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Dayton Flyers vs. North Carolina Central Eagles Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Dayton Flyers vs North Carolina Central Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UD Arena, Dayton, OH

Game Overview

The Dayton Flyers, with a strong 4-1 season record, host the North Carolina Central Eagles, who are currently 2-4. Dayton enters as a heavy favorite, leveraging balanced scoring, efficient offense, and experienced coaching to challenge the Eagles. North Carolina Central recently dominated a non-D1 opponent but are struggling overall and face a tough road test against a high-performing Flyers team.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dayton averages 79 points per game with solid defense allowing about 69 points per game. Their effective field goal percentage, turnover control, and balanced scoring make them formidable. Conversely, NC Central has some talented players but has a weak 2-4 record and lower shooting efficiency. NC Central dominated their last game but against a weaker opponent.
  • No recent direct head-to-head game data available for this matchup. Dayton is favored historically given better overall performance and stronger roster talent this season.
  • Dayton has no significant injury concerns reported. North Carolina Central's G Adam Njie Jr. is out for non-injury reasons. Dayton may have G Jaron McKie with a shoulder issue but impact is unclear.
  • Dayton is playing at home (UD Arena), which bolsters their advantage. NC Central is on a four-game road losing streak. Both teams have had varying performances against the spread and totals recently; however, Dayton's home form is considerably stronger.
  • Dayton looks motivated to maintain their strong record and prove dominance at home after an overtime win against Marquette. NC Central aims to stop their losing streak and improve on the road but faces a significant challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dayton Flyers: -10000, North Carolina Central Eagles: 3300 Dayton Flyers to win ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Dayton Flyers: -27.5 -118, North Carolina Central Eagles: +27.5 -102 Dayton Flyers -27.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 148.5 -110, Under: 148.5 -110 Over 148.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dayton Flyers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 148.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 148.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dayton Flyers are strongly favored to win convincingly, likely covering a large spread. The prediction favors Dayton to cover the -27.5 spread with a final high-scoring game expected over the total points line of 148.5.

Predicted Score: Dayton Flyers 88, North Carolina Central Eagles 67


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Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Dayton Flyers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Marquette Golden Eagles vs Dayton Flyers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 19, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI

Game Overview

The Marquette Golden Eagles (3-2) host the Dayton Flyers (3-1) in a mid-week college basketball matchup. Marquette enters as 5.5-point favorites after suffering a disappointing 89-82 home loss to Maryland as an 8.5-point favorite. Dayton arrives on a positive note following a 91-82 victory over Bethune-Cookman, though they suffered a significant road loss to Cincinnati (74-62) earlier in their season. This matchup features contrasting team dynamics, with Marquette relying heavily on Chase Ross's offensive firepower while Dayton emphasizes a slower, more methodical pace of play.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marquette has been inconsistent, going 3-2 with significant fluctuations in performance. They were crushed by Indiana (loss by 23 points) before bouncing back against weaker competition. Their most recent loss to Maryland is concerning given they were favored by 8.5 points. Dayton maintains a better record at 3-1 but faced a tough road test against Cincinnati. Dayton's home record (3-0) is perfect, while their road record is 0-1. Marquette's home record is 3-1 with an 0-1 road record. Both teams show vulnerability in certain matchups and contexts. Dayton ranks 269th nationally in Adjusted Tempo (KenPom), indicating they prefer a slower pace. Marquette has gone 3-2 in their last five games and 2-3 against the spread during that same period.
  • In their most recent matchup, Dayton defeated Marquette 71-63, demonstrating they can compete with the Golden Eagles. This head-to-head advantage suggests Dayton possesses the personnel and strategic elements to stay competitive in this rematch. The previous Dayton victory indicates this is not a guaranteed Marquette win despite the home court and point spread advantage.
  • No significant injury information is provided in available reports. Both teams appear to be at near-full strength for this matchup.
  • The game will be broadcast on truTV, ensuring adequate media coverage. Marquette's home court advantage at Fiserv Forum is meaningful, as they are 3-1 at home this season compared to 0-1 on the road. Dayton's excellent 3-0 home record contrasts with their 0-1 road record, suggesting they may struggle with travel and away-game dynamics. The timing of this game (mid-week) may affect preparation and rest for both teams.
  • Marquette enters seeking redemption after the disappointing loss to Maryland at home. The Golden Eagles will be motivated to protect their home court and prove they belong among the elite teams. Dayton, conversely, enters with confidence from their home win and a previous head-to-head victory over Marquette, potentially providing psychological momentum despite being on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dayton: +230 | Marquette: -285 Marquette Golden Eagles ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Dayton: +5.5 (-105) | Marquette: -5.5 (-115) Dayton Flyers +5.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 151.5 (-108) | Under: 151.5 (-112) Under 151.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marquette Golden Eagles -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 151.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marquette Golden Eagles are favored to win, but this is a more competitive matchup than the 5.5-point spread suggests. While Marquette has home court advantage and Chase Ross's 31-point performance demonstrates offensive capability, Dayton's previous victory over Marquette, superior home record (3-0), and slower pace of play present challenges to the favorites. Marquette's defensive vulnerabilities (allowing Maryland to shoot 53% from the field) could be exploited by Dayton's balanced scoring attack featuring Bennett and Montgomery. The game will likely be closer than the spread indicates, though Marquette's talent and motivation to rebound from a disappointing loss should give them the edge.

