Match Analysis: Attila Korkmaz vs David Tonatiuh Crol – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Festhalle
Game Overview
The Lightweight bout between Attila Korkmaz and David Tonatiuh Crol at OKTAGON 76 features a clash of styles—Korkmaz brings strong striking and experience, while Crol is grappling-oriented and younger. The fight is set for three rounds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Korkmaz holds a 15-10 record with a balanced finish portfolio (3 KOs, 3 submissions, 5 decisions), showing consistent striking power and experience in top-level competition. Crol is 11-10 with more submission wins (7), indicating grappling dominance but less finishing by strikes.
- No prior direct matchup; contrasting styles imply strategic stand-up vs. ground battle.
- No reported injuries or weigh-in issues for either fighter with recent weigh-ins at appropriate lightweight limits (Korkmaz 160.9 lbs, slightly above the division but acceptable).
- Fight is main card in a major OKTAGON MMA event in Festhalle; no home advantage as both fighters represent different countries (Germany vs. France) with neutral venue.
- Korkmaz, at age 34, aims to leverage experience to maintain top form; Crol, younger at 28, looks to establish himself as a rising competitor. Both are highly motivated at this stage of their careers.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -350 / +240 | Attila Korkmaz | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Korkmaz -1.5 (-150), Crol +1.5 (+130) | Korkmaz -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Attila Korkmaz by decision
Predicted Score: Attila Korkmaz wins by unanimous decision