marek Bujło has finished all six of his professional fights, showcasing explosive striking and a high knockout rate. His opponents have been regional-level, but his finishing ability is notable. Denzel Freeman, while also finishing most of his wins, suffered a loss in his last bout, indicating vulnerability. Freeman's wrestling and grappling are considered superior, but his striking defense is less proven.
• No previous encounters between the two fighters. This is a fresh matchup with no direct history.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the event.
• The fight takes place in Doha, Qatar, marking the UFC's debut in the country. The environment may be unfamiliar for both fighters, but neither has a clear advantage in terms of travel or acclimatization.
• Both fighters are highly motivated for their UFC debuts. Bujło aims to make a statement as an undefeated prospect, while Freeman seeks to rebound from his recent loss and establish himself in the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Denzel Freeman: -205, Marek Bujło: 170	Marek Bujło	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Denzel Freeman: -5.5 -160, Marek Bujło: 5.5 120	Marek Bujło +5.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 1.5 120, Under: 1.5 -154	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Marek Bujło -98%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -98%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Marek Bujło is favored to win by knockout or decision due to his finishing ability and undefeated record. Denzel Freeman's wrestling could pose a challenge, but Bujło's striking and power are expected to prevail. The fight is likely to go the distance or end in a finish for Bujło.

Predicted Score: Marek Bujło wins by knockout or decision in the second or third round.

Match Analysis: Hugo Cunha vs Denzel Freeman – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 22, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Foxwoods Resort Casino, Mashantucket, Connecticut

Game Overview

LFA 204 features a heavyweight title fight between Hugo Cunha and Denzel Freeman. Cunha, the current champion, faces Freeman, an active U.S. Marine Corps Captain, in his first title defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hugo Cunha is a highly-touted prospect with a strong grappling background, having won his LFA debut and title via impressive grappling performances. Denzel Freeman is a decorated wrestler with a strong debut in LFA, showcasing dominant wrestling skills.
• This is the first meeting between Hugo Cunha and Denzel Freeman, with no prior head-to-head experience.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The event is held at Foxwoods Resort Casino, a neutral venue. Both fighters have experience competing in different environments.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Cunha seeking his first title defense and Freeman aiming to become the new champion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Predicted Outcome

Hugo Cunha is favored due to his grappling prowess and recent form.

Predicted Score: Decision or Submission in favor of Hugo Cunha