Predicted Score: Marquette 78, Dayton 73


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Dayton Flyers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Dayton Flyers vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Dayton Flyers Home Court

Game Overview

The Dayton Flyers host the Bethune-Cookman Wildcats in a NCAA men's basketball matchup with no recent head-to-head history, making this an unpredictable contest. Dayton enters favored after recent strong performances, including dominant wins against Canisius and UMBC. Bethune-Cookman comes off a heavy loss to the Miami Hurricanes but showed scoring ability in a win over Coastal Georgia.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dayton Flyers exhibit strong recent form with convincing wins (88-48 vs Canisius, 77-71 vs UMBC), demonstrating defensive and offensive efficiency. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats have been inconsistent, with a heavy 61-101 loss against Miami Florida but a solid 101-60 win vs Coastal Georgia. The Flyers have a deeper roster and higher scoring averages.
  • There is no recent head-to-head data between the two teams. The last recorded meetings from early 2000s show Dayton holding a 2-0 advantage, but these are outdated and less relevant. This game represents a clean slate for both sides.
  • No specific injury data is available for either team at the moment, suggesting rosters are likely close to full strength for the matchup.
  • Dayton, as the home team, benefits from home court advantage and a psychologically favorable environment. Bethune-Cookman faces the challenge of travel and playing on the road against a superior opponent with strong recent momentum.
  • Dayton is motivated to solidify their strong start to the season and continue dominance in early games. Bethune-Cookman seeks redemption and an upset opportunity to build confidence despite recent struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: 1280, Dayton Flyers: -3500 Dayton Flyers win ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: -17.5 -102, Dayton Flyers: +17.5 -120 Dayton Flyers to cover -17.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over: 148.5 -115, Under: 148.5 -105 Over 148.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dayton Flyers -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 148.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 148.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dayton Flyers are heavily favored to win decisively based on recent form, talent depth, and home advantage. Expect Dayton to cover the large spread and the game to go over the total line.

Predicted Score: Dayton Flyers 85 – 62 Bethune-Cookman Wildcats


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Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Dayton Flyers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Cincinnati Bearcats vs Dayton Flyers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Fifth Third Arena, Cincinnati, OH

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Bearcats (2-0) host the Dayton Flyers (2-0) in a regional NCAA basketball matchup at Fifth Third Arena. Both teams are unbeaten, with Cincinnati leveraging a high-scoring, disciplined offense and Dayton impressing with a balanced attack, strong defense, and efficient shooting. The game is expected to be competitive with physical play and tactical intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cincinnati has started strong with high scoring and solid defense, owning a 2-0 record. Dayton has also opened 2-0, averaging 82.5 points per game on 52% shooting and is known for pressure defense generating 11 steals per game. Dayton’s Javon Bennett is a key offensive player, averaging 18 points per game with efficient shooting. Cincinnati recently had a 24-point performance from a key player.
  • Recent direct matchups are limited from the current data, but both teams have a regional rivalry with competitive history. Both are undefeated this season, suggesting closely matched skill levels and motivation.
  • No current significant injuries reported for either team affecting the matchup.
  • The game is played at Cincinnati’s home court, Fifth Third Arena, giving them home-court advantage. Public money is heavily betting on Cincinnati, indicating strong confidence from bettors.
  • Both teams are motivated to maintain unbeaten records early in the season. Cincinnati aims to defend home turf, while Dayton looks to prove their road capability after two home wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cincinnati Bearcats: -330, Dayton Flyers: 260 Cincinnati Bearcats to win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Cincinnati Bearcats: -6.5 (-114), Dayton Flyers: +6.5 (-106) Cincinnati to cover -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 146.5: -110, Under 146.5: -110 Over 146.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cincinnati Bearcats -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 146.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 146.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati is favored to win given home advantage, public betting trends, and recent defensive and offensive efficiency. However, Dayton’s balanced offense and defensive pressure could keep the game close, particularly under the spread.

