Match Analysis: Joe Fields vs Davide Scarano – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-28
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, Greater Manchester, England
Game Overview
This lightweight bout between Joe Fields and Davide Scarano is one of the key matchups on the Cage Warriors 191 main card. The fight takes place at the BEC Arena in Manchester, England. Both fighters come in with strong credentials: Fields is the home favorite with a solid track record, while Scarano is a top contender aiming to upset on enemy territory. The matchup promises technical striking and grappling exchanges in the flyweight division.
Key Factors to Consider
- Joe Fields has shown consistent improvement and resilience in his recent fights, demonstrating striking accuracy and solid takedown defense. Davide Scarano, meanwhile, is known for aggressive forward pressure and submissions, making the fight a contrast of styles.
- There is no recorded previous encounter between Joe Fields and Davide Scarano, making this their first meeting and adding unpredictability.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match, indicating both should be at peak physical condition.
- Fighting in Manchester gives Fields a home crowd advantage. The event has strong local support for him, potentially boosting his motivation and performance.
- Both fighters are highly motivated: Fields seeks to defend his home turf and solidify his position in the division, while Scarano is eager to claim a statement victory to advance his career.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Joe Fields: -260, Davide Scarano: 175 | Joe Fields | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Joe Fields -1.5 rounds: -150, Davide Scarano +1.5 rounds: +130 | Joe Fields -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Joe Fields -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Joe Fields at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Joe Fields is favored to win by decision or late stoppage due to his strategic approach and experience fighting on home ground. Scarano’s aggressive style could create opportunities, but Fields' defense and endurance likely give him the edge.
Predicted Score: Joe Fields wins by decision or TKO in round 3