Match Analysis: Steve Garcia Jr. vs David Onama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-02
• Time: 1:45 AM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Featherweight UFC main event between Steve Garcia Jr. and David Onama, both highly ranked contenders with strong win streaks, featuring contrasting styles: Garcia's relentless striking pressure versus Onama's knockout power and grappling.

Key Factors to Consider

• Garcia is on a six-fight winning streak with recent knockouts; Onama is on a four-fight winning streak with noted grappling control over opponents like Giga Chikadze.
• No previous head-to-head meetings; this will be their first matchup.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
• Fight takes place at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, familiar venue for both fighters; no reported disruptions or travel issues.
• Both fighters are motivated to break into higher UFC featherweight ranks, with Garcia looking to continue dominant form and Onama aiming to prove himself against a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Steve Garcia Jr. -125, David Onama +105	Steve Garcia Jr.	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	Steve Garcia Jr. -5.5 (-120), David Onama +5.5 (-110)	Steve Garcia Jr. -5.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds -135, Under 1.5 rounds +105	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Steve Garcia Jr. 4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Steve Garcia Jr. to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Garcia to win by 2nd round TKO

Match Analysis: David Onama vs Giga Chikadze – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 27, 2025
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City – USA

Game Overview

This is a UFC Featherweight bout between David Onama and Giga Chikadze. Onama, nicknamed 'Silent Assassin,' is from Uganda, while Chikadze represents Georgia. The match features Onama, who is younger and slightly shorter than Chikadze, against an experienced striker in Chikadze.

Key Factors to Consider

• David Onama is known for his aggressive style, which could prove advantageous in terms of early pressure. Giga Chikadze, a skilled striker, might look to maintain distance and utilize his reach.
• There is no prior head-to-head encounter between these two fighters.
• No recent injury reports for either fighter are available.
• The fight venue in Kansas City could have a neutral impact on both fighters, with fan support potentially favoring the more well-known name, which might be Chikadze.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, seeking to climb the rankings in the featherweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	David Onama -180, Giga Chikadze 150	David Onama	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	David Onama -3.5 110, Giga Chikadze 3.5 -150	David Onama	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -188, Under 2.5 145	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	David Onama -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on the current odds and performance trends, David Onama is favored to win due to his recent form and aggressive fighting style.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of David Onama, reflecting his likely aggressive approach.