Predicted Score: Cincinnati Bearcats 77 – Dayton Flyers 69


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Dayton Flyers vs. UMBC Retrievers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Dayton Flyers vs UMBC Retrievers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UD Arena, Dayton, OH

Game Overview

The Dayton Flyers (1-0) host the UMBC Retrievers (1-0) at UD Arena. Both teams started their season with convincing wins, Dayton dominating Canisius 88-48 and UMBC defeating Penn St.-York 74-53. Dayton showed strong offensive efficiency and defense in their opener, while UMBC displayed solid defensive numbers and effective shooting from downtown. Despite UMBC's promise, Dayton holds clear advantages with home court and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dayton demonstrated a 52.9% FG shooting and strong defense, holding Canisius to 36%, with low turnovers (4) and a balanced game led by Javon Bennett's 20 points. UMBC shot 42.9% FG and 39.3% 3PT, forced 13 turnovers, and outrebounded their opponent 41-37 but faced weaker competition.
  • No historical head-to-head games exist between Dayton Flyers and UMBC Retrievers.
  • No reported injuries for either team, both appear to have full rosters available.
  • Dayton's home court advantage at UD Arena and recent dominant performance contribute to their edge. UMBC is traveling and has less depth experience early in the season.
  • Both teams aim to build early-season momentum. Dayton is motivated to maintain home dominance; UMBC seeks to prove competitiveness on the road against stronger opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dayton Flyers: -10000, UMBC Retrievers: 3000 Dayton Flyers win ★★★★★ 90%
Spread Dayton Flyers: -23.5 (-110), UMBC Retrievers: +23.5 (-110) UMBC Retrievers +23.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 152.5 (-115), Under: 152.5 (-105) Under 152.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dayton Flyers -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 152.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dayton Flyers are favored due to superior defensive control, efficiency, and home court. UMBC can keep the game competitive but is unlikely to cover the large spread.

Predicted Score: Dayton Flyers 80 – 70 UMBC Retrievers


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Chattanooga Mocs vs. Dayton Flyers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Chattanooga Mocs vs Dayton Flyers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 22, 2025
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: McKenzie Arena

Game Overview

The Chattanooga Mocs host the Dayton Flyers in a highly anticipated NCAA basketball matchup. Chattanooga boasts a strong recent record, while Dayton seeks to extend its road winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chattanooga has been impressive lately, going 8-2 against the spread and 10-0 overall in their last 10 games. Dayton has struggled against the spread, going 4-6 in their last 10 games. Chattanooga averages 79.7 points per game, while Dayton allows 70.3 points per game.
  • There is limited recent head-to-head data, but Chattanooga has historically performed well against similar opponents.
  • Marvel Allen of Dayton is out for the season with a knee injury, which could impact Dayton's performance.
  • The game is at McKenzie Arena, which could favor Chattanooga due to home advantage.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, but Chattanooga's recent form and home advantage might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chattanooga Mocs: +122, Dayton Flyers: -146 Chattanooga Mocs ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Chattanooga Mocs: +2.5 -110, Dayton Flyers: -2.5 -110 Chattanooga Mocs +2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over_under Over: 149.5 -110, Under: 149.5 -110 Over 149.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Chattanooga Mocs to win outright.

