Match Analysis: Bartosz Szewczyk vs Dawid Kasperski – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 4:00 AM UTC
- Location: Warsaw, Poland (KSW 109)
Game Overview
A high-stakes light heavyweight bout between Bartosz Szewczyk and Dawid Kasperski at KSW 109 in Warsaw, featuring two powerful fighters with contrasting attributes. Szewczyk is favored heavily on the moneyline, reflecting his recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bartosz Szewczyk has demonstrated strong recent form with consistent finishes, whereas Dawid Kasperski, though powerful, has shown less consistency and has suffered a few decision losses in his last outings.
- No previous direct clashes between Szewczyk and Kasperski are recorded, making tactical adaptation a key factor in this matchup.
- No known injuries hampering either fighter according to latest reports; both are expected to compete at full strength.
- The fight takes place in Warsaw, giving Szewczyk a clear home crowd and logistical advantage. Both fighters possess substantial motivation to claim dominance in the KSW light heavyweight division.
- Szewczyk appears highly motivated to assert his status as top contender on home soil, while Kasperski is keen to upset the home favorite and gain momentum in his career.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -270, away: 180 | Bartosz Szewczyk | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | home: -1.5 (-150), away: +1.5 (+130) | Bartosz Szewczyk -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bartosz Szewczyk -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bartosz Szewczyk at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bartosz Szewczyk to win by moneyline
Predicted Score: Bartosz Szewczyk wins by TKO in Round 2