Match Analysis: Decky McAleenan vs Gino van Steenis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-10
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: SSE Arena, Belfast

Game Overview

This match is part of the PFL Europe 2025 Lightweight Tournament, featuring Decky McAleenan (9-5-1) from Ireland versus Gino van Steenis (5-1) from Spain. Both fighters aim to progress in the tournament, with McAleenan seeking his first European belt for Ireland and van Steenis looking to follow in his brother's footsteps.

Key Factors to Consider

• Decky McAleenan has more professional fights but faces a younger, aggressive opponent in Gino van Steenis, who is driven by his brother’s success.
• There is no recorded head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
• No reported injuries at this time.
• Home advantage could favor McAleenan, but van Steenis's ambition might counterbalance that.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, but McAleenan’s local support could be an additional motivator.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Decky McAleenan: -125, Gino van Steenis: -115	Decky McAleenan	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Decky McAleenan -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Decky McAleenan at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the experience and home advantage, Decky McAleenan might have a slight edge, but Gino van Steenis’s potential for aggression could make this a closely contested match.

Predicted Score: This is a decision-based sport, so predicting a score isn't applicable. However, a closely contested five-round decision is likely.