Predicted Score: Chattanooga Mocs 77, Dayton Flyers 74


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Dayton Flyers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Dayton Flyers vs Florida Atlantic Owls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 19, 2025
  • Time: 11:24 PM UTC
  • Location: Dayton, OH

Game Overview

The Dayton Flyers host the Florida Atlantic Owls in the NIT on March 19, 2025. Dayton finished the regular season with a 22-10 record, while Florida Atlantic ended at 18-15.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dayton has a strong home record and has performed well when scoring over 75.2 points. Florida Atlantic averages 78.7 points per game but has struggled against the spread this season.
  • There is no recent head-to-head data available for these teams.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team.
  • The game will be televised on ESPN2, which may increase pressure but also motivation for both teams.
  • Both teams are motivated to advance in the NIT, with Dayton seeking to build on its strong regular season and Florida Atlantic looking to rebound from a tough year.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -134 (Dayton), 112 (Florida Atlantic) Dayton ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread -1.5 -120 (Dayton), 1.5 -102 (Florida Atlantic) Dayton ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 149.5 -115, Under 149.5 -105 Over ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Dayton is favored to win due to its strong home performance and overall record.

Predicted Score: Dayton 78, Florida Atlantic 72


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Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Dayton Flyers vs Saint Joseph's Hawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 14, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Capital One Arena

Game Overview

The Saint Joseph's Hawks face off against the Dayton Flyers in the Atlantic 10 quarterfinals. Dayton enters with a strong record, having secured the No. 3 seed, while Saint Joseph's looks to continue its tournament run.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dayton has a solid offense, led by Nate Santos and Enoch Cheeks, and excels in assists and turnover management. Saint Joseph's has shown resilience, notably overcoming large deficits in previous games.
  • Dayton leads the series 28-20 and recently defeated Saint Joseph's 77-72 on January 24, 2025.
  • No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • The game is played at a neutral site, which could minimize home-court advantage for Dayton.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the tournament, but Dayton's recent performance against power conference teams could boost their confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dayton -125, Saint Joseph's +104 Dayton ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Dayton -1.5 -114, Saint Joseph's +1.5 -106 Dayton ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under Over 143.5 -115, Under 143.5 -105 Under ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Dayton is favored due to its strong team performance and recent wins, but Saint Joseph's has shown the ability to mount comebacks.

Predicted Score: Dayton 72.7, Saint Joseph's 74.7


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VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: VCU Rams vs Dayton Flyers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 8, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Siegel Center

Game Overview

The VCU Rams host the Dayton Flyers in a pivotal Atlantic 10 matchup. VCU boasts a strong defense and offense, while Dayton has shown resilience in recent games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • VCU has been performing well with their aggressive defense and elite offense, while Dayton has won five of its last six games but struggles with turnovers.
  • VCU leads the series 16-9, with a recent win over Dayton. However, Dayton has shown competitive performances, especially at home.
  • Dayton's Malachi Smith missed the last game due to illness, which could impact their performance if he doesn't play.
  • The game is at VCU's home court, which could give them an advantage. However, Dayton has shown ability to keep games close.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they compete for better standings in the Atlantic 10 Conference.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline VCU: -550, Dayton: +400 VCU Rams ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread VCU: -10 -110, Dayton: +10 -110 VCU Rams ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over: 142 -110, Under: 142 -110 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

VCU Rams are likely to win due to their strong offense and defense.

Predicted Score: VCU Rams 78, Dayton Flyers 68


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Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Louis Billikens Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Dayton Flyers vs Saint Louis Billikens – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 5, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UD Arena, Dayton, Ohio

Game Overview

The Dayton Flyers host the Saint Louis Billikens in an Atlantic 10 matchup. Dayton is ranked 25th in the AP poll and has a strong record, while Saint Louis is struggling with a poor conference record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dayton has shown strong shooting and rebounding capabilities, recently achieving a record-breaking 18 three-pointers in a game. Saint Louis has struggled with consistency, particularly in conference play.
  • Dayton leads the series with a recent win streak, including a 100-83 victory over Saint Louis in their last matchup. The Flyers have a significant advantage in recent head-to-head games.
  • Dayton played without starting point guard Javon Bennett in their last game due to an injury, but his status for this game is not specified.
  • Home court advantage could play a significant role for Dayton, as they have a strong home record. Saint Louis has struggled on the road.
  • Dayton is highly motivated to maintain their ranking and secure a strong position in the Atlantic 10 standings. Saint Louis is looking to improve their conference record and end the season on a positive note.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dayton -250, Saint Louis +200 Dayton ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Dayton -6, Saint Louis +6 Dayton ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 144.5, Under 144.5 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Dayton Flyers to win

Predicted Score: Dayton 78, Saint Louis 